Stampede Drilling Inc (SDI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Stampede Drilling Inc stock C$0.13, price C$0.24, that is 46.0% below the price, quality 40 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 14 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$0.1100 – C$0.4900 · fair‑value band C$0.1295 – C$0.1330 · the C$0.2400 price screens above the C$0.1295 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
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Stampede Drilling Inc. provides oilfield services to the oil and natural gas industry. The company provides contract drilling services in Western Canada. It also operates a fleet of 18 telescopic double rigs.
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The company was formerly known as MATRRIX Energy Technologies Inc. and changed its name to Stampede Drilling Inc. in May 2019. Stampede Drilling Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is based in Calgary, Canada.
Stock analysis
Stampede Drilling Inc (SDI) currently trades at C$0.2400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.1295, 46% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of C$0.5900 per share, and 10 of the 14 models we run sit above the C$0.2400 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at C$0.2300, and 4 of the 14 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: C$0.1295 (bear) to C$0.1330 (bull), the price of C$0.2400 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Stampede Drilling Inc reported revenue of C$71.4M in FY2025 versus C$32.2M in FY2021, a compound +22.1%/yr. Reported net income was C$3.8M in FY2025, compounding +16.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap C$47.1M (≈ $33.4M) Micro · P/E ratio 12.0 · P/S ratio 0.64 · EPS (TTM) C$0.0200 · Net margin 5.3% · Return on equity 6.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.9% (5-year average) · Operating margin −4.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 24 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 118% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −39% fair-value upside, at −46%, SDI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
BearC$0.1295Fair Value C$0.1295BullC$0.1330
Price C$0.2400 · Downside -46.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (C$0.0172 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual IncomeC$0.3700C$0.3700C$0.380076
EPVC$0.0700C$0.0900C$0.120073
ROIC CompounderC$0.0700C$0.0900C$0.120072
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-DoddC$0.1400C$0.9500C$1.3363
Lynch FVC$0.3800C$0.5400C$0.700061
PEG = 1.0C$0.3800C$0.5400C$0.700057
EPVC$0.0700C$0.0900C$0.120073
Multiples
P/E MultipleC$0.2100C$0.2800C$0.350063
P/S MultipleC$0.2600C$0.3400C$0.430058
P/B MultipleC$0.2000C$0.2700C$0.340055
EV/EBITC$0.0100C$0.0500C$0.090059
EV/EBITDAC$0.2000C$0.3100C$0.410066
EV/RevenueC$0.0400C$0.1000C$0.150051
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)C$0.2400C$0.3200C$0.470054
Economic Profit
Residual IncomeC$0.3700C$0.3700C$0.380076
ROIC CompounderC$0.0700C$0.0900C$0.120072
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/EC$0.4100C$0.5900C$0.770067
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical peak year.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.46/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−13.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+37.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +32.2% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+6.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.6.3% vs −8.0%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−18% → 4%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 7.0%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Drilling · 34 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score40 · Below median
Fair Value upside−46.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)6.5% · Above median
Return on assets3.0% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)7.1% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)−4.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)204.0% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.16× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Drilling median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)12.0× · Pricier than median
P/B0.52× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months)0.55× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA3.9× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 10
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 3
PAST (return on equity)26· sector 5
HEALTH (low debt)92· sector 80
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 32
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Stampede Drilling Inc (SDI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.1295 versus a price of C$0.2400, about 46% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SDI?
Our model-based fair value for Stampede Drilling Inc is C$0.1295 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$0.2400.
What is the quality score of SDI?
Stampede Drilling Inc has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Stampede Drilling Inc (SDI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.1295 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.1295, optimistic scenario C$0.1330. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Stampede Drilling Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.1295, about 46% lower versus a price of C$0.2400 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$0.1295, optimistic scenario C$0.1330. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Stampede Drilling Inc (SDI)?
Stampede Drilling Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$86.1M (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Stampede Drilling Inc (SDI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Stampede Drilling Inc it is C$0.1295 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of C$0.2400. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models in 5 families (Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Stampede Drilling Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, SDI trades above its calculated fair value: price C$0.2400, fair value C$0.1295, a gap of about −46% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SDI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$0.2400); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.1295). For Stampede Drilling Inc the two are C$0.1105 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Stampede Drilling Inc worth?
The market values Stampede Drilling Inc at about C$47.1M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is C$0.2400; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.1295 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SDI?
Our models span a range for Stampede Drilling Inc: cautious scenario C$0.1295, base C$0.1295, optimistic C$0.1330 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price C$0.2400). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SDI?
Stampede Drilling Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.0 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of C$0.1295 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 5 fiscal years (2021 to 2025), reported earnings: 6.9. Other multiples: P/B 0.5, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 3.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Stampede Drilling Inc (SDI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Stampede Drilling Inc (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 6.5%, debt of 0.16 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SDI from its 52-week high?
Stampede Drilling Inc trades at C$0.2400, at its 52-week high of C$0.2400 and 118% above the low of C$0.1100 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.1295 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Stampede Drilling Inc?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Noble Corporation, Transocean Ltd, Valaris Limited, Sinopec Oilfield Service Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Stampede Drilling Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price C$0.2400, calculated fair value C$0.1295 (−46%), Quality Score 40/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SDI calculated?
We run Stampede Drilling Inc through 14 models from 5 families: Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of C$0.1295 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Stampede Drilling Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Stampede Drilling Inc (SDI)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was C$0.2400. Our model-based fair value is C$0.1295, about 46% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Stampede Drilling Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.1330). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. The models converge in a tight band (C$0.1295 to C$0.1330), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Key figures of Stampede Drilling Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Stampede Drilling Inc (SDI)?
The market capitalisation of Stampede Drilling Inc is C$47.1M (≈ $33.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Stampede Drilling Inc (SDI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Stampede Drilling Inc is 0.64 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Stampede Drilling Inc (SDI)?
Earnings per share at Stampede Drilling Inc are C$0.0200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Stampede Drilling Inc (SDI)?
The net margin of Stampede Drilling Inc is 5.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Stampede Drilling Inc (SDI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Stampede Drilling Inc is 6.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Stampede Drilling Inc (SDI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Stampede Drilling Inc is 6.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Stampede Drilling Inc (SDI)?
The operating margin of Stampede Drilling Inc is −4.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Stampede Drilling Inc (SDI)?
Revenue at Stampede Drilling Inc is growing +204% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Stampede Drilling Inc (SDI)?
Earnings per share at Stampede Drilling Inc are growing +23.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Stampede Drilling Inc (SDI) generate?
The free cash flow of Stampede Drilling Inc is −C$3.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Stampede Drilling Inc (SDI) carry?
The net debt of Stampede Drilling Inc is C$19.3M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 8, 2026