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SG Finserve Limited (SGFIN) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · IN · Market cap ₹44.4B

SF SG Finserve Limited SGFIN · NSE
Price₹660.25
Fair Value₹251.85
Upside-61.9%
Quality40/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 38.3% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Wide moat 74/100
Evidence: High Range ₹188.88 – ₹251.85 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ₹387.46 to ₹251.85 (−35.0%) since Aug 8, 2026. Share price +4.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 62% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹251.85). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

₹709.85 ₹334.75 Fair Value ₹251.85 Aug 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

12‑month range ₹334.75 – ₹709.85 · fair‑value band ₹188.88 – ₹251.85 · the ₹660.25 price screens above the ₹251.85 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

SG Finserve Limited (SGFIN) currently trades at ₹660.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹251.85, implying the stock looks roughly 61.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, SG Finserve Limited generated revenue of ₹3.3B at a net margin of 38.3%. Revenue grew 97.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.3%. Net debt stands at ₹25.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹188.88 (bear case) to ₹251.85 (bull case); at ₹660.25, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 104% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -62%, SGFIN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
P/E Multiple ₹188.88 ₹251.85 ₹314.81 63
Residual Income ₹188.34 ₹204.78 ₹272.68 61
P/B Multiple ₹232.68 ₹310.24 ₹387.80 55
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ₹302.70 ₹1,115 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹131.74 ₹918.70 ₹1,289 54
Lynch FV ₹474.63 ₹678.05 ₹881.46 50
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹188.88 ₹251.85 ₹314.81 63
P/B Multiple ₹232.68 ₹310.24 ₹387.80 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹110.80 ₹148.47 ₹221.60 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹188.34 ₹204.78 ₹272.68 61

Widest divergence: Earnings-Based (₹678.05) versus Asset-Based (₹148.47). Highest evidence: P/E Multiple (63).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹3.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) +97.0%
Net margin 38.3%
Return on equity 10.3%
Free cash flow −₹15.7B FY2026
P/E ratio 29.5
More key figures
Operating margin 94.4%
EPS (TTM) ₹22.41
EPS growth (YoY) +106%
Net debt ₹25.5B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 86

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 23
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 71
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 91
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 95
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

SG Finserve Limited operates as a non-banking financial company in India. It offers dealer financing, retailer financing, logistics and transporter financing, and tailor-made term lending solutions, as well as vendor supplier financing for corporates. The company was formerly known as Moongipa Securities Limited.

Full company description

SG Finserve Limited operates as a non-banking financial company in India. It offers dealer financing, retailer financing, logistics and transporter financing, and tailor-made term lending solutions, as well as vendor supplier financing for corporates. The company was formerly known as Moongipa Securities Limited. SG Finserve Limited was incorporated in 1994 and is based in Ghaziabad, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

SG Finserve Limited reported revenue of ₹3.3B in FY2026 versus ₹375K in FY2022, a compound +870.6%/yr. Reported net income was ₹1.3B in FY2026, compounding +257.2%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹3.3B
Latest YoY
+94.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+102.8%
Revenue +870.6%/yr
FY22 ₹375K
FY23 ₹399M
FY24 ₹1.9B
FY25 ₹1.7B
FY26 ₹3.3B
Net income +257.2%/yr
FY22 ₹7.8M
FY23 ₹184M
FY24 ₹786M
FY25 ₹810M
FY26 ₹1.3B

SGFIN screens 62% overvalued. Compare with Mirae Asset Securities Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SG Finserve Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SGFIN

Peer Group

Capital Markets · 425 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −62% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 38% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 94% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 97% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 1.85× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 29.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 3.04× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 13.31× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 22.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 15
FUTURE 100 · sector 96
PAST 41 · sector 31
HEALTH 7 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 42

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 38,050 KRW 18,009 KRW -53%
Meritz Financial Group 138040 118,600 KRW 52,717 KRW -56%
Korea Investment Holdings 071050 200,500 KRW 189,335 KRW -6%
NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 28,550 KRW 22,396 KRW -22%
Samsung Securities Co 016360 93,100 KRW 75,573 KRW -19%
Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 299,000 KRW 214,812 KRW -28%
SSI Securities Corporation SSI 25,300 VND 17,375 VND -31%
Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA 313.75 ARS 294.30 ARS -6%
Daishin Securities Co 003540 26,950 KRW 48,790 KRW +81%
SK Securities Co 001515 4,285 KRW 1,395 KRW -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is SG Finserve Limited (SGFIN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹251.85 versus a price of ₹660.25, about −62% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SGFIN?
Our model-based fair value for SG Finserve Limited is ₹251.85 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹660.25.
What is the quality score of SGFIN?
SG Finserve Limited has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of SG Finserve Limited (SGFIN)?
SG Finserve Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹3.3B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SGFIN?
The net profit margin of SG Finserve Limited is about 38.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 38.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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