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Sare Holding (SAREB) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · MX · Market cap 61.3M MXN

SH Sare Holding SAREB · MX
Price0.0090 MXN
Fair Value0.0118 MXN
Upside+31.1%
Quality50/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -0.4% net margin
Low debt
Trails peers (3/9)
Narrow moat 14/100
Evidence: Low Range 0.0100 MXN – 0.0127 MXN Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

A solid business, screening 31% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (0.0100 MXN). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

0.0090 MXN 0.0090 MXN Fair Value 0.0118 MXN Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.0090 MXN – 0.0090 MXN · fair‑value band 0.0100 MXN – 0.0127 MXN · the 0.0090 MXN price screens below the 0.0118 MXN fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Sare Holding (SAREB) currently trades at 0.0090 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.0118 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 31.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Sare Holding generated revenue of 312M MXN at a net margin of -0.4%. Revenue grew 33.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -14.3%. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.0100 MXN (bear case) to 0.0127 MXN (bull case); at 0.0090 MXN, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 41% fair-value upside, at 31%, SAREB screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 0.1400 MXN 0.1800 MXN 0.2400 MXN 80
Rev-Margin DCF 0.0700 MXN 0.1000 MXN 0.1300 MXN 74
NCAV (Graham) 0.0500 MXN 0.0600 MXN 0.0900 MXN 50
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 0.1400 MXN 0.1800 MXN 0.2400 MXN 38
5Y Revenue Exit 0.0700 MXN 0.0900 MXN 0.1200 MXN 39
10Y Revenue Exit 0.1000 MXN 0.1200 MXN 0.1300 MXN 36
Multiples
EV/Revenue 0.0200 MXN 0.0400 MXN 0.0500 MXN 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.0500 MXN 0.0600 MXN 0.0900 MXN 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.1400 MXN 0.1800 MXN 0.2400 MXN 80
Rev-Margin DCF 0.0700 MXN 0.1000 MXN 0.1300 MXN 74

Widest divergence: DCF Models (0.1200 MXN) versus Multiples (0.0400 MXN). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 312M MXN
Revenue growth (YoY) +33.5%
Net margin -0.4%
Return on equity -14.3%
Operating margin -14.1%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 10
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 23
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sare Holding, S.A.B. de C.V. engages in the design, development, engineering, construction, promotion, and sale of residential houses in Mexico. The company was founded in 1997 and is based in Mexico City, Mexico.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2014 – FY2018 · reported fiscal years

Sare Holding reported revenue of 312M MXN in FY2018 versus 58.2M MXN in FY2014, a compound +52.1%/yr. Reported net income was −1.1M MXN in FY2018.

Growth Quality 53/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2018)
312M MXN
Latest YoY
−0.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.5%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−8.6%
Revenue +52.1%/yr
FY14 58.2M MXN
FY15 205M MXN
FY16 390M MXN
FY17 314M MXN
FY18 312M MXN
Net income
FY14 −630M MXN
FY15 −42.7M MXN
FY16 −202M MXN
FY17 −203M MXN
FY18 −1.1M MXN

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sare Holding Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SAREB

Peer Group

Consumer Discretionary · 3552 stocks

How this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Household Goods” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)

Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside +11% · Above median
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -14% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 34% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.25× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Consumer Discretionary median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.01× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 48 · sector 22
FUTURE 100 · sector 14
PAST 0 · sector 21
HEALTH 88 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 41

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sare Holding (SAREB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.0118 MXN versus a price of 0.0090 MXN, about +31% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SAREB?
Our model-based fair value for Sare Holding is 0.0118 MXN (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 0.0090 MXN.
What is the quality score of SAREB?
Sare Holding has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sare Holding (SAREB)?
Sare Holding reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 312M MXN (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SAREB?
The net profit margin of Sare Holding is about -0.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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