Sienna Senior Living Inc (SIA) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · CA · Market cap C$2.5B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price −5.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 44% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$15.25). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (20/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$8.44 – C$23.58 · fair‑value band C$9.01 – C$15.25 · the C$21.83 price screens above the C$12.16 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Sienna Senior Living Inc (SIA) currently trades at C$21.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$12.16, implying the stock looks roughly 44.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 20/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Sienna Senior Living Inc generated revenue of C$1.0B at a net margin of 4.3%. Revenue grew 17.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.1%. Net debt stands at C$1.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$9.01 (bear case) to C$15.25 (bull case); at C$21.83, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -44%, SIA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (C$7.13) versus Earnings-Based (C$3.82). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 22 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Sienna Senior Living Inc. provides senior living services in Canada. It operates through Retirement and Long-Term Care (LTC) segments. The company offers independent living, independent supportive and assisted living, memory care, and long-term and continuing care services.
Full company description
Sienna Senior Living Inc. provides senior living services in Canada. It operates through Retirement and Long-Term Care (LTC) segments. The company offers independent living, independent supportive and assisted living, memory care, and long-term and continuing care services. It also provides management services to senior living residences; consulting services for quality and process improvement, executive leadership, risk management, policy and procedure evaluation, financial management and budget preparation, improving NOI and reducing expenditure, and competitive analysis and benchmarking; and education and training services through in-person, online, and video training. The company was formerly known as Leisureworld Senior Care Corporation and changed its name to Sienna Senior Living Inc. in May 2015. Sienna Senior Living Inc. was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Markham, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Sienna Senior Living Inc reported revenue of C$1.0B in FY2025 versus C$668M in FY2021, a compound +10.7%/yr. Reported net income was C$44.5M in FY2025, compounding +21.2%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +7.7 pp · buybacks/dilution −8.1 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
SIA screens 44% overvalued. Compare with HCA Healthcare, Inc →
Peer Group
Medical Care Facilities · 265 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Medical Care Facilities median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Medical Care Facilities stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| HCA Healthcare, Inc HCA | $414.59 | $547.67 | +32% |
| Fresenius SE FRE | €46.82 | €32.15 | -31% |
| Dr. Sulaiman Al Habib Medical Services Group 4013 | 235.00 SAR | 112.37 SAR | -52% |
| IHH Healthcare Berhad, an investment holding company, Q0F | 2.67 SGD | 1.44 SGD | -46% |
| Tenet Healthcare Corporation THC | $266.79 | $330.25 | +24% |
| Rede D'Or São Luiz S.A RDOR3 | R$33.97 | R$47.31 | +39% |
| Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Limited APOLLOHOSP | ₹8,565 | ₹2,955 | -65% |
| Aier Eye Hospital Group 300015 | ¥8.87 | ¥7.67 | -14% |
| Max Healthcare Institute Limited MAXHEALTH | ₹1,008 | ₹284.87 | -72% |
| Bangkok Dusit Medical Services Public Company BDMS | 19.70 THB | 18.57 THB | -6% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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