Siebert Financial Corp (SIEB) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Siebert Financial Corp $4.06, price $2.18, upside +86.2%, quality 42 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.22 – $5.44 · fair‑value band $2.45 – $6.48 · the $2.18 price screens below the $4.06 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Siebert Financial Corp., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of brokerage and financial advisory services in the United States.
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Siebert Financial Corp., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of brokerage and financial advisory services in the United States. It offers self-directed trading, market making and fixed income investment, stock borrow/stock loan, equity compensation plans, and wealth management/financial advisory; Investment banking / capital markets; and advanced trading services; corporate services; independent retail execution services; and retail customer services. The company also offers self-directed retirement accounts, as well as lends customers a portion of the market value of marginable securities held in the customer's account. In addition, the company provides data technology platform that offers various services, such as email and messaging, market data systems and third-party trading systems, business productivity tools, and customer relationship management systems. Further, it offers a robo-advisory technology that provides clients with an automated wealth management solution, as well as managed portfolios and separately managed accounts; and various insurance products, such as fixed annuities, personal insurance, property and casualty insurance, natural disaster insurance, and life and disability, as well as talent management and representation, sports negotiation, and marketing services. Siebert Financial Corp. was incorporated in 1934 and is headquartered in Miami Beach, Florida.
Stock analysis
Siebert Financial Corp (SIEB) currently trades at $2.18, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.06, implying the stock looks roughly 46.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of $4.38 per share, and 7 of the 11 models we run sit above the $2.18 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.46, and 4 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $2.45 (bear) to $6.48 (bull), the price of $2.18 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Siebert Financial Corp reported revenue of $94.2M in FY2025 versus $67.5M in FY2021, a compound +8.7%/yr. Reported net income was $5.1M in FY2025, compounding +0.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $88.0M · P/S ratio 0.85 · EPS (TTM) $−0.1400 · Net margin 5.4% · Return on equity −6.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.4% · Operating margin −9.0% · Revenue (TTM) $88.2M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at 86%, SIEB screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $2.45Fair Value $4.06Bull $6.48
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.76/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+17.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +25.0% a year
Revenue growth 30 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
−0.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−0.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 6%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Capital Markets · 458 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+86% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−19% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.05× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper
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Is Siebert Financial Corp (SIEB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.06 versus a price of $2.18, about +86% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SIEB?
Our model-based fair value for Siebert Financial Corp is $4.06 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.18.
What is the quality score of SIEB?
Siebert Financial Corp has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Siebert Financial Corp (SIEB)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $4.06 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.45, optimistic scenario $6.48. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Siebert Financial Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $4.06, about +86% upside versus a price of $2.18 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $2.45, optimistic scenario $6.48. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Siebert Financial Corp (SIEB)?
Siebert Financial Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $88.2M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Siebert Financial Corp (SIEB)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Siebert Financial Corp would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +11.4 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SIEB use?
Our models discount Siebert Financial Corp at 12.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.90, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Siebert Financial Corp that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Siebert Financial Corp (SIEB) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Siebert Financial Corp grew +11.4 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Siebert Financial Corp (SIEB) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Siebert Financial Corp (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Siebert Financial Corp (SIEB)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 10.92 %: that much free cash flow Siebert Financial Corp produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Siebert Financial Corp (SIEB)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Siebert Financial Corp it is $4.06 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $2.18. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Siebert Financial Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, SIEB trades below its calculated fair value: price $2.18, fair value $4.06, a gap of about +86% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SIEB?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.18); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($4.06). For Siebert Financial Corp the two are $1.88 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Siebert Financial Corp worth?
The market values Siebert Financial Corp at about $88.0M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $2.18; our models calculate a fair value of $4.06 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SIEB?
Our models span a range for Siebert Financial Corp: cautious scenario $2.45, base $4.06, optimistic $6.48 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $2.18). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of SIEB?
The PEG ratio of Siebert Financial Corp is 0.72 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Siebert Financial Corp (SIEB)?
Balance-sheet figures for Siebert Financial Corp (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −6.0%, debt of 0.05 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SIEB from its 52-week high?
Siebert Financial Corp trades at $2.18, about 46% below its 52-week high of $4.06 and 36% above the low of $1.60 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $4.06 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Siebert Financial Corp?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company,, The Goldman Sachs Group, The Charles Schwab Corporation, Interactive Brokers Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Siebert Financial Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $2.18, calculated fair value $4.06 (+86%), Quality Score 42/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SIEB calculated?
We run Siebert Financial Corp through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $4.06, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Siebert Financial Corp currently trades 86 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Siebert Financial Corp (SIEB)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $2.18. Our model-based fair value is $4.06, about +86% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Siebert Financial Corp right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($2.45). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide ($2.45 to $6.48). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Key figures of Siebert Financial Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Siebert Financial Corp (SIEB)?
The market capitalisation of Siebert Financial Corp is $88.0M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Siebert Financial Corp (SIEB)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Siebert Financial Corp is 0.85 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Siebert Financial Corp (SIEB)?
Earnings per share at Siebert Financial Corp are $−0.1400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Siebert Financial Corp (SIEB)?
The net margin of Siebert Financial Corp is 5.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Siebert Financial Corp (SIEB)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Siebert Financial Corp is −6.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Siebert Financial Corp (SIEB)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Siebert Financial Corp is 1.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Siebert Financial Corp (SIEB)?
The operating margin of Siebert Financial Corp is −9.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Siebert Financial Corp (SIEB)?
Revenue at Siebert Financial Corp is growing −19.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +23.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Siebert Financial Corp (SIEB)?
Earnings per share at Siebert Financial Corp are growing −58.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Siebert Financial Corp (SIEB) hold?
Siebert Financial Corp holds more cash than debt, $10.8M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Sep 23, 2026