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Stora Enso Oyj PK (SEOAY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Stora Enso Oyj PK $11.35, price $12.35, upside -8.1%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · US · Home Finland · ISIN US86210M1062

SE Stora Enso Oyj PK logo Broad data Sep 23, 2026

Stora Enso Oyj PK

SEOAY · US

NeutralThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.

·Fair value $11.35 · Fairly valued (−8%)
!Quality 53/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.6% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·2.02% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
!Narrow moat 37/100
!Weak on valuation: 23 out of 100
!Weak on past: 24 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$19.28 $7.93 Fair Value $11.35 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $7.93 – $19.28 · fair‑value band $9.15 – $17.00 · the $12.35 price screens above the $11.35 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Stora Enso Oyj provides renewable solutions for the packaging, biomaterials, wooden constructions, and paper industries in Finland and internationally. It operates through Packaging Materials, Packaging Solutions, Biomaterials, Wood Products, Forest, and Other segments.

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Stora Enso Oyj provides renewable solutions for the packaging, biomaterials, wooden constructions, and paper industries in Finland and internationally. It operates through Packaging Materials, Packaging Solutions, Biomaterials, Wood Products, Forest, and Other segments. The company's Packaging Materials segment offers virgin and recycled fiber replace fossil-based materials, renewable and recyclable packaging materials for food and beverage, and transport packaging. Its Packaging Solutions segment develops and sells fiber-based packaging products and services, including converting carton and corrugated boards for packaging solutions for retail, e-commerce, and industrials. The company's Biomaterials segment provides various pulp for packaging, paper, tissue, specialties, and hygiene products; and tall oil and turpentine from biomass. Its Wood Products segment offers wood-based solutions, including digital tools for design and construction of building projects with wood; applications for windows and doors; and pellets for sustainable heating solutions. The company's Forest segment engages in sustainable forest management, as well as supplies wood. The company's Other segment produces electricity and heat. It serves packaging manufacturers, brand owners, retailers, converters, and construction companies. The company was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Helsinki, Finland.

Stock analysis

Stora Enso Oyj PK (SEOAY) currently trades at $12.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $11.35, implying the stock looks roughly 8.8% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $14.96 per share, and 6 of the 15 models we run sit above the $12.35 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $2.53, and 9 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $9.15 (bear) to $17.00 (bull), the price of $12.35 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Stora Enso Oyj PK reported revenue of €9.3B in FY2025 versus €10.2B in FY2021, a compound −2.1%/yr. Reported net income was €695M in FY2025, compounding −13.9%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $9.8B · P/E ratio 12.1 · P/S ratio 0.90 · EPS (TTM) $0.9100 · Dividend yield 2.0% · Net margin 7.5% · Return on equity 6.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at −8%, SEOAY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $9.15 Fair Value $11.35 Bull $17.00
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.4828 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income $10.74 $11.11 $11.32 75
Owner Earnings $4.77 $7.38 $12.07 74
EPV $7.35 $8.88 $10.21 72
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $4.77 $7.38 $12.07 74
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $5.98 $7.31 $8.23 65
EPV $7.35 $8.88 $10.21 72
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $2.32 $2.53 $2.85 67
DDM Multi-Stage $2.32 $2.87 $3.62 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple $11.22 $14.96 $18.70 61
P/S Multiple $11.22 $14.96 $18.70 56
P/B Multiple $11.22 $14.96 $18.70 53
EV/EBIT $10.14 $14.32 $18.49 64
EV/EBITDA $10.96 $15.41 $19.86 65
EV/Revenue $8.47 $13.13 $17.78 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $6.84 $9.16 $13.67 52
Economic Profit
Residual Income $10.74 $11.11 $11.32 75
ROIC Compounder $7.35 $8.88 $10.21 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $7.99 $11.42 $14.85 66

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 19
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 51
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 52
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 53
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 29/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.1%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.2%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.7% a year
Revenue growth 26 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.5%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−2.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−4.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−5% vs 4%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 10%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

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Earlier news

News mood News mood, the average tone of recent news (93 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.

