SGL Carbon SE (SGL) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · DE · Market cap €506M
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from €3.25 to €3.18 (−2.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +8.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 26% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (€1.72 to €4.77). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €2.59 – €10.78 · fair‑value band €1.72 – €4.77 · the €4.28 price screens above the €3.18 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
SGL Carbon SE (SGL) currently trades at €4.28, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €3.18, implying the stock looks roughly 25.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, SGL Carbon SE generated revenue of €800M at a net margin of -8.4%. Revenue declined 21.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -12.9%. Net debt stands at €154M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €1.72 (bear case) to €4.77 (bull case); at €4.28, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 68% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -26%, SGL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€6.87) versus Growth DCF (€0.7600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
SGL Carbon SE, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells special graphite, carbon fiber, and composite products in Germany, rest of Europe, the United States, China, rest of Asia, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Graphite Solutions, Process Technology, Carbon Fibers, and Composite Solutions.
Full company description
SGL Carbon SE, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells special graphite, carbon fiber, and composite products in Germany, rest of Europe, the United States, China, rest of Asia, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Graphite Solutions, Process Technology, Carbon Fibers, and Composite Solutions. It offers products for automotive industries, including body and main part powertrains, motor blocks, and brake systems; carbon-ceramic brake discs; friction materials; gas diffusion layers and bipolar plates; carbon-ceramic brake discs; body shell components; friction materials; chassis components; gas diffusion layers and bipolar plates; and sealing materials. The company provides composite solutions, such as energy storage systems, lead springs, skins and structures, thermoplastic profiles, and friction components; fuel cells for energy conversion, as well as for passenger cars and trains, and ferries for zero emission mobile applications; and carbon fiber-reinforced plastics and composites for aerospace industry. In addition, it offers isostatic graphite to produce compound semiconductor layers; silicon carbide coatings for semiconductor production; and heat exchangers, columns, quenchers, pumps, components and assemblies, and pipings, as well as sealing materials for process technology. The company was founded in 1878 and is headquartered in Wiesbaden, Germany.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
SGL Carbon SE reported revenue of €850M in FY2025 versus €1.0B in FY2021, a compound −4.1%/yr. Reported net income was −€79.2M in FY2025.
SGL screens 26% overvalued. Compare with BASF SE →
Peer Group
Chemicals · 334 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BASF SE BASN | 1,034 MXN | 532.13 MXN | -49% |
| Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 | ¥20.32 | ¥20.17 | -1% |
| Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 | ¥42.85 | ¥23.35 | -46% |
| PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT | 1,690 IDR | 1,628 IDR | -4% |
| LG Chem, Ltd 051910 | 260,500 KRW | 587,755 KRW | +126% |
| Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 | 66.10 TWD | 6.79 TWD | -90% |
| PTT Global Chemical Public Company PTTGC | 35.50 THB | 18.21 THB | -49% |
| 542812 542812 | ₹4,369 | ₹791.05 | -82% |
| Indorama Ventures Public Company IVL | 24.50 THB | 17.95 THB | -27% |
| Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR | ₹8,650 | ₹2,146 | -75% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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