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SEA.TO (SEA) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CA · Market cap C$5.1B (≈ $3.7B) · ISIN CA8119161054

What is SEA.TO really worth?

ST SEA.TO SEA · TO
PriceC$44.04
Fair ValueC$6.99
Upside−84.1%
Quality19/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 530% above our fair value of C$6.99.

As of Aug 30, 2026, the fair value of SEA.TO is C$6.99 per share against a price of C$44.04, so the fair value sits 84% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Risks

!Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Narrow moat 20/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range C$5.21 – C$10.43

Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 7 days ago

Share price +7.6% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$10.43). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (19/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (C$5.21 to C$10.43) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

C$50.28 C$9.81 Fair Value C$6.99 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$9.81 – C$50.28 · fair‑value band C$5.21 – C$10.43 · the C$44.04 price screens above the C$6.99 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.

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Analysis

SEA.TO (SEA) currently trades at C$44.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$6.99, implying the stock looks roughly 530.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 19/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

It earns a return on equity of −6.4%. Net debt stands at C$482M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 175.6 (as of Aug 27, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026

Our scenario range runs from C$5.21 (bear case) to C$10.43 (bull case); at C$44.04, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 130% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at −84%, SEA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly C$0.1842 per share, which is 2.1 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) best evidence C$5.21 C$6.99 C$10.43 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) best evidence C$5.21 C$6.99 C$10.43 54

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 175.6 as of Aug 27, 2026
EPS (TTM) C$−0.7000 price ÷ EPS = P/E 175.6
Return on equity −6.4% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −1.4% avg 5y
EPS growth (YoY) −76.5%
Free cash flow −C$152M FY2025
More key figures
Balance sheet & cash flow
Net debt C$482M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 19/100

Of which business quality 24 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53

Profitability 3
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 72
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 14
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 67
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 89
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 3
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Seabridge Gold Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition and exploration of gold properties in North America. It explores for gold, silver, copper, and molybdenum deposits. The company was formerly known as Seabridge Resources Inc. and changed its name to Seabridge Gold Inc. in June 2002. Seabridge Gold Inc.

Full company description

Seabridge Gold Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition and exploration of gold properties in North America. It explores for gold, silver, copper, and molybdenum deposits. The company was formerly known as Seabridge Resources Inc. and changed its name to Seabridge Gold Inc. in June 2002. Seabridge Gold Inc. was incorporated in 1979 and is based in Toronto, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

SEA.TO reported revenue of C$0 in FY2025 versus C$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −C$53.2M in FY2025.

Revenue
FY21 C$0
FY22 C$0
FY23 C$0
FY24 C$0
FY25 C$0
Net income
FY21 C$895K
FY22 −C$7.4M
FY23 −C$29.3M
FY24 −C$31.2M
FY25 −C$53.2M

SEA screens 530% overvalued. Compare with Newmont Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SEA.TO Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SEA.TO

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 30, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Newmont Corporation NEMCL $128.00 $112.82 −12%
Zijin Mining Group 601899 ¥32.21 ¥39.42 +22%
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM C$268.76 C$213.40 −21%
Barrick Mining Corporation B $41.23 $50.66 +23%
Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV $266.18 $96.63 −64%
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM C$201.40 C$56.05 −72%
AngloGold Ashanti plc AU $97.92 $88.63 −9%
Kinross Gold Corporation KGC $30.87 $34.62 +12%
Royal Gold, Inc RGLD $262.85 $93.56 −64%
Northern Star Resources Limited NST A$23.19 A$15.98 −31%

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Frequently asked questions

Is SEA.TO (SEA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$6.99 versus a price of C$44.04, about −84% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SEA?
Our model-based fair value for SEA.TO is C$6.99 (as of Aug 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$44.04.
What is the quality score of SEA?
SEA.TO has a Quality Score of 19/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SEA.TO (SEA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$6.99 (as of Aug 30, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$5.21, optimistic scenario C$10.43. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SEA.TO stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$6.99, about −84% upside versus a price of C$44.04 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$5.21, optimistic scenario C$10.43. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the net profit margin of SEA?
The net profit margin of SEA.TO is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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