Southern Hydropower Joint Stock Company (SHP) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · VN · Market cap 3.3T VND
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price −6.2% over the past month.
A strong business, screening 41% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (86/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (32,507 VND). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 11,472 VND – 33,650 VND · fair‑value band 32,507 VND – 54,575 VND · the 30,850 VND price screens below the 43,541 VND fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Southern Hydropower Joint Stock Company (SHP) currently trades at 30,850 VND, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 43,541 VND, implying the stock looks roughly 41.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 86/100 (high quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Southern Hydropower Joint Stock Company generated revenue of 679B VND at a net margin of 47.6%. Revenue grew 46.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 25.8%. Net debt stands at 60.1B VND. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 32,507 VND (bear case) to 54,575 VND (bull case); at 30,850 VND, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at 41%, SHP screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (68,217 VND) versus Asset-Based (9,063 VND). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 81 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Southern Hydropower Joint Stock Company engages in the construction, production, installation, operation, transmission, and distribution of hydropower plants in Vietnam.
Full company description
Southern Hydropower Joint Stock Company engages in the construction, production, installation, operation, transmission, and distribution of hydropower plants in Vietnam. It owns and operates hydropower plants, including Da M'bri plant with installed capacity of 75 MW, Da Dang 2 plant with installed capacity of 34 MW, and Da Siat plant with installed capacity of 13.5 MW. The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Bao Loc, Vietnam.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Southern Hydropower Joint Stock Company reported revenue of 648B VND in FY2025 versus 658B VND in FY2021, a compound −0.4%/yr. Reported net income was 298B VND in FY2025, compounding +3.0%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Utilities - Diversified · 51 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iberdrola, S.A IBE | €21.25 | €9.34 | -56% |
| Enel SpA ENEL | €10.28 | €5.83 | -43% |
| Engie SA 1ENGI | €26.59 | €17.39 | -35% |
| Sempra SRE | $93.15 | $47.77 | -49% |
| E.ON SE EOAN | €19.34 | €11.71 | -39% |
| RWE Aktiengesellschaft generates and 1RWE | €56.52 | €29.64 | -48% |
| ACWA Power Company 2082 | 198.20 SAR | 25.38 SAR | -87% |
| Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. BIPUN | C$55.05 | C$17.66 | -68% |
| EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG EBK | €69.00 | €21.11 | -69% |
| EDP, S.A EDP | €4.41 | €3.81 | -14% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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