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ST Barbara Ltd (SBM) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 13, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of ST Barbara Ltd stock A$0.44, price A$0.71, that is 37.3% below the price, quality 31 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Basic Materials AU · ISIN AU000000SBM8

SB ST Barbara Ltd logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

ST Barbara Ltd

SBM · AU

Far too expensive (fair value 37% below the price) and weak company, but rising price: meets 1 of 3 rules.

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Rising price (uptrend) 
Low debt 
Ranks above peers (6/9) 
Revenue last quarter +32% vs. a year ago. 
7.0% dividend yield · Watch coverage
Recent news mixed 
Fair value A$0.4449 · Strongly overvalued 
Quality 31/100 
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −65.5 %/yr in AUD) 
Negative free cash flow 
Narrow moat 14/100 · thin data
Thin data 
⟳ CyclicalEstimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.9300 A$0.1400 Fair Value A$0.4449 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.1400 – A$0.9300 · fair‑value band A$0.3337 – A$0.5562 · the A$0.7100 price screens above the A$0.4449 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 3 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

St Barbara Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, mining, and sale of gold. The company also explores for silver deposits. It holds interest in the Simberi project located in the province of New Ireland, Papua New Guinea.

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The company was incorporated in 1969 and is based in Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

ST Barbara Ltd (SBM) currently trades at A$0.7100, while our estimate is A$0.4449, 37% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: A$0.3337 (bear) to A$0.5562 (bull), the price of A$0.7100 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

ST Barbara Ltd reported revenue of A$3.6M in FY2026 versus A$201M in FY2022, a compound −63.4%/yr. Reported net income was −A$9.6M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$871M (≈ $592M) Small · EPS (TTM) A$−0.4500 · Dividend yield 7.0% · Return on equity −4.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −9.0% (5-year average) · Operating margin −874% · Revenue (TTM) A$3.6M · Revenue growth (YoY) +32.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 14 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 73% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −2% fair-value upside, at −37%, SBM screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear A$0.3337 Fair Value A$0.4449 Bull A$0.5562
Price A$0.7100 · Downside -37.3%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 6
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 19
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 100
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 29
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 2
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 68
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 64
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 5/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−98.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−77.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−65.5%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −40.1% a year
Revenue growth 37 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
21.4% (2020) → −943.1% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

SBM screens overvalued: fair value 37% below the price. Compare with Newmont Corporation →

Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (19 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.

Compare ST Barbara Ltd with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 280 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/8 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −37.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −1.0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 32.4% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months) 7.0% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.00× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.94× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 2.63× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 9
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 74
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 99
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 26

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Evolution Mining Limited EVN A$13.02 A$16.93 +30% vs SBM
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM $178.41 $220.07 +23% vs SBM
Newmont Corporation NEM $112.64 $130.32 +16% vs SBM
AngloGold Ashanti plc AU $87.60 $88.58 +1% vs SBM
Royal Gold, Inc RGLD $255.34 $251.36 −2% vs SBM
Shandong Gold Mining Co 600547 ¥24.91 ¥23.61 −5% vs SBM
Kinross Gold Corporation KGC $20.71 $18.00 −13% vs SBM
Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV $247.72 $212.30 −14% vs SBM
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM $131.80 $87.64 −34% vs SBM
Zijin Mining Group 601899 ¥26.78 ¥15.62 −42% vs SBM

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ST Barbara Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ST Barbara Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SBM

Frequently asked questions

Is ST Barbara Ltd (SBM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is A$0.4449 versus a price of A$0.7100, about 37% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SBM?
Our estimate for ST Barbara Ltd is A$0.4449 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.7100.
What is the quality score of SBM?
ST Barbara Ltd has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ST Barbara Ltd (SBM)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of A$0.4449 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario A$0.3337, optimistic scenario A$0.5562. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the ST Barbara Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at A$0.4449, about 37% lower versus a price of A$0.7100 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.3337, optimistic scenario A$0.5562. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of ST Barbara Ltd (SBM)?
ST Barbara Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$3.6M (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
Does ST Barbara Ltd pay a dividend?
ST Barbara Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 7.04% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 10, 2026).
How much is the dividend of ST Barbara Ltd (SBM) and when is the ex-dividend date?
ST Barbara Ltd pays a dividend of A$0.05 per share a year, a dividend yield of 7.0%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 23, 2026. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of ST Barbara Ltd (SBM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ST Barbara Ltd it is A$0.4449 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of A$0.7100.
Is ST Barbara Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, SBM trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.7100, fair value A$0.4449, a gap of about −37% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SBM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.7100); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.4449). For ST Barbara Ltd the two are A$0.2651 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ST Barbara Ltd worth?
The market values ST Barbara Ltd at about A$871M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is A$0.7100; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.4449 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SBM?
Our models span a range for ST Barbara Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.3337, base A$0.4449, optimistic A$0.5562 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price A$0.7100). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of SBM?
The PEG ratio of ST Barbara Ltd is 2.63 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 10, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of ST Barbara Ltd (SBM)?
Balance-sheet figures for ST Barbara Ltd (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −4.3%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 31/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SBM from its 52-week high?
ST Barbara Ltd trades at A$0.7100, about 24% below its 52-week high of A$0.9300 and 73% above the low of A$0.4100 (as of Nov 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.4449 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ST Barbara Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Newmont Corporation, Zijin Mining Group, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Wheaton Precious Metals Corp, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ST Barbara Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price A$0.7100, calculated fair value A$0.4449 (−37%), Quality Score 31/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.3% above its aggregate fair value. ST Barbara Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ST Barbara Ltd (SBM)?
The closing price on Nov 13, 2026 was A$0.7100. Our estimate is A$0.4449, about 37% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ST Barbara Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.5562). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of ST Barbara Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of ST Barbara Ltd (SBM)?
The market capitalisation of ST Barbara Ltd is A$871M (≈ $592M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of ST Barbara Ltd (SBM)?
Earnings per share at ST Barbara Ltd are A$−0.4500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of ST Barbara Ltd (SBM)?
The dividend yield of ST Barbara Ltd is 7.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the return on equity of ST Barbara Ltd (SBM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of ST Barbara Ltd is −4.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ST Barbara Ltd (SBM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ST Barbara Ltd is −9.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of ST Barbara Ltd (SBM)?
The operating margin of ST Barbara Ltd is −874% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at ST Barbara Ltd (SBM)?
Revenue at ST Barbara Ltd is growing +32.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −77.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at ST Barbara Ltd (SBM)?
Earnings per share at ST Barbara Ltd are growing −63.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does ST Barbara Ltd (SBM) generate?
The free cash flow of ST Barbara Ltd is −A$54.8M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does ST Barbara Ltd (SBM) hold?
ST Barbara Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$473M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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