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Data-driven stock valuation

Seiko Epson Corp ADR (SEKEY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Seiko Epson Corp ADR is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Technology · US · Market cap $5.5B · ISIN US81603X1081

At a glance

SE Seiko Epson Corp ADR logo Seiko Epson Corp ADR SEKEY · US
Price$10.38
Fair Value$12.67
Upside+22.1%
Quality62/100

A solid business, trading 18% below our fair value of $12.67.

As of Sep 8, 2026, the fair value of Seiko Epson Corp ADR is $12.67 per share against a price of $10.38, so the fair value sits 22% above the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +8.5 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.3% net margin
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·2.83% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
!Narrow moat 17/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 9 out of 100
Evidence: Medium Range $9.55 to $16.32

Fair value as of: Sep 8, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Sep 8, 2026, revised from $12.09 to $12.67 (+4.8%) since Sep 3, 2026. Share price +3.4% over the past month.

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety.
  • Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$10.38 $5.47 Fair Value $12.67 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $5.47 – $10.38 · fair‑value band $9.55 – $16.32 · the $10.38 price screens below the $12.67 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.

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Analysis

Seiko Epson Corp ADR (SEKEY) currently trades at $10.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.67, implying the stock looks roughly 18.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $24.26 per share, and 18 of the 22 models we run sit above the $10.38 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $5.21, and 4 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Seiko Epson Corp ADR generated revenue of ¥1.4T at a net margin of 1.3%. Revenue grew 8.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ¥57.4B. Fundamentals as of Sep 8, 2026

Scenario range: $9.55 (bear) to $16.32 (bull), the price of $10.38 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 91% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −53% fair-value upside, at 22%, SEKEY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence $19.50 $23.99 $31.69 82
Growth DCF $19.94 $24.26 $31.15 80
Owner Earnings $15.70 $18.89 $24.36 78
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence $19.50 $23.99 $31.69 82
Owner Earnings $15.70 $18.89 $24.36 78
5Y Revenue Exit $21.60 $29.15 $39.69 73
5Y EBITDA Exit $38.45 $58.03 $82.83 75
5Y P/E Exit $16.21 $19.91 $24.14 72
10Y Revenue Exit $20.18 $26.57 $34.02 68
10Y EBITDA Exit $30.81 $45.29 $62.34 69
10Y P/E Exit $17.41 $20.58 $23.81 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $2.90 $5.21 $6.43 66
EPV $17.45 $19.19 $20.70 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $8.94 $11.92 $14.90 63
P/S Multiple $5.43 $7.24 $9.05 58
P/B Multiple $5.43 $7.24 $9.05 55
EV/EBIT $41.67 $53.43 $65.19 66
EV/EBITDA $57.30 $74.27 $91.24 67
EV/Revenue $24.23 $31.87 $39.52 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $9.46 $12.67 $18.91 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $19.94 $24.26 $31.15 80
Rev-Margin DCF $21.60 $29.35 $38.56 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $13.19 $12.50 $9.80 71
ROIC Compounder $17.45 $19.24 $21.22 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $6.26 $8.94 $11.62 67

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($24.26) versus Earnings-Based ($5.21). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (82).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 57.7
P/S ratio 0.74 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $0.1800 price ÷ EPS = P/E 57.7
Dividend yield 2.8% payout 163%
Net margin 1.3% FY2026
Return on equity 2.2% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 5.9% avg 5y
Operating margin −2.4% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) ¥1.4T TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.9% 3y avg +4.0%
EPS growth (YoY) −29.3%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow ¥61.2B FY2026
Net cash ¥57.4B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 87

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 49
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 80
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 79
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 90
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Seiko Epson Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, sells, and provides services for products in the printing solutions, visual communications, manufacturing-related and wearables, and other businesses. It operates through three segments: Printing Solutions, Visual Communications, and Manufacturing-related and Wearables segments.

