Schindler Holding AG (SHNDY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Schindler Holding AG $18.84, price $15.30, upside +23.1%, quality 75 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Schindler Holding AG engages in the production, installation, maintenance, and modernization of elevators, escalators, and moving walks worldwide.
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Schindler Holding AG engages in the production, installation, maintenance, and modernization of elevators, escalators, and moving walks worldwide. It offers Schindler PORT, a transit management system; CleanMobility solutions; Schindler R.I.S.E, a robotic installation system; Schindler MetaCore which enables buildings to be repurposed and their functionality to be reconfigured; Schindler CLIMB Lift, a self-climbing system; Schindler X8; Digital Twin; and BuildingMinds, a cloud based SaaS platform that lets users monitor the performance of a real estate portfolio. In addition, the company provides digital services; and Building Information Modeling which provides traceability and insights throughout the project life cycle, including planning, design, construction, operation, and maintenance. The company was founded in 1874 and is headquartered in Hergiswil, Switzerland.
Stock analysis
Schindler Holding AG (SHNDY) currently trades at $15.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $18.84, implying the stock looks roughly 18.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $18.44 per share, and 16 of the 24 models we run sit above the $15.30 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $3.06, and 8 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $14.42 (bear) to $24.03 (bull), the price of $15.30 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 75/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Schindler Holding AG reported revenue of CHF 10.9B in FY2025 versus CHF 11.3B in FY2022, a compound −1.2%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 1.0B in FY2025, compounding +18.5%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $34.6B · P/E ratio 27.5 · P/S ratio 2.55 · EPS (TTM) $0.5900 · Dividend yield 2.3% · Net margin 9.3% · Return on equity 23.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 62 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at 23%, SHNDY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $14.42Fair Value $18.84Bull $24.03
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.4461 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.2%
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+13.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+11.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.3%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 13%
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (2 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Very negative
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 790 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score75 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−27.6% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)23.5% · Top 25%
Return on assets7.2% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)9.4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)13.1% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−5.1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.3% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Schindler Holding AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SHNDY
Frequently asked questions
Is Schindler Holding AG (SHNDY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $18.84 versus a price of $15.30, about +23% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SHNDY?
Our model-based fair value for Schindler Holding AG is $18.84 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $15.30.
What is the quality score of SHNDY?
Schindler Holding AG has a Quality Score of 75/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Schindler Holding AG (SHNDY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $18.84 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $14.42, optimistic scenario $24.03. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Schindler Holding AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $18.84, about +23% upside versus a price of $15.30 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $14.42, optimistic scenario $24.03. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Schindler Holding AG (SHNDY)?
Schindler Holding AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about CHF 10.8B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Schindler Holding AG pay a dividend?
Schindler Holding AG currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.31% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Schindler Holding AG (SHNDY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Schindler Holding AG it is $18.84 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of $15.30. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Schindler Holding AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, SHNDY trades below its calculated fair value: price $15.30, fair value $18.84, a gap of about +23% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SHNDY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($15.30); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($18.84). For Schindler Holding AG the two are $3.54 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Schindler Holding AG worth?
The market values Schindler Holding AG at about $34.6B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is $15.30; our models calculate a fair value of $18.84 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SHNDY?
Our models span a range for Schindler Holding AG: cautious scenario $14.42, base $18.84, optimistic $24.03 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price $15.30). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SHNDY?
Schindler Holding AG trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 27.5 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $18.84 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 3.5.
What is the PEG ratio of SHNDY?
The PEG ratio of Schindler Holding AG is 3.46 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 3, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Schindler Holding AG (SHNDY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Schindler Holding AG (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 23.5%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 75/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Schindler Holding AG?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Schindler Holding AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price $15.30, calculated fair value $18.84 (+23%), Quality Score 75/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SHNDY calculated?
We run Schindler Holding AG through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $18.84, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Schindler Holding AG currently trades 19 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Schindler Holding AG (SHNDY)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $15.30. Our model-based fair value is $18.84, about +23% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Schindler Holding AG right now?
The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Schindler Holding AG
How large is the market capitalisation of Schindler Holding AG (SHNDY)?
The market capitalisation of Schindler Holding AG is $34.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Schindler Holding AG (SHNDY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Schindler Holding AG is 2.55 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Schindler Holding AG (SHNDY)?
Earnings per share at Schindler Holding AG are $0.5900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 27.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Schindler Holding AG (SHNDY)?
The dividend yield of Schindler Holding AG is 2.3% (payout 59.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Schindler Holding AG (SHNDY)?
The net margin of Schindler Holding AG is 9.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Schindler Holding AG (SHNDY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Schindler Holding AG is 23.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Schindler Holding AG (SHNDY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Schindler Holding AG is 10.1% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Schindler Holding AG (SHNDY)?
The operating margin of Schindler Holding AG is 13.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Schindler Holding AG (SHNDY)?
Revenue at Schindler Holding AG is growing −5.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Schindler Holding AG (SHNDY)?
Earnings per share at Schindler Holding AG are growing +3.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Schindler Holding AG (SHNDY) generate?
The free cash flow of Schindler Holding AG is CHF 1.4B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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Oct 3, 2026