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Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd (SCZ) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CA · Market cap C$1.1B

SS Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd SCZ · V
PriceC$11.71
Fair ValueC$8.58
Upside-26.7%
Quality69/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 16.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (11/13)
Wide moat 71/100
Evidence: High Range C$6.16 – C$10.70 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price +33.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 27% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$10.70). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (69/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

C$22.45 C$0.6400 Fair Value C$8.58 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$0.6400 – C$22.45 · fair‑value band C$6.16 – C$10.70 · the C$11.71 price screens above the C$8.58 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd (SCZ) currently trades at C$11.71, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$8.58, implying the stock looks roughly 26.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd generated revenue of C$384M at a net margin of 16.0%. Revenue grew 81.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 34.9%. Net debt stands at C$12.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from C$6.16 (bear case) to C$10.70 (bull case); at C$11.71, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 218% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -27%, SCZ screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF C$7.13 C$11.99 C$19.62 80
Rev-Margin DCF C$5.97 C$9.85 C$18.00 74
ROIC Compounder C$8.05 C$10.92 C$14.26 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF C$7.58 C$10.85 C$20.63 38
Owner Earnings C$4.03 C$7.86 C$14.97 31
5Y Revenue Exit C$5.48 C$8.67 C$15.30 39
5Y EBITDA Exit C$8.18 C$14.12 C$25.76 41
5Y P/E Exit C$6.76 C$13.86 C$23.43 38
10Y Revenue Exit C$6.08 C$11.58 C$14.73 36
10Y EBITDA Exit C$8.02 C$16.88 C$32.22 37
10Y P/E Exit C$7.07 C$14.08 C$25.34 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd C$3.10 C$21.59 C$30.30 54
Lynch FV C$11.15 C$15.93 C$20.71 50
PEG = 1.0 C$11.15 C$15.93 C$20.71 46
EPV C$6.73 C$7.59 C$8.30 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple C$5.80 C$7.74 C$9.67 63
P/S Multiple C$3.96 C$5.28 C$6.60 58
P/B Multiple C$4.34 C$5.79 C$7.24 55
EV/EBIT C$9.85 C$12.98 C$16.11 53
EV/EBITDA C$8.33 C$10.95 C$13.58 54
EV/Revenue C$4.16 C$5.74 C$7.33 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$0.9700 C$1.29 C$1.93 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF C$7.13 C$11.99 C$19.62 80
Rev-Margin DCF C$5.97 C$9.85 C$18.00 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income C$2.62 C$3.52 C$14.91 61
ROIC Compounder C$8.05 C$10.92 C$14.26 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E C$13.72 C$19.60 C$25.49 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (C$19.60) versus Asset-Based (C$1.29). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) C$384M
Revenue growth (YoY) +81.4%
Net margin 16.0%
Return on equity 34.9%
Free cash flow C$48.5M FY2025
P/E ratio 12.5
More key figures
Operating margin 26.6%
EPS (TTM) C$0.9100
EPS growth (YoY) +182%
Net debt C$12.8M FY2023

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 59
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 71
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 55
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 53
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 70
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 77
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, production, and operation of mineral properties in Latin America. The company primarily explores for silver and zinc, as well as lead and copper deposits. It also holds a portfolio of mineral properties in Mexico and Bolivia.

Full company description

Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, production, and operation of mineral properties in Latin America. The company primarily explores for silver and zinc, as well as lead and copper deposits. It also holds a portfolio of mineral properties in Mexico and Bolivia. The company is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd reported revenue of C$326M in FY2025 versus C$53.3M in FY2021, a compound +57.3%/yr. Reported net income was C$42.2M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
C$326M
Latest YoY
+15.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+5.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+58.0%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y)
+36.5%
Revenue +57.3%/yr
FY21 C$53.3M
FY22 C$279M
FY23 C$251M
FY24 C$283M
FY25 C$326M
Net income
FY21 −C$11.6M
FY22 −C$22.3M
FY23 C$16.1M
FY24 C$164M
FY25 C$42.2M

SCZ screens 27% overvalued. Compare with BHP Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SCZ

Peer Group

Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 476 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −27% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 35% · Top 25%
Return on assets 15% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 27% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 81% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 4.23× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.97× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 15.6× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 6.1× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 23
PAST 100 · sector 0
HEALTH 100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 21

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BHP Group BHPN 1,425 MXN 942.42 MXN -34%
Rio Tinto Group RIO A$164.89 A$81.76 -50%
Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB 199.23 MXN 187.72 MXN -6%
Vale S.A VALE $14.19 $9.14 -36%
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 58.05 SAR 33.87 SAR -42%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥18.20 ¥16.15 -11%
Fortescue Ltd FMG A$18.47 A$18.62 +1%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥74.71 ¥9.55 -87%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹521.95 ₹576.80 +11%
China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 ¥39.56 ¥10.59 -73%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd (SCZ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$8.58 versus a price of C$11.71, about −27% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SCZ?
Our model-based fair value for Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd is C$8.58 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is C$11.71.
What is the quality score of SCZ?
Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd (SCZ)?
Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$384M (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SCZ?
The net profit margin of Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd is about 16.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 16.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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