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Data-driven stock valuation

Shimizu Corp ADR (SHMUY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Shimizu Corp ADR is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Industrials · US · Market cap $11.6B · ISIN US82454Y1047

At a glance

SC Shimizu Corp ADR logo Shimizu Corp ADR SHMUY · US
Price$63.02
Fair Value$82.48
Upside+30.9%
Quality58/100

A solid business, trading 24% below our fair value of $82.48.

As of Sep 8, 2026, the fair value of Shimizu Corp ADR is $82.48 per share against a price of $63.02, so the fair value sits 31% above the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +8.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.2% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·1.72% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
!Narrow moat 43/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 10 out of 100
Evidence: Medium Range $57.73 to $109.21

Fair value as of: Sep 8, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Sep 8, 2026, revised from $79.94 to $82.48 (+3.2%) since Aug 23, 2026. Share price +1.6% over the past month.

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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($57.73 to $109.21) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$89.87 $17.86 Fair Value $82.48 Sep 2015 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $17.86 – $89.87 · fair‑value band $57.73 – $109.21 · the $63.02 price screens below the $82.48 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.

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Analysis

Shimizu Corp ADR (SHMUY) currently trades at $63.02, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $82.48, implying the stock looks roughly 23.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $204.08 per share, and 10 of the 13 models we run sit above the $63.02 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $58.88, and 3 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Shimizu Corp ADR generated revenue of ¥2.1T at a net margin of 6.2%. Revenue grew 2.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.4%. Net debt stands at ¥331B. Fundamentals as of Sep 8, 2026

Scenario range: $57.73 (bear) to $109.21 (bull), the price of $63.02 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at 31%, SHMUY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings best evidence $55.96 $79.94 $119.86 76
EPV $49.42 $58.88 $67.16 74
ROIC Compounder $49.42 $58.88 $67.16 72
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings best evidence $55.96 $79.94 $119.86 76
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $86.47 $162.14 $201.46 66
EPV $49.42 $58.88 $67.16 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $200.28 $267.05 $333.81 63
P/S Multiple $162.14 $216.18 $270.23 58
P/B Multiple $162.14 $216.18 $270.23 55
EV/EBIT $144.63 $195.28 $245.93 66
EV/EBITDA $141.69 $191.36 $241.03 67
EV/Revenue $101.13 $147.61 $194.09 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $46.52 $62.33 $93.04 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $89.96 $112.77 $266.45 64
ROIC Compounder $49.42 $58.88 $67.16 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $142.86 $204.08 $265.30 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($204.08) versus Earnings-Based ($58.88). Highest evidence: Owner Earnings (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 13.5
P/S ratio 0.83 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $4.66 price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.5
Dividend yield 1.7% payout 23.3%
Net margin 6.2% FY2026
Return on equity 13.4% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 2.2% avg 5y
Operating margin 7.0% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) ¥2.1T TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.0% 3y avg +4.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +81.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −¥60.5B FY2026
Net debt ¥331B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 66
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 7
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 54
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 82
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 51
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Shimizu Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the construction, development, engineering, and life cycle valuation businesses in Japan and internationally.

Full company description

Shimizu Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the construction, development, engineering, and life cycle valuation businesses in Japan and internationally. The company offers plans, designs, builds, repairs, manages, operates, and maintains offices, plants, schools, hospitals, and other buildings; designs, builds, and renovates tunnels, bridges, dams, urban infrastructure, and energy and other public facilities; provides construction for manufacturing facilities, high-rise buildings, hospitals, bridges, subways, and other projects; and develops and rents real estate properties. It also provides engineering, procurement, and construction services in solar and wind power projects, environmental clean-up engineering, turn-key order fulfillment of plants, and ICT systems and engineering projects. In addition, the company offers facility operation and management services; and generates power from wooden biomass. Further, the company engages in the lease and sale of construction equipment; provision of interior finishing and rebar works; insurance agency, security, and travel agency businesses; money lending activities; and rental of various tower cranes, crawler cranes, and other construction machinery and equipment. Additionally, it involved in road construction and paving work; development, sale, and leasing of computer software; planning and management of sports facilities; landscaping of parks, green spaces, and gardens, etc. Shimizu Corporation was founded in 1804 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Shimizu Corp ADR reported revenue of ¥2.2T in FY2026 versus ¥1.5T in FY2022, a compound +10.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥134B in FY2026, compounding +29.5%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 50/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$2.2T
Latest YoY
+12.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (28Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.8%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in JPY) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ +16.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+14.4%
Dividend yield1.7%
Trend Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 14.4% vs 10Y 10.1%, picking up
Operating margin (EBIT) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6.9% (2021) → 5.8% (2026) · falling
Worst earnings drop131% (2010) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in USD
⚠ Final year 2026 sits 199% above trend (one-off), rate approximate
Revenue +10.1%/yr
FY22 ¥1.5T
FY23 ¥1.9T
FY24 ¥2.0T
FY25 ¥1.9T
FY26 ¥2.2T
Net income +29.5%/yr
FY22 ¥47.8B
FY23 ¥49.1B
FY24 ¥17.2B
FY25 ¥66.0B
FY26 ¥134B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +6.3 % p.a.
Revenue per share +4.2 %

of which total revenue +2.7 % · buybacks/dilution +1.4 %

EBIT margin −1.9 %
Tax rate −0.3 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +4.3 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shimizu Corp ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SHMUY

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 818 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside +27% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.7% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.32× · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.5× · Cheaper than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE75 · sector 17
FUTURE10 · sector 11
PAST54 · sector 26
HEALTH84 · sector 94
DIVIDEND34 · sector 39

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Quanta Services, Inc PWR $620.06 $143.92 −77%
Vinci SA DG €113.95 €185.62 +63%
Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX $1,610 $519.97 −68%
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹4,072 ₹2,196 −46%
Ferrovial N.V FER €49.88 €19.17 −62%
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT €426.00 €203.87 −52%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 373,000 KRW 261,411 KRW −30%
EMCOR Group EME $754.16 $549.47 −27%
MasTec, Inc MTZ $241.00 $100.00 −59%
Bouygues SA EN €46.65 €65.67 +41%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shimizu Corp ADR (SHMUY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $82.48 versus a price of $63.02, about +31% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SHMUY?
Our model-based fair value for Shimizu Corp ADR is $82.48 (as of Sep 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $63.02.
What is the quality score of SHMUY?
Shimizu Corp ADR has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shimizu Corp ADR (SHMUY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $82.48 (as of Sep 8, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario $57.73, optimistic scenario $109.21. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shimizu Corp ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $82.48, about +31% upside versus a price of $63.02 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $57.73, optimistic scenario $109.21. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shimizu Corp ADR (SHMUY)?
Shimizu Corp ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥2.1T (latest available figure, as of Sep 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SHMUY?
The net profit margin of Shimizu Corp ADR is about 6.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shimizu Corp ADR pay a dividend?
Shimizu Corp ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.72% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 8, 2026).
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