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541301 Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · IN · Market cap ₹37.4B

5 541301 541301 · BSE
Price₹189.30
Fair Value₹85.41
Upside-54.9%
Quality63/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt
Moderate moat 60/100
Evidence: High Range ₹41.11 – ₹107.25 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 3, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 7 days ago

Share price +6.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 55% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹107.25). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide (₹41.11 to ₹107.25). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹379.07 ₹153.93 Fair Value ₹85.41 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹153.93 – ₹379.07 · fair‑value band ₹41.11 – ₹107.25 · the ₹189.30 price screens above the ₹85.41 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 3, 2026.

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Analysis

541301 (541301) currently trades at ₹189.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹85.41, implying the stock looks roughly 54.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 116.9. Fundamentals as of Aug 3, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹41.11 (bear case) to ₹107.25 (bull case); at ₹189.30, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 41% fair-value upside, at -55%, 541301 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹24.10 ₹48.96 ₹89.08 80
Residual Income ₹32.57 ₹38.50 ₹77.34 76
Rev-Margin DCF ₹49.90 ₹101.13 ₹174.07 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹24.86 ₹44.22 ₹94.42 38
Owner Earnings ₹80.17 ₹167.10 ₹338.01 31
5Y Revenue Exit ₹49.90 ₹104.36 ₹184.80 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹71.01 ₹152.00 ₹262.86 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹54.97 ₹115.79 ₹191.89 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹39.77 ₹90.24 ₹176.68 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹56.53 ₹127.05 ₹252.50 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹45.48 ₹99.07 ₹187.50 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹28.64 ₹175.77 ₹245.25 54
Lynch FV ₹50.39 ₹71.98 ₹93.58 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹50.39 ₹71.98 ₹93.58 46
EPV ₹48.82 ₹56.79 ₹63.77 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹14.87 ₹30.92 ₹49.06 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹14.87 ₹26.08 ₹32.45 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹69.50 ₹92.66 ₹115.83 63
P/S Multiple ₹53.70 ₹71.60 ₹89.50 58
P/B Multiple ₹53.70 ₹71.60 ₹89.50 55
EV/EBIT ₹86.82 ₹115.43 ₹144.05 53
EV/EBITDA ₹94.22 ₹125.30 ₹156.38 54
EV/Revenue ₹58.84 ₹83.64 ₹108.44 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹17.57 ₹23.55 ₹35.14 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹24.10 ₹48.96 ₹89.08 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹49.90 ₹101.13 ₹174.07 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹32.57 ₹38.50 ₹77.34 76
ROIC Compounder ₹57.16 ₹83.55 ₹109.56 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹74.12 ₹105.88 ₹137.64 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹105.88) versus Asset-Based (₹23.55). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39

Profitability 63
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 61
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 21
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 73
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 70
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 42
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 39
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

541301 reported revenue of ₹30.9B in FY2024 versus ₹20.3B in FY2020, a compound +11.1%/yr. Reported net income was ₹832M in FY2024, compounding −8.7%/yr from FY2020.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
₹30.9B
Latest YoY
+10.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.5%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+38.3%
Revenue +11.1%/yr
FY20 ₹20.3B
FY21 ₹24.5B
FY22 ₹25.3B
FY23 ₹28.1B
FY24 ₹30.9B
Net income −8.7%/yr
FY20 ₹1.2B
FY21 ₹1.3B
FY22 ₹759M
FY23 ₹753M
FY24 ₹832M

541301 screens 55% overvalued. Compare with SCD Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "541301 Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/541301

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is 541301 overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹85.41 versus a price of ₹189.30, about −55% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 541301?
Our model-based fair value for 541301 is ₹85.41 (as of Aug 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹189.30.
What is the quality score of 541301?
541301 has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of 541301?
The net profit margin of 541301 is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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