SG Finserve Limited (SGFIN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of SG Finserve Limited ₹167, price ₹632, upside -73.6%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
14‑month range ₹334.75 – ₹709.85 · fair‑value band ₹162.43 – ₹314.81 · the ₹631.85 price screens above the ₹166.80 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 1, 2026.
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SG Finserve Limited operates as a non-banking financial company in India. It offers dealer financing, retailer financing, logistics and transporter financing, and tailor-made term lending solutions, as well as vendor supplier financing for corporates. The company was formerly known as Moongipa Securities Limited.
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SG Finserve Limited operates as a non-banking financial company in India. It offers dealer financing, retailer financing, logistics and transporter financing, and tailor-made term lending solutions, as well as vendor supplier financing for corporates. The company was formerly known as Moongipa Securities Limited. SG Finserve Limited was incorporated in 1994 and is based in Ghaziabad, India.
Stock analysis
SG Finserve Limited (SGFIN) currently trades at ₹631.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹166.80, 73.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of ₹678.05 per share, and 2 of the 7 models we run sit above the ₹631.85 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹148.47, and 5 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ₹162.43 (bear) to ₹314.81 (bull), the price of ₹631.85 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
SG Finserve Limited reported revenue of ₹3.3B in FY2026 versus ₹375K in FY2022, a compound +870.6%/yr. Reported net income was ₹1.3B in FY2026, compounding +257.2%/yr from FY2022. FY2022 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap ₹40.8B (≈ $423M) · P/E ratio 23.8 · P/S ratio 9.13 · EPS (TTM) ₹26.55 · Net margin 38.4% · Return on equity 10.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.1% · Operating margin 92.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 89% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at −74%, SGFIN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹162.43Fair Value ₹166.80Bull ₹314.81
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹13.46 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+94.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+102.8%
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+83.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+83.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2022 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−2,530% → 92%
2026 sits 67% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Capital Markets · 456 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−73.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10.3% · Above median
Return on assets5.8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)39.0% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)92.3% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth101.4% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.85× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)23.8× · Pricier than median
P/B2.79× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)10.14× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA17.8× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 36
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 94
PAST (return on equity)41· sector 32
HEALTH (low debt)7· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 44
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is SG Finserve Limited (SGFIN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹166.80 versus a price of ₹631.85, about −74% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SGFIN?
Our model-based fair value for SG Finserve Limited is ₹166.80 (as of Oct 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹631.85.
What is the quality score of SGFIN?
SG Finserve Limited has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SG Finserve Limited (SGFIN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹166.80 (as of Oct 1, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹162.43, optimistic scenario ₹314.81. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SG Finserve Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹166.80, about −74% upside versus a price of ₹631.85 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹162.43, optimistic scenario ₹314.81. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SG Finserve Limited (SGFIN)?
SG Finserve Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹4.0B (latest available figure, as of Oct 1, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of SG Finserve Limited (SGFIN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SG Finserve Limited it is ₹166.80 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026), against a price of ₹631.85. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SG Finserve Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 1, 2026, SGFIN trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹631.85, fair value ₹166.80, a gap of about −74% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SGFIN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹631.85); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹166.80). For SG Finserve Limited the two are ₹465.05 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SG Finserve Limited worth?
The market values SG Finserve Limited at about ₹40.8B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 1, 2026). Per share that is ₹631.85; our models calculate a fair value of ₹166.80 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SGFIN?
Our models span a range for SG Finserve Limited: cautious scenario ₹162.43, base ₹166.80, optimistic ₹314.81 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026, price ₹631.85). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SGFIN?
SG Finserve Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 23.8 (as of Oct 1, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹166.80 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.8, P/S 10.1, EV/EBITDA 17.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of SG Finserve Limited (SGFIN)?
Balance-sheet figures for SG Finserve Limited (as of Oct 1, 2026): return on equity 10.3%, debt of 1.85 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SGFIN from its 52-week high?
SG Finserve Limited trades at ₹631.85, about 11% below its 52-week high of ₹709.85 and 89% above the low of ₹334.75 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹166.80 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SG Finserve Limited?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company,, The Goldman Sachs Group, The Charles Schwab Corporation, Interactive Brokers Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SG Finserve Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 1, 2026: price ₹631.85, calculated fair value ₹166.80 (−74%), Quality Score 40/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SGFIN calculated?
We run SG Finserve Limited through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹166.80, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1 % above its aggregate fair value. SG Finserve Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SG Finserve Limited (SGFIN)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹631.85. Our model-based fair value is ₹166.80, about −74% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SG Finserve Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹314.81). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (₹162.43 to ₹314.81) leaves room in how you read the outcome. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Key figures of SG Finserve Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of SG Finserve Limited (SGFIN)?
The market capitalisation of SG Finserve Limited is ₹40.8B (≈ $423M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SG Finserve Limited (SGFIN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SG Finserve Limited is 9.13 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SG Finserve Limited (SGFIN)?
Earnings per share at SG Finserve Limited are ₹26.55 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 23.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of SG Finserve Limited (SGFIN)?
The net margin of SG Finserve Limited is 38.4% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SG Finserve Limited (SGFIN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SG Finserve Limited is 10.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SG Finserve Limited (SGFIN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SG Finserve Limited is 3.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SG Finserve Limited (SGFIN)?
The operating margin of SG Finserve Limited is 92.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SG Finserve Limited (SGFIN)?
Revenue at SG Finserve Limited is growing +101% versus a year earlier (3y avg +103%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SG Finserve Limited (SGFIN)?
Earnings per share at SG Finserve Limited are growing +119% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does SG Finserve Limited (SGFIN) generate?
The free cash flow of SG Finserve Limited is −₹15.7B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does SG Finserve Limited (SGFIN) carry?
The net debt of SG Finserve Limited is ₹25.5B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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