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Senetas Corporation Ltd (SEN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Senetas Corporation Ltd A$1.85, price A$2.90, upside -36.3%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Technology · AU · ISIN AU000000SEN0

SC Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Senetas Corporation Ltd

SEN · AU

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value A$1.85 · Strongly overvalued (−36%)
!Quality 47/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −3.2 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 149.3% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/12)
!Moderate moat 60/100
!Insider activity 45/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range A$1.05 to A$3.37
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$5.73 A$1.15 Fair Value A$1.85 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$1.15 – A$5.73 · fair‑value band A$1.05 – A$3.37 · the A$2.90 price screens above the A$1.85 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Senetas Corporation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of information technology products which provide network data security solutions to businesses and governments worldwide.

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Senetas Corporation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of information technology products which provide network data security solutions to businesses and governments worldwide. It develops and manufactures encryption hardware; virtualized network encryption software; and advanced encrypted file sharing application. The company's products include CypherNET CN series network encryptors and CV series virtualized network encryption solution, SureDrop secure file sharing and collaboration solution; and CM7 network encryption management platform, as well as offers support and maintenance services. It serves commercial cyber security, government and defense, infrastructure, finance, gaming, and healthcare industries. The company was incorporated in 1982 and is based in Melbourne, Australia.

Stock analysis

Senetas Corporation Ltd (SEN) currently trades at A$2.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$1.85, implying the stock looks roughly 57.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of A$15.22 per share, and 9 of the 10 models we run sit above the A$2.90 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$1.70, and 1 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: A$1.05 (bear) to A$3.37 (bull), the price of A$2.90 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Senetas Corporation Ltd reported revenue of A$19.3M in FY2025 versus A$23.0M in FY2021, a compound −4.4%/yr. Reported net income was A$27.8M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$47.8M (≈ $33.6M) · P/S ratio 2.55 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.9900 · Net margin 145% · Return on equity −4.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −23.5% · Operating margin −5.3% · Revenue (TTM) A$19.2M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 63% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −36%, SEN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$1.05 Fair Value A$1.85 Bull A$3.37
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings A$19.11 A$28.41 A$41.88 73
Growth-Adj P/E A$28.01 A$40.02 A$52.02 67
Graham-Dodd A$11.41 A$34.07 A$45.12 65
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings A$19.11 A$28.41 A$41.88 73
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd A$11.41 A$34.07 A$45.12 65
Lynch FV A$7.20 A$10.29 A$13.37 61
PEG = 1.0 A$7.20 A$10.29 A$13.37 57
Multiples
P/E Multiple A$35.25 A$46.99 A$58.74 63
P/S Multiple A$4.79 A$6.39 A$7.99 58
P/B Multiple A$11.41 A$15.22 A$19.02 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$1.27 A$1.70 A$2.54 51
Economic Profit
Residual Income A$13.76 A$24.07 A$566.25 58
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E A$28.01 A$40.02 A$52.02 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 67
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 4
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 61
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 36
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 36
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 68
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 58
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 11/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−38.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.9% a year
Revenue growth 36 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−8.2% (2020) → −41.9% (2024)

SEN screens 57% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 383 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside −36% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 149% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −1% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.80× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 1.75× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 18.2× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.77× · Cheaper than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Fortinet, Inc FTNT $178.74 $164.92 −8%
Synopsys, Inc SNPS $413.06 $250.04 −39%
Block, Inc XYZ $74.68 $101.29 +36%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $86.90 $71.79 −17%
NetApp, Inc NTAP $192.91 $157.18 −19%

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A$1.85 −57%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Senetas Corporation Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SEN

Frequently asked questions

Is Senetas Corporation Ltd (SEN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$1.85 versus a price of A$2.90, about −36% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SEN?
Our model-based fair value for Senetas Corporation Ltd is A$1.85 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$2.90.
What is the quality score of SEN?
Senetas Corporation Ltd has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Senetas Corporation Ltd (SEN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$1.85 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$1.05, optimistic scenario A$3.37. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Senetas Corporation Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$1.85, about −36% upside versus a price of A$2.90 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$1.05, optimistic scenario A$3.37. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Senetas Corporation Ltd (SEN)?
Senetas Corporation Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$19.2M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Senetas Corporation Ltd (SEN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Senetas Corporation Ltd it is A$1.85 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$2.90. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Senetas Corporation Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, SEN trades above its calculated fair value: price A$2.90, fair value A$1.85, a gap of about −36% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SEN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$2.90); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$1.85). For Senetas Corporation Ltd the two are A$1.05 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Senetas Corporation Ltd worth?
The market values Senetas Corporation Ltd at about A$47.8M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$2.90; our models calculate a fair value of A$1.85 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SEN?
Our models span a range for Senetas Corporation Ltd: cautious scenario A$1.05, base A$1.85, optimistic A$3.37 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$2.90). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of SEN?
The PEG ratio of Senetas Corporation Ltd is 0.77 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Senetas Corporation Ltd (SEN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Senetas Corporation Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −4.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SEN from its 52-week high?
Senetas Corporation Ltd trades at A$2.90, about 18% below its 52-week high of A$3.52 and 63% above the low of A$1.78 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$1.85 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Senetas Corporation Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Oracle Corporation, Palo Alto Networks, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Senetas Corporation Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$2.90, calculated fair value A$1.85 (−36%), Quality Score 47/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SEN calculated?
We run Senetas Corporation Ltd through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$1.85, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Senetas Corporation Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Senetas Corporation Ltd (SEN)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$2.90. Our model-based fair value is A$1.85, about −36% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Senetas Corporation Ltd right now?
The model range is unusually wide (A$1.05 to A$3.37). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Senetas Corporation Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Senetas Corporation Ltd (SEN)?
The market capitalisation of Senetas Corporation Ltd is A$47.8M (≈ $33.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Senetas Corporation Ltd (SEN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Senetas Corporation Ltd is 2.55 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Senetas Corporation Ltd (SEN)?
Earnings per share at Senetas Corporation Ltd are A$−0.9900. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Senetas Corporation Ltd (SEN)?
The net margin of Senetas Corporation Ltd is 145% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Senetas Corporation Ltd (SEN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Senetas Corporation Ltd is −4.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Senetas Corporation Ltd (SEN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Senetas Corporation Ltd is −23.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Senetas Corporation Ltd (SEN)?
The operating margin of Senetas Corporation Ltd is −5.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Senetas Corporation Ltd (SEN)?
Revenue at Senetas Corporation Ltd is growing −0.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −8.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Senetas Corporation Ltd (SEN)?
Earnings per share at Senetas Corporation Ltd are growing +130% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Senetas Corporation Ltd (SEN) generate?
The free cash flow of Senetas Corporation Ltd is −A$558K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Senetas Corporation Ltd (SEN) hold?
Senetas Corporation Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$7.5M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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