Senetas Corporation (SEN) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · AU · Market cap A$48.9M
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
Share price +4.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 30% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$2.79). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (A$1.19 to A$2.79) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$1.15 – A$5.73 · fair‑value band A$1.19 – A$2.79 · the A$3.08 price screens above the A$2.14 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
Senetas Corporation (SEN) currently trades at A$3.08, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$2.14, implying the stock looks roughly 30.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$19.2M. Revenue declined 0.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -4.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$7.5M. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$1.19 (bear case) to A$2.79 (bull case); at A$3.08, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 115% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at -30%, SEN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (A$28.71) versus Economic Profit (A$1.47). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 78
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Senetas Corporation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of information technology products which provide network data security solutions to businesses and governments worldwide.
Full company description
Senetas Corporation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of information technology products which provide network data security solutions to businesses and governments worldwide. It develops and manufactures encryption hardware; virtualized network encryption software; and advanced encrypted file sharing application. The company's products include CypherNET CN series network encryptors and CV series virtualized network encryption solution, SureDrop secure file sharing and collaboration solution; and CM7 network encryption management platform, as well as offers support and maintenance services. It serves commercial cyber security, government and defense, infrastructure, finance, gaming, and healthcare industries. The company was incorporated in 1982 and is based in Melbourne, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Senetas Corporation reported revenue of A$19.3M in FY2025 versus A$23.0M in FY2021, a compound −4.4%/yr. Reported net income was A$27.8M in FY2025.
SEN screens 30% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →
Peer Group
Software - Infrastructure · 370 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft Corporation MSFT | $384.00 | $274.17 | -29% |
| Oracle Corporation ORAC | C$9.08 | C$2.94 | -68% |
| Fortinet, Inc FTNT | $160.78 | $44.96 | -72% |
| Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS | €354.50 | €93.61 | -74% |
| Block, Inc XYZ | A$114.53 | A$70.69 | -38% |
| CoreWeave, Inc CRWV | $79.94 | $44.89 | -44% |
| Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 | ¥71.60 | ¥34.00 | -53% |
| Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS | ₹11,651 | ₹5,821 | -50% |
| 360 Security Technology Inc 601360 | ¥9.64 | ¥5.05 | -48% |
| One97 Communications Limited PAYTM | ₹1,342 | ₹181.50 | -86% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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