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Sunshine Metals Ltd (SHN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Sunshine Metals Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Valuation from Jun 24, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Basic Materials · AU · ISIN AU0000121808

SM Thin data Jun 24, 2026

Sunshine Metals Ltd

SHN · AU

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value A$0.0085 · Strongly overvalued (−77%)
!Quality 28/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −4.9 %/yr)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/9)
!Narrow moat 8/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.0630 A$0.0060 Fair Value A$0.0085 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0060 – A$0.0630 · fair‑value band A$0.0085 – A$0.0170 · the A$0.0370 price screens above the A$0.0085 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Sunshine Metals Limited engages in the exploration and development of mineral projects in Australia. The company explores for copper, gold, zinc, lead, and silver, as well as molybdenite and base metal deposits. It holds 100% interest in the Ravenswood Consolidated Project, which covers approximately 1,760 square kilometers located in Townsville, Australia.

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Sunshine Metals Limited engages in the exploration and development of mineral projects in Australia. The company explores for copper, gold, zinc, lead, and silver, as well as molybdenite and base metal deposits. It holds 100% interest in the Ravenswood Consolidated Project, which covers approximately 1,760 square kilometers located in Townsville, Australia. The company was formerly known as Sunshine Gold Limited and changed its name to Sunshine Metals Limited in July 2023. Sunshine Metals Limited was incorporated in 1994 and is based in North Ward, Australia.

Stock analysis

Sunshine Metals Ltd (SHN) currently trades at A$0.0370, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0085, implying the stock looks roughly 335.4% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 4 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0085 (bear) to A$0.0170 (bull), the price of A$0.0370 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Sunshine Metals Ltd reported revenue of A$36.7K in FY2025 versus A$16.3K in FY2021, a compound +22.5%/yr. Reported net income was −A$2.3M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$144M (≈ $101M) · Return on equity −11.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −10.1% · Revenue (TTM) A$31.0K · Revenue growth (YoY) −97.5% · Free cash flow −A$5.3M · Net cash A$1.8M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 118% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −77%, SHN screens richer than that median.

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 28/100

Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 90
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 84
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 27
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 86
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 83
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+171.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+83.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −27.9% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1,227.3% (2020) → −3,910.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

SHN screens 335% overvalued. Compare with Vale S.A →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 457 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −78% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −7% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −98% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 6.55× · Priciest 25%
PEG 2.46× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 36
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vale S.A XVALO €12.26 €8.03 −35%
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 62.70 SAR 68.97 SAR +10%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥17.66 ¥20.07 +14%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥60.26 ¥31.23 −48%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹595.45 ₹655.00 +10%
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥36.77 ¥40.45 +10%
Korea Zinc Company 010130 1,116,000 KRW 646,063 KRW −42%
Xiamen Tungsten Co 600549 ¥49.34 ¥24.75 −50%
PLS Group PLS A$4.18 A$6.65 +59%
Jinduicheng Molybdenum Co 601958 ¥20.99 ¥12.24 −42%

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Sunshine Metals Ltd · Fair Value
A$0.0085 −335%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sunshine Metals Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SHN

Frequently asked questions

Is Sunshine Metals Ltd (SHN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0085 versus a price of A$0.0370, about −77% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SHN?
Our model-based fair value for Sunshine Metals Ltd is A$0.0085 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0370.
What is the quality score of SHN?
Sunshine Metals Ltd has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sunshine Metals Ltd (SHN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0085 (as of Jun 24, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0085, optimistic scenario A$0.0170. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sunshine Metals Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0085, about −77% upside versus a price of A$0.0370 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0085, optimistic scenario A$0.0170. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sunshine Metals Ltd (SHN)?
Sunshine Metals Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$31.0K (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Sunshine Metals Ltd (SHN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sunshine Metals Ltd it is A$0.0085 per share (as of Jun 24, 2026), against a price of A$0.0370. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sunshine Metals Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Jun 24, 2026, SHN trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0370, fair value A$0.0085, a gap of about −77% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SHN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0370); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0085). For Sunshine Metals Ltd the two are A$0.0285 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sunshine Metals Ltd worth?
The market values Sunshine Metals Ltd at about A$144M (market capitalisation, as of Jun 24, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0370; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0085 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SHN?
Our models span a range for Sunshine Metals Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0085, base A$0.0085, optimistic A$0.0170 per share (as of Jun 24, 2026, price A$0.0370). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of SHN?
The PEG ratio of Sunshine Metals Ltd is 2.46 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Jun 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sunshine Metals Ltd (SHN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sunshine Metals Ltd (as of Jun 24, 2026): return on equity −11.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 28/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SHN from its 52-week high?
Sunshine Metals Ltd trades at A$0.0370, about 21% below its 52-week high of A$0.0470 and 118% above the low of A$0.0170 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0085 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sunshine Metals Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Vale S.A, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sunshine Metals Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Jun 24, 2026: price A$0.0370, calculated fair value A$0.0085 (−77%), Quality Score 28/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SHN calculated?
We run Sunshine Metals Ltd through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0085, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Sunshine Metals Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sunshine Metals Ltd (SHN)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.0370. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0085, about −77% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sunshine Metals Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0170). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (28/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (A$0.0085 to A$0.0170) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Sunshine Metals Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Sunshine Metals Ltd (SHN)?
The market capitalisation of Sunshine Metals Ltd is A$144M (≈ $101M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the return on equity of Sunshine Metals Ltd (SHN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sunshine Metals Ltd is −11.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sunshine Metals Ltd (SHN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sunshine Metals Ltd is −10.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Sunshine Metals Ltd (SHN)?
Revenue at Sunshine Metals Ltd is growing −97.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +83.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Sunshine Metals Ltd (SHN) generate?
The free cash flow of Sunshine Metals Ltd is −A$5.3M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Sunshine Metals Ltd (SHN) hold?
Sunshine Metals Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$1.8M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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