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Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd (SHGKF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd $0.48, price $0.54, upside -11.4%, quality 81 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Financial Services · US · Home Hong Kong

SH Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd logo Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd

SHGKF · US

Great Company, Expensive PriceHigh Quality, but the stock trades above estimated Fair Value.

!Fair value $0.4807 · Overvalued (−11.4%)
✓Quality 81/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −5.9 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 42.8% net margin (TTM)
✓generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (10/11)
✓Wide moat 65/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 29 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$0.5425 $0.1846 Fair Value $0.4807 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.1846 – $0.5425 · fair‑value band $0.2703 – $0.7982 · the $0.5425 price screens above the $0.4807 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Sun Hung Kai & Co. Limited operates in the alternative investment and wealth management businesses in Hong Kong and the People's Republic of China. The company operates through Consumer Finance, Mortgage Loans, Investment Management, Alternative Solutions, and Group Management and Support segments.

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Sun Hung Kai & Co. Limited operates in the alternative investment and wealth management businesses in Hong Kong and the People's Republic of China. The company operates through Consumer Finance, Mortgage Loans, Investment Management, Alternative Solutions, and Group Management and Support segments. It offers unsecured and secured loans to individuals and small businesses through branches and online platforms; and first mortgage and second mortgage loans to property owners, as well as customized financing solutions to property investors. The company's investment portfolio consists of public markets; and alternatives solutions, including real estate, hedge funds, private credit, and private equity. In addition, it offers secretarial, financial consultancy, enterprise management, nominee, financing, money lending, asset management, property investment, securities trading, investment funds, consultancy and marketing planning, fund management, management consultancy, loan finance, and mortgage financing services. Further, the company provides consumer, small, and medium enterprises financing; mortgage loans and other financing; portfolio investments and provision of term loans, structured, and specialty financing; external fund solutions; and fund management service. Sun Hung Kai & Co. Limited was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Causeway Bay, Hong Kong. Sun Hung Kai & Co. Limited operates as a subsidiary of Allied Properties (H.K.) Limited.

Stock analysis

Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd (SHGKF) currently trades at $0.5425, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.4807, 11.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of $3.63 per share, and 11 of the 11 models we run sit above the $0.5425 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.9700, and 0 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $0.2703 (bear) to $0.7982 (bull), the price of $0.5425 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 81/100 (high quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd reported revenue of HK$3.5B in FY2025 versus HK$5.5B in FY2021, a compound −10.4%/yr. Reported net income was HK$1.6B in FY2025, compounding −13.3%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $1.1B · P/E ratio 5.4 · P/S ratio 2.45 · EPS (TTM) $0.1000 · Net margin 45.1% · Return on equity 7.3% · Return on assets 4.8% · Operating margin 58.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades at its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −11%, SHGKF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.2703 Fair Value $0.4807 Bull $0.7982
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income $1.11 $1.14 $1.24 72
Growth DCF $2.42 $3.98 $6.42 69
Rev-Margin DCF $1.26 $1.67 $2.53 66
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $2.10 $4.05 $7.66 65
5Y P/E Exit $1.72 $3.08 $4.86 62
10Y P/E Exit $2.01 $3.50 $5.79 56
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.7000 $4.92 $6.90 59
Lynch FV $2.54 $3.63 $4.72 57
Multiples
P/E Multiple $1.01 $1.35 $1.68 63
P/B Multiple $1.32 $1.76 $2.20 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.7300 $0.9700 $1.45 51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $2.42 $3.98 $6.42 69
Rev-Margin DCF $1.26 $1.67 $2.53 66
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1.11 $1.14 $1.24 72

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 81/100

Of which business quality 76 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72

Profitability 44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 82
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 89
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 70
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+51.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+71.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−9.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−9.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−34.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in HKD, Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −35.5% a year for the price.

SHGKF screens overvalued: fair value 11% below the price. Compare with Visa Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Credit Services · 329 stocks

Beats the industry median on 11/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 81 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +101.3% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 7.3% · Below median
Return on assets 4.8% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 42.8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 58.2% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 27.3% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 52.4% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.4× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.37× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 2.24× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 4.0× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 53
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 48
PAST (return on equity)29 · sector 32
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 59
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 65

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Visa Inc V $359.33 $221.29 −38%
Mastercard Incorporated MA $551.47 $359.54 −35%
American Express Company AXP $304.10 $208.54 −31%
Capital One Financial Corporation COF $193.07 $125.94 −35%
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹948.30 ₹1,100 +16%
PayPal Holdings PYPL $53.06 $104.12 +96%
Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN ₹994.10 ₹1,364 +37%
Affirm Holdings AFRM $67.21 $73.93 +10%
Synchrony Financial, SYF $71.52 $141.92 +98%
SoFi Technologies, Inc SOFI $15.72 $5.53 −65%

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Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd · Fair Value
$0.4807 −11%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SHGKF

Frequently asked questions

Is Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd (SHGKF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.4807 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.5425, about −11% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SHGKF?
Our model-based fair value for Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd is $0.4807 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $0.5425.
What is the quality score of SHGKF?
Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd has a Quality Score of 81/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd (SHGKF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.4807 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.2703, optimistic scenario $0.7982. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.4807, about −11% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.5425 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.2703, optimistic scenario $0.7982. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd (SHGKF)?
Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$3.7B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd (SHGKF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -34.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -5.9 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SHGKF use?
Our models discount Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.34, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd that is -34.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd (SHGKF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd grew -5.9 % a year. The price currently implies -34.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd (SHGKF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd (-34.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd (SHGKF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 24.86 %: that much free cash flow Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd (SHGKF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd it is $0.4807 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.5425. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SHGKF trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.5425, fair value $0.4807, a gap of about −11% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SHGKF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.5425); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.4807). For Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd the two are $0.0618 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd worth?
The market values Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd at about $1.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.5425; our models calculate a fair value of $0.4807 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SHGKF?
Our models span a range for Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd: cautious scenario $0.2703, base $0.4807, optimistic $0.7982 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.5425). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SHGKF?
Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.4807 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.4, P/S 2.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd (SHGKF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 7.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 81/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SHGKF from its 52-week high?
Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd trades at $0.5425, at its 52-week high of $0.5425 and 26% above the low of $0.4320 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.4807 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Visa Inc, Mastercard Incorporated, American Express Company, Capital One Financial Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.5425, calculated fair value $0.4807 (−11%), Quality Score 81/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SHGKF calculated?
We run Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.4807, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd (SHGKF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $0.5425. Our model-based fair value is $0.4807, about −11% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($0.2703 to $0.7982). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Key figures of Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd (SHGKF)?
The market capitalisation of Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd is $1.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd (SHGKF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd is 2.45 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd (SHGKF)?
Earnings per share at Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd are $0.1000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd (SHGKF)?
The net margin of Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd is 45.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd (SHGKF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd is 7.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the return on assets of Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd (SHGKF)?
The return on assets (ROA) of Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd is 4.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to everything the company owns. Harder to inflate than return on equity because debt does not boost it.
What is the operating margin of Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd (SHGKF)?
The operating margin of Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd is 58.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd (SHGKF)?
Revenue at Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd is growing +27.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +71.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd (SHGKF)?
Earnings per share at Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd are growing +134% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd (SHGKF) carry?
The net debt of Sun Hung Kai & Company. Ltd is HK$6.3B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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