Full company description

Seiko Epson Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, sells, and provides services for products in the printing solutions, visual communications, manufacturing-related and wearables, and other businesses. It operates through three segments: Printing Solutions, Visual Communications, and Manufacturing-related and Wearables segments. The Printing Solutions segment offers home and office inkjet printers, serial impact dot matrix printers, page printers, color image scanners dry office paper machines, commercial and industrial inkjet printers, inkjet printheads, printers for use in POS systems, label printers, printer consumables, and digital printing software solutions. The Visual Communications segment provides LCD projectors for business, education, the home, and event; smart glasses; and others. The Manufacturing-related and Wearables segment offers industrial robots, watches, watch movements, and others; and crystal units, crystal oscillators, quartz sensors, and others for consumer, automotive, and industrial equipment applications. This segment also provides CMOS LSIs and other chips for consumer electronics and automotive applications; and metal powders for use as raw materials in the production of electronic components, etc., as well as value-added surface finishing in a range of industrial fields. It also sells PCs. It operates in Japan, the Philippines, the United States, Indonesia, People's Republic of China, and internationally. Seiko Epson Corporation was incorporated in 1942 and is headquartered in Suwa-shi, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Seiko Epson Corp ADR reported revenue of ¥1.5T in FY2026 versus ¥1.1T in FY2022, a compound +7.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥19.3B in FY2026, compounding −32.4%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 72/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
¥1.5T
Latest YoY
+9.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (21Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.1%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in JPY) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, EBIT basis) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+17.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+15.0%
Dividend yield2.8%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y −7.6% vs 10Y −7.9%, steady
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4.8% (2021) → 5.9% (2026) · rising
Worst earnings drop321% (2009) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in JPY
Revenue +7.3%/yr
FY22 ¥1.1T
FY23 ¥1.3T
FY24 ¥1.3T
FY25 ¥1.4T
FY26 ¥1.5T
Net income −32.4%/yr
FY22 ¥92.3B
FY23 ¥75.0B
FY24 ¥52.6B
FY25 ¥55.2B
FY26 ¥19.3B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) −4.3 % p.a.
Revenue per share +4.0 %

of which total revenue +3.0 % · buybacks/dilution +1.0 %

EBIT margin −5.5 %
Tax rate −1.4 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.3 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Seiko Epson Corp ADR · Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Seiko Epson Corp ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SEKEY

Peer Group

Computer Hardware · 224 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +17% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 9% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.8% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Computer Hardware median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 57.7× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 18.56× · Priciest 25%

What the price implies (reverse DCF)

The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Seiko Epson Corp ADR deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.

Implied FCF growth, 10 years-1.0 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 5 years+8.5 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+8.2 %
FCF yield on price6.00 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models8.8 %

The price demands less growth than the company recently delivered: even a weaker business would justify the price. Ranking of the largest stocks →

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE63 · sector 5
FUTURE45 · sector 59
PAST9 · sector 23
HEALTH100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND57 · sector 37

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Computer Hardware stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Dell Technologies Inc DELL $456.24 $187.75 −59%
Arista Networks, Inc ANET $193.78 $57.72 −70%
Western Digital Corporation WDC $441.57 $47.49 −89%
Hygon Information Technology Co 688041 ¥246.21 ¥30.66 −88%
Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co 002415 ¥35.18 ¥40.44 +15%
Shenzhen Longsys Electronics Co 301308 ¥376.88 ¥91.67 −76%
Lenovo Group 0992 HK$30.12 HK$33.70 +12%
Dawning Information Industry Co 603019 ¥83.19 ¥39.38 −53%
HP Inc HPQ $32.64 $48.62 +49%
Inspur Electronic Information Industry Co 000977 ¥73.79 ¥44.02 −40%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Seiko Epson Corp ADR (SEKEY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $12.67 versus a price of $10.38, about +22% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SEKEY?
Our model-based fair value for Seiko Epson Corp ADR is $12.67 (as of Sep 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $10.38.
What is the quality score of SEKEY?
Seiko Epson Corp ADR has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Seiko Epson Corp ADR (SEKEY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $12.67 (as of Sep 8, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario $9.55, optimistic scenario $16.32. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Seiko Epson Corp ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $12.67, about +22% upside versus a price of $10.38 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $9.55, optimistic scenario $16.32. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Seiko Epson Corp ADR (SEKEY)?
Seiko Epson Corp ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥1.4T (latest available figure, as of Sep 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SEKEY?
The net profit margin of Seiko Epson Corp ADR is about 1.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Seiko Epson Corp ADR pay a dividend?
Seiko Epson Corp ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.83% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 8, 2026).
What growth is priced into Seiko Epson Corp ADR (SEKEY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Seiko Epson Corp ADR would have to grow free cash flow by -1.0 % per year for ten years (discount rate 8.8 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.5 % per year. As of Sep 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SEKEY use?
Our models discount Seiko Epson Corp ADR at 8.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.63, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
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