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Schindler Holding (SHNDY) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $34.6B

SH Schindler Holding logo Schindler Holding SHNDY · US
Price$15.48
Fair Value$19.04
Upside+23.0%
Quality75/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 9.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.31% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/15)
Wide moat 69/100
Evidence: High Range $14.60 – $24.55 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $19.34 to $19.04 (−1.6%) since Jul 21, 2026. Share price −5.8% over the past month.

A strong business, screening 23% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from $14.60 (bear) to $24.55 (bull), base $19.04. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 75/100 (high quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 months)

$17.25 $14.52 Fair Value $19.04 Apr 2026 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

4‑month range $14.52 – $17.25 · fair‑value band $14.60 – $24.55 · the $15.48 price screens below the $19.04 fair value. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Schindler Holding (SHNDY) currently trades at $15.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $19.04, implying the stock looks roughly 23.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 75/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Schindler Holding generated revenue of $10.8B at a net margin of 9.4%. Revenue declined 5.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 23.5%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 27.5 (as of Jun 23, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $14.60 (bear case) to $24.55 (bull case); at $15.48, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at 23%, SHNDY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $12.16 $15.99 $22.54 80
Residual Income $4.78 $5.92 $16.09 76
Rev-Margin DCF $10.80 $15.17 $20.53 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $11.69 $15.64 $22.95 38
Owner Earnings $10.67 $14.21 $20.78 31
5Y Revenue Exit $10.80 $14.93 $20.94 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $12.08 $17.15 $23.87 41
5Y P/E Exit $11.80 $16.67 $22.49 38
10Y Revenue Exit $10.82 $13.94 $17.27 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $11.85 $15.31 $18.99 37
10Y P/E Exit $11.68 $15.01 $18.18 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $5.16 $6.31 $7.10 54
EPV $9.39 $10.69 $11.82 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $4.42 $4.83 $5.47 70
DDM Multi-Stage $4.42 $5.54 $7.12 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $11.96 $15.94 $19.93 63
P/S Multiple $9.68 $12.90 $16.13 58
P/B Multiple $9.68 $12.90 $16.13 55
EV/EBIT $14.78 $19.16 $23.54 53
EV/EBITDA $14.12 $18.29 $22.45 54
EV/Revenue $11.02 $15.04 $19.06 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.89 $2.53 $3.78 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $12.16 $15.99 $22.54 80
Rev-Margin DCF $10.80 $15.17 $20.53 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $4.78 $5.92 $16.09 76
ROIC Compounder $9.39 $10.94 $12.43 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $8.44 $12.06 $15.68 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($15.17) versus Asset-Based ($2.53). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $10.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) -5.1%
Net margin 9.4%
Return on equity 23.5%
Free cash flow $1.4B FY2025
P/E ratio 27.5 as of Jun 23, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 13.1%
EPS (TTM) $0.5900
Dividend yield 2.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +3.5%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 75/100

Of which business quality 74 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 69
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 68
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 85
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 59
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 48
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 22
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 86
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Schindler Holding AG engages in the production, installation, maintenance, and modernization of elevators, escalators, and moving walks worldwide.

Full company description

Schindler Holding AG engages in the production, installation, maintenance, and modernization of elevators, escalators, and moving walks worldwide. It offers Schindler PORT, a transit management system; CleanMobility solutions; Schindler R.I.S.E, a robotic installation system; Schindler MetaCore which enables buildings to be repurposed and their functionality to be reconfigured; Schindler CLIMB Lift, a self-climbing system; Schindler X8; Digital Twin; and BuildingMinds, a cloud based SaaS platform that lets users monitor the performance of a real estate portfolio. In addition, the company provides digital services; and Building Information Modeling which provides traceability and insights throughout the project life cycle, including planning, design, construction, operation, and maintenance. The company was founded in 1874 and is headquartered in Hergiswil, Switzerland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Schindler Holding reported revenue of $10.9B in FY2025 versus $11.3B in FY2022, a compound −1.2%/yr. Reported net income was $1.0B in FY2025, compounding +18.5%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$10.9B
Latest YoY
−2.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.2%
Revenue −1.2%/yr
FY22 $11.3B
FY23 $11.5B
FY24 $11.2B
FY25 $10.9B
Net income +18.5%/yr
FY22 $610M
FY23 $866M
FY24 $950M
FY25 $1.0B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Schindler Holding Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SHNDY

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 75 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +23% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 24% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Above median
Revenue growth -5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.3% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 27.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 6.85× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.20× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 25.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 20.9× · Pricier than median
PEG 3.46× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 64 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 94 · sector 28
HEALTH 99 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 46 · sector 24

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Cummins India Limited CUMMINSIND ₹5,315 ₹1,355 -75%
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Frequently asked questions

Is Schindler Holding (SHNDY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $19.04 versus a price of $15.48, about +23% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SHNDY?
Our model-based fair value for Schindler Holding is $19.04 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $15.48.
What is the quality score of SHNDY?
Schindler Holding has a Quality Score of 75/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Schindler Holding (SHNDY)?
Schindler Holding reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $10.8B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SHNDY?
The net profit margin of Schindler Holding is about 9.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Schindler Holding pay a dividend?
Schindler Holding currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.31% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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