Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd (SIELY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd $2.37, price $7.31, upside -67.6%, quality 50 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.53 – $14.88 · fair‑value band $1.77 – $3.38 · the $7.31 price screens above the $2.37 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
Follow Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Shanghai Electric Group Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells industrial and energy equipment in Mainland China and internationally. The company operates through Energy Equipment Business, Industrial Equipment Business, and Integrated Service Business segments.
Show more
Shanghai Electric Group Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells industrial and energy equipment in Mainland China and internationally. The company operates through Energy Equipment Business, Industrial Equipment Business, and Integrated Service Business segments. It offers designs, manufactures, and sells nuclear power, energy storage, coal-fired power generation and auxiliary, gas power generation, wind power, hydrogen, photovoltaic, and high-end chemical equipment, as well as elevators, large and medium-sized electric motors, intelligent manufacturing equipment, industrial basic parts, and construction industrialization equipment. The company also provides power grid and industrial intelligent power supply system solutions; energy, environmental protection and automation engineering and services, such as traditional and new energy, comprehensive utilization of solid waste, sewage treatment, flue gas treatment, and rail transit; industrial internet services; financial services, including financial leasing, factoring, asset management, and insurance brokerage; and park and property management services. The company was founded in 1902 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR (SIELY) currently trades at $7.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.37, 67.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $7.75 per share, and 9 of the 24 models we run sit above the $7.31 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $1.61, and 15 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $1.77 (bear) to $3.38 (bull), the price of $7.31 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR reported revenue of 127B CNY in FY2025 versus 131B CNY in FY2021, a compound −0.9%/yr. Reported net income was 1.2B CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $18.7B · P/E ratio 43.7 · P/S ratio 0.42 · EPS (TTM) $0.2500 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin 1.0% · Return on equity 3.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −68%, SIELY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $1.77Fair Value $2.37Bull $3.38
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.1785 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+9.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.0% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.4%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+10.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+9.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−26.0% vs −7.1%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 4%
2025 sits 134% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−15.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in CNY, China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −17.1% a year for the price and +1.4% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (76 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
Compare Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 782 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/15 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score50 · Below median
Fair Value upside−74.7% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)3.9% · Below median
Return on assets0.7% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)1.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)3.2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth9.3% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.53× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)43.7× · Pricier than median
P/B2.30× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)0.98× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF22.8× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA18.8× · Pricier than median
PEG2.77× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)47· sector 30
PAST (return on equity)16· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)74· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)4· sector 26
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SIELY
Frequently asked questions
Is Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd (SIELY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.37 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $7.31, about −68% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SIELY?
Our model-based fair value for Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR is $2.37 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $7.31.
What is the quality score of SIELY?
Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd (SIELY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.37 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.77, optimistic scenario $3.38. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.37, about −68% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $7.31 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.77, optimistic scenario $3.38. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd (SIELY)?
Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 129B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR pay a dividend?
Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.19% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd (SIELY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR would have to grow free cash flow by -15.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -1.6 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SIELY use?
Our models discount Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR at 8.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.65, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR that is -15.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd (SIELY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR grew -1.6 % a year. The price currently implies -15.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd (SIELY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR (-15.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd (SIELY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 14.42 %: that much free cash flow Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd (SIELY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR it is $2.37 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of $7.31. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, SIELY trades above its calculated fair value: price $7.31, fair value $2.37, a gap of about −68% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SIELY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($7.31); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.37). For Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR the two are $4.94 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR worth?
The market values Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR at about $18.7B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is $7.31; our models calculate a fair value of $2.37 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SIELY?
Our models span a range for Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR: cautious scenario $1.77, base $2.37, optimistic $3.38 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price $7.31). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SIELY?
Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 43.7 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $2.37 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.8, P/B 2.3, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 18.8.
What is the PEG ratio of SIELY?
The PEG ratio of Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR is 2.77 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 3, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd (SIELY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 3.9%, debt of 0.53 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SIELY from its 52-week high?
Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR trades at $7.31, about 45% below its 52-week high of $13.19 and at the low of $7.31 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.37 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price $7.31, calculated fair value $2.37 (−68%), Quality Score 50/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SIELY calculated?
We run Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.37, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd (SIELY)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $7.31. Our model-based fair value is $2.37, about −68% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.38). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($1.77 to $3.38) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR
How large is the market capitalisation of Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd (SIELY)?
The market capitalisation of Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR is $18.7B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd (SIELY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR is 0.42 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd (SIELY)?
Earnings per share at Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR are $0.2500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 43.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd (SIELY)?
The dividend yield of Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR is 0.2% (payout 5.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd (SIELY)?
The net margin of Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR is 1.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd (SIELY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR is 3.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd (SIELY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR is 1.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd (SIELY)?
The operating margin of Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR is 3.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd (SIELY)?
Revenue at Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR is growing +9.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd (SIELY)?
Earnings per share at Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR are growing +30.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd (SIELY) carry?
The net debt of Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR is 3.4B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR in the live analysis
One click puts Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd ADR on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Broad data
Oct 3, 2026