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SINCLAIRS HOTELS ORD (BSE) (SINCLAIR) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · IN · Market cap ₹3.9B

SH SINCLAIRS HOTELS ORD (BSE) SINCLAIR · NSE
Price₹74.64
Fair Value₹34.40
Upside-53.9%
Quality68/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 15.3% net margin
generates free cash flow
1.06% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Moderate moat 55/100
Evidence: High Range ₹24.16 – ₹44.65 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

A solid business, but screening 54% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹44.65). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (68/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹24.16 to ₹44.65) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (2 years)

₹132.39 ₹70.53 Fair Value ₹34.40 Apr 2024 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

28‑month range ₹70.53 – ₹132.39 · fair‑value band ₹24.16 – ₹44.65 · the ₹74.64 price screens above the ₹34.40 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

SINCLAIRS HOTELS ORD (BSE) (SINCLAIR) currently trades at ₹74.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹34.40, implying the stock looks roughly 53.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, SINCLAIRS HOTELS ORD (BSE) generated revenue of ₹592M at a net margin of 15.3%. Revenue grew 16.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.6%. Net debt stands at ₹337M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹24.16 (bear case) to ₹44.65 (bull case); at ₹74.64, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -56% fair-value upside, at -54%, SINCLAIR screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ₹19.18 ₹20.28 ₹21.83 76
Growth DCF ₹47.38 ₹76.40 ₹121.01 72
Gordon GGM ₹7.03 ₹14.00 ₹21.20 70
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹47.33 ₹78.03 ₹126.39 38
Owner Earnings ₹33.59 ₹55.36 ₹89.64 31
5Y Revenue Exit ₹22.63 ₹31.14 ₹41.37 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹36.18 ₹57.85 ₹83.69 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹33.71 ₹52.99 ₹73.83 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹30.82 ₹41.21 ₹54.60 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹39.75 ₹59.87 ₹87.78 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹38.18 ₹56.48 ₹80.05 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹12.01 ₹47.25 ₹64.15 54
Lynch FV ₹11.66 ₹16.66 ₹21.65 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹11.66 ₹16.66 ₹21.65 46
EPV ₹15.71 ₹18.17 ₹20.30 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹7.03 ₹14.00 ₹21.20 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹7.03 ₹12.10 ₹14.78 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹29.15 ₹38.86 ₹48.58 63
P/S Multiple ₹10.40 ₹13.87 ₹17.33 58
P/B Multiple ₹22.52 ₹30.03 ₹37.54 55
EV/EBIT ₹30.87 ₹41.11 ₹51.36 53
EV/EBITDA ₹33.45 ₹44.55 ₹55.66 54
EV/Revenue ₹9.84 ₹14.00 ₹18.16 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹11.82 ₹15.84 ₹23.64 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹47.38 ₹76.40 ₹121.01 72
Rev-Margin DCF ₹22.63 ₹31.72 ₹43.09 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹19.18 ₹20.28 ₹21.83 76
ROIC Compounder ₹15.71 ₹18.17 ₹20.30 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹21.33 ₹30.47 ₹39.61 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹55.36) versus Dividend Discount (₹12.10). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹592M
Revenue growth (YoY) +16.6%
Net margin 15.3%
Return on equity 7.6%
Free cash flow ₹210M FY2026
P/E ratio 42.2
More key figures
Operating margin 20.0%
EPS (TTM) ₹1.77
Dividend yield 1.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +409%
Net debt ₹337M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 68/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 10
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 99
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 70
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 86
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 91
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sinclairs Hotels Limited operates in the hospitality sector in India. The company operates a chain of hotels and resorts under Sinclairs brand name, including Sinclairs Burdwan, Sindlairs Siliguri, Sinclairs Darjeeling, Sinclairs Retreat Kalimpong, and Sinclairs Retreat Dooars in West Bengal; Sinclairs Gangtok in Sikkim; Sinclairs Udaipur in Rajasthan; …

Full company description

Sinclairs Hotels Limited operates in the hospitality sector in India. The company operates a chain of hotels and resorts under Sinclairs brand name, including Sinclairs Burdwan, Sindlairs Siliguri, Sinclairs Darjeeling, Sinclairs Retreat Kalimpong, and Sinclairs Retreat Dooars in West Bengal; Sinclairs Gangtok in Sikkim; Sinclairs Udaipur in Rajasthan; Sinclairs Retreat Ooty in Tamil Nadu; and Sinclairs Bayview Port Blair in Andamans. Sinclairs Hotels Limited was incorporated in 1971 and is based in Kolkata, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

SINCLAIRS HOTELS ORD (BSE) reported revenue of ₹592M in FY2026 versus ₹303M in FY2022, a compound +18.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹90.5M in FY2026, compounding +6.2%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 89/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹592M
Latest YoY
−0.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+28.0%
Avg. growth/yr (19Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.5%
Revenue +18.2%/yr
FY22 ₹303M
FY23 ₹538M
FY24 ₹559M
FY25 ₹596M
FY26 ₹592M
Net income +6.2%/yr
FY22 ₹71.3M
FY23 ₹312M
FY24 ₹205M
FY25 ₹140M
FY26 ₹90.5M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +9.3 % p.a.
Revenue per share +5.6 pp

of which total revenue +4.7 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.8 pp

EBIT margin +2.2 pp
Tax rate +2.2 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.7 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

SINCLAIR screens 54% overvalued. Compare with Marriott International, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SINCLAIRS HOTELS ORD (BSE) Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SINCLAIR

Peer Group

Lodging · 165 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −54% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 20% · Above median
Revenue growth 17% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.1% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Lodging median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 42.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 3.20× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 6.55× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 20.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 83 · sector 19
PAST 31 · sector 11
HEALTH 0 · sector 91
DIVIDEND 21 · sector 28

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Lodging stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Marriott International, Inc MAR $354.58 $132.35 -63%
Hilton Worldwide Holdings HLT $322.53 $122.02 -62%
InterContinental Hotels Group IHG $161.82 $85.18 -47%
Hyatt Hotels Corporation H $178.37 $46.78 -74%
H World Group HTHT $41.25 $47.78 +16%
The Indian Hotels Company INDHOTEL ₹724.00 ₹