Sienna Senior Living Inc (SIA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 29, 2026: fair value of Sienna Senior Living Inc C$10.33, price C$20.19, upside -48.8%, quality 20 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$8.44 – C$23.58 · fair‑value band C$7.33 – C$12.97 · the C$20.19 price screens above the C$10.33 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Sienna Senior Living Inc. provides senior living services in Canada. It operates through Retirement and Long-Term Care (LTC) segments. The company offers independent living, independent supportive and assisted living, memory care, and long-term and continuing care services.
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Sienna Senior Living Inc. provides senior living services in Canada. It operates through Retirement and Long-Term Care (LTC) segments. The company offers independent living, independent supportive and assisted living, memory care, and long-term and continuing care services. It also provides management services to senior living residences; consulting services for quality and process improvement, executive leadership, risk management, policy and procedure evaluation, financial management and budget preparation, improving NOI and reducing expenditure, and competitive analysis and benchmarking; and education and training services through in-person, online, and video training. The company was formerly known as Leisureworld Senior Care Corporation and changed its name to Sienna Senior Living Inc. in May 2015. Sienna Senior Living Inc. was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Markham, Canada.
Stock analysis
Sienna Senior Living Inc (SIA) currently trades at C$20.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$10.33, 48.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of C$7.13 per share, and 0 of the 11 models we run sit above the C$20.19 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at C$3.82, and 11 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: C$7.33 (bear) to C$12.97 (bull), the price of C$20.19 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 20/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Sienna Senior Living Inc reported revenue of C$1.0B in FY2025 versus C$668M in FY2021, a compound +10.7%/yr. Reported net income was C$44.5M in FY2025, compounding +21.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap C$2.5B (≈ $1.8B) · P/E ratio 42.1 · P/S ratio 1.86 · EPS (TTM) C$0.4800 · Dividend yield 4.6% · Net margin 4.4% · Return on equity 6.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at 21% fair-value upside, at −49%, SIA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear C$7.33Fair Value C$10.33Bull C$12.97
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.45/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+12.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.3% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ −6.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−11.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.18.2% vs 8.1%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.19% → 10%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 226% above its own trend.
Compare Sienna Senior Living Inc with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Medical Care Facilities · 249 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score20 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−48.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)6.1% · Below median
Return on assets2.8% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)4.3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)8.3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth17.6% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)4.6% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.95× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Medical Care Facilities median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)42.1× · Priciest 25%
P/B3.47× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)2.39× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA22.7× · Priciest 25%
PEG24.62× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)88· sector 28
PAST (return on equity)24· sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)3· sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)93· sector 41
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sienna Senior Living Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SIA
Frequently asked questions
Is Sienna Senior Living Inc (SIA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$10.33 versus a price of C$20.19, about −49% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SIA?
Our model-based fair value for Sienna Senior Living Inc is C$10.33 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$20.19.
What is the quality score of SIA?
Sienna Senior Living Inc has a Quality Score of 20/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sienna Senior Living Inc (SIA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$10.33 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$7.33, optimistic scenario C$12.97. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sienna Senior Living Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$10.33, about −49% upside versus a price of C$20.19 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$7.33, optimistic scenario C$12.97. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sienna Senior Living Inc (SIA)?
Sienna Senior Living Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$1.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Sienna Senior Living Inc pay a dividend?
Sienna Senior Living Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.64% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Sienna Senior Living Inc (SIA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sienna Senior Living Inc it is C$10.33 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of C$20.19. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sienna Senior Living Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, SIA trades above its calculated fair value: price C$20.19, fair value C$10.33, a gap of about −49% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SIA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$20.19); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$10.33). For Sienna Senior Living Inc the two are C$9.86 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sienna Senior Living Inc worth?
The market values Sienna Senior Living Inc at about C$2.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is C$20.19; our models calculate a fair value of C$10.33 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SIA?
Our models span a range for Sienna Senior Living Inc: cautious scenario C$7.33, base C$10.33, optimistic C$12.97 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price C$20.19). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SIA?
Sienna Senior Living Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 42.1 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of C$10.33 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 24.6, P/B 3.5, P/S 2.4, EV/EBITDA 22.7.
What is the PEG ratio of SIA?
The PEG ratio of Sienna Senior Living Inc is 24.62 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 27, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sienna Senior Living Inc (SIA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sienna Senior Living Inc (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 6.1%, debt of 1.95 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 20/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SIA from its 52-week high?
Sienna Senior Living Inc trades at C$20.19, about 14% below its 52-week high of C$23.58 and 14% above the low of C$17.68 (as of Sep 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$10.33 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sienna Senior Living Inc?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value HCA Healthcare, Inc, Fresenius SE, Dr. Sulaiman Al Habib Medical Services Group, Tenet Healthcare Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sienna Senior Living Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price C$20.19, calculated fair value C$10.33 (−49%), Quality Score 20/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SIA calculated?
We run Sienna Senior Living Inc through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$10.33, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Sienna Senior Living Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sienna Senior Living Inc (SIA)?
The closing price on Sep 29, 2026 was C$20.19. Our model-based fair value is C$10.33, about −49% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sienna Senior Living Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$12.97). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (20/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Where does the earnings growth of Sienna Senior Living Inc (SIA) come from?
Earnings per share at Sienna Senior Living Inc grew +6.1 % a year from 2015 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −0.4 %, EBIT margin −1.2 %, tax rate −0.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +8.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Sienna Senior Living Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Sienna Senior Living Inc (SIA)?
The market capitalisation of Sienna Senior Living Inc is C$2.5B (≈ $1.8B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sienna Senior Living Inc (SIA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sienna Senior Living Inc is 1.86 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sienna Senior Living Inc (SIA)?
Earnings per share at Sienna Senior Living Inc are C$0.4800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 42.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sienna Senior Living Inc (SIA)?
The dividend yield of Sienna Senior Living Inc is 4.6% (payout 195%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sienna Senior Living Inc (SIA)?
The net margin of Sienna Senior Living Inc is 4.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sienna Senior Living Inc (SIA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sienna Senior Living Inc is 6.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sienna Senior Living Inc (SIA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sienna Senior Living Inc is 6.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sienna Senior Living Inc (SIA)?
The operating margin of Sienna Senior Living Inc is 8.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sienna Senior Living Inc (SIA)?
Revenue at Sienna Senior Living Inc is growing +17.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sienna Senior Living Inc (SIA)?
Earnings per share at Sienna Senior Living Inc are growing −10.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Sienna Senior Living Inc (SIA) generate?
The free cash flow of Sienna Senior Living Inc is −C$42.9M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Sienna Senior Living Inc (SIA) carry?
The net debt of Sienna Senior Living Inc is C$1.3B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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