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Serstech AB (SERT) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Serstech AB SEK 0.05, price SEK 0.54, upside -90.6%, quality 27 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · SE · ISIN SE0005365095

SA Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Serstech AB

SERT · ST

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value kr 0.0510 · Strongly overvalued (−91%)
!Quality 27/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +13.5 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -114.7% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/10)
!Narrow moat 10/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

kr 1.84 kr 0.2329 Fair Value kr 0.0510 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 0.2329 – kr 1.84 · fair‑value band kr 0.0340 – kr 0.0680 · the kr 0.5400 price screens above the kr 0.0510 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Serstech AB develops and sells optical instruments and software for chemical identification worldwide.

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Serstech AB develops and sells optical instruments and software for chemical identification worldwide. The company offers Serstech Arx mkII that identifies unknown substances quickly and easily with high precision; Serstech SERS kit that identifies trace amounts of chemicals, dark coloured substances or mixtures; and Serstech ChemDash, a software platform designed to work with Serstech's handheld Raman spectrometers to manage information, users, libraries, and measurements. It also provides Serstech Capillary Probe, a precision analysis for liquid droplets; Serstech TraSERSwab that collects and identifies traces of powders and liquids; and Serstech Rental. The company offers its solutions for narcotics, CBRN and hazmat, explosives, and pharma applications. Serstech AB was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Lund, Sweden.

Stock analysis

Serstech AB (SERT) currently trades at kr 0.5400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 0.0510, implying the stock looks roughly 959.3% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: kr 0.0340 (bear) to kr 0.0680 (bull), the price of kr 0.5400 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Serstech AB reported revenue of 38.6M SEK in FY2025 versus 18.7M SEK in FY2021, a compound +19.9%/yr. Reported net income was −29.3M SEK in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 137M SEK (≈ $13.8M) · P/S ratio 4.54 · EPS (TTM) kr −0.1200 · Net margin −75.8% · Return on equity −59.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −26.7% · Operating margin −77.6% · Revenue (TTM) 30.1M SEK.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 53% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at −91%, SERT screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear kr 0.0340 Fair Value kr 0.0510 Bull kr 0.0680
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.0900 kr 0.1300 kr 0.1900 53
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.0900 kr 0.1300 kr 0.1900 53

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 27/100

Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 9
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 10
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 89
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 62
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 38
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 71
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 43
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 37/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−26.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+31.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +30.5% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−31.9% (2020) → −74.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

SERT screens 959% overvalued. Compare with BASF SE →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Chemicals · 352 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −91% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −30% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −115% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −78% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −60% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.29× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.46× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 1
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 23
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 32

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BASF SE BAS €51.79 €23.76 −54%
Saudi Basic Industries Corporation 2010 47.90 SAR 24.66 SAR −49%
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥23.21 ¥40.44 +74%
Dow Inc DOW $28.65 $21.03 −27%
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥34.61 ¥19.88 −43%
Rongsheng Petrochemical Co 002493 ¥13.13 ¥2.90 −78%
Zangge Mining Company 000408 ¥73.50 ¥80.85 +10%
Hengli Petrochemical Co 600346 ¥16.54 ¥43.28 +162%
LG Chem, Ltd 051910 252,500 KRW 587,755 KRW +133%
Sinoma Science & Technology Co 002080 ¥62.50 ¥21.98 −65%

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Serstech AB · Fair Value
kr 0.0510 −959%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Serstech AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SERT

Frequently asked questions

Is Serstech AB (SERT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 0.0510 versus a price of kr 0.5400, about −91% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SERT?
Our model-based fair value for Serstech AB is kr 0.0510 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 0.5400.
What is the quality score of SERT?
Serstech AB has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Serstech AB (SERT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 0.0510 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 0.0340, optimistic scenario kr 0.0680. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Serstech AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 0.0510, about −91% upside versus a price of kr 0.5400 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 0.0340, optimistic scenario kr 0.0680. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Serstech AB (SERT)?
Serstech AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 30.1M SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Serstech AB (SERT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Serstech AB it is kr 0.0510 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of kr 0.5400. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Serstech AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SERT trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 0.5400, fair value kr 0.0510, a gap of about −91% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SERT?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 0.5400); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 0.0510). For Serstech AB the two are kr 0.4890 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Serstech AB worth?
The market values Serstech AB at about 137M SEK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is kr 0.5400; our models calculate a fair value of kr 0.0510 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SERT?
Our models span a range for Serstech AB: cautious scenario kr 0.0340, base kr 0.0510, optimistic kr 0.0680 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price kr 0.5400). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Serstech AB (SERT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Serstech AB (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −59.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 27/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SERT from its 52-week high?
Serstech AB trades at kr 0.5400, about 23% below its 52-week high of kr 0.6990 and 53% above the low of kr 0.3525 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 0.0510 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Serstech AB?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BASF SE, Saudi Basic Industries Corporation, Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, Dow Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Serstech AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price kr 0.5400, calculated fair value kr 0.0510 (−91%), Quality Score 27/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SERT calculated?
We run Serstech AB through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 0.0510, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Serstech AB itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Serstech AB (SERT)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was kr 0.5400. Our model-based fair value is kr 0.0510, about −91% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Serstech AB right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 0.0680). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (27/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (kr 0.0340 to kr 0.0680) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Serstech AB

How large is the market capitalisation of Serstech AB (SERT)?
The market capitalisation of Serstech AB is 137M SEK (≈ $13.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Serstech AB (SERT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Serstech AB is 4.54 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Serstech AB (SERT)?
Earnings per share at Serstech AB are kr −0.1200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Serstech AB (SERT)?
The net margin of Serstech AB is −75.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Serstech AB (SERT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Serstech AB is −59.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Serstech AB (SERT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Serstech AB is −26.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Serstech AB (SERT)?
The operating margin of Serstech AB is −77.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Serstech AB (SERT)?
Revenue at Serstech AB is growing −60.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +31.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Serstech AB (SERT)?
Earnings per share at Serstech AB are growing −72.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Serstech AB (SERT) generate?
The free cash flow of Serstech AB is −28.7M SEK (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Serstech AB (SERT) hold?
Serstech AB holds more cash than debt, 9.8M SEK net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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