Compare Stora Enso Oyj PK with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 274 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 53 · Above median
Fair Value upside −8% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.29× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.90× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.05× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 18.7× · Priciest 25%
PEG 41.46× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)23 · sector 20
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 4
PAST (return on equity)24 · sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)86 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)40 · sector 46

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW $46.45 $29.84 −36%
Packaging Corporation PKG $238.23 $129.76 −46%
International Paper Company IP $35.71 $21.44 −40%
Ball Corporation BALL $59.97 $47.41 −21%
Crown Holdings CCK $109.64 $118.59 +8%
Avery Dennison Corporation AVY $172.09 $123.89 −28%
SIG Group SIGN CHF 13.47 CHF 9.54 −29%
Sonoco Products Company SON $50.69 $61.99 +22%
Reynolds Consumer Products Inc REYN $22.17 $20.00 −10%
ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 ¥28.80 ¥31.68 +10%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Stora Enso Oyj PK Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SEOAY

Frequently asked questions

Is Stora Enso Oyj PK (SEOAY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $11.35 versus a price of $12.35, about −8% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of SEOAY?
Our model-based fair value for Stora Enso Oyj PK is $11.35 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $12.35.
What is the quality score of SEOAY?
Stora Enso Oyj PK has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Stora Enso Oyj PK (SEOAY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $11.35 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario $9.15, optimistic scenario $17.00. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Stora Enso Oyj PK stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $11.35, about −8% upside versus a price of $12.35 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $9.15, optimistic scenario $17.00. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Stora Enso Oyj PK (SEOAY)?
Stora Enso Oyj PK reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €9.3B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Stora Enso Oyj PK pay a dividend?
Stora Enso Oyj PK currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.02% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Stora Enso Oyj PK (SEOAY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Stora Enso Oyj PK it is $11.35 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $12.35. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Stora Enso Oyj PK stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, SEOAY trades above its calculated fair value: price $12.35, fair value $11.35, a gap of about −8% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SEOAY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($12.35); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($11.35). For Stora Enso Oyj PK the two are $1.00 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Stora Enso Oyj PK worth?
The market values Stora Enso Oyj PK at about $9.8B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $12.35; our models calculate a fair value of $11.35 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SEOAY?
Our models span a range for Stora Enso Oyj PK: cautious scenario $9.15, base $11.35, optimistic $17.00 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $12.35). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SEOAY?
Stora Enso Oyj PK trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.1 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $11.35 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 41.5, P/B 0.9, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 18.7.
What is the PEG ratio of SEOAY?
The PEG ratio of Stora Enso Oyj PK is 41.46 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Stora Enso Oyj PK (SEOAY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Stora Enso Oyj PK (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 6.0%, debt of 0.29 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SEOAY from its 52-week high?
Stora Enso Oyj PK trades at $12.35, about 12% below its 52-week high of $14.06 and 25% above the low of $9.86 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $11.35 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Stora Enso Oyj PK?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, International Paper Company, Ball Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Stora Enso Oyj PK stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $12.35, calculated fair value $11.35 (−8%), Quality Score 53/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SEOAY calculated?
We run Stora Enso Oyj PK through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $11.35, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Stora Enso Oyj PK itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Stora Enso Oyj PK (SEOAY)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $12.35. Our model-based fair value is $11.35, about −8% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Stora Enso Oyj PK right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($9.15 to $17.00) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Stora Enso Oyj PK

How large is the market capitalisation of Stora Enso Oyj PK (SEOAY)?
The market capitalisation of Stora Enso Oyj PK is $9.8B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Stora Enso Oyj PK (SEOAY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Stora Enso Oyj PK is 0.90 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Stora Enso Oyj PK (SEOAY)?
Earnings per share at Stora Enso Oyj PK are $0.9100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Stora Enso Oyj PK (SEOAY)?
The dividend yield of Stora Enso Oyj PK is 2.0% (payout 27.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Stora Enso Oyj PK (SEOAY)?
The net margin of Stora Enso Oyj PK is 7.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Stora Enso Oyj PK (SEOAY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Stora Enso Oyj PK is 6.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Stora Enso Oyj PK (SEOAY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Stora Enso Oyj PK is 4.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Stora Enso Oyj PK (SEOAY)?
The operating margin of Stora Enso Oyj PK is 5.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Stora Enso Oyj PK (SEOAY)?
Revenue at Stora Enso Oyj PK is growing −0.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Stora Enso Oyj PK (SEOAY)?
Earnings per share at Stora Enso Oyj PK are growing −71.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Stora Enso Oyj PK (SEOAY) generate?
The free cash flow of Stora Enso Oyj PK is −€130M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Stora Enso Oyj PK (SEOAY) carry?
The net debt of Stora Enso Oyj PK is €3.3B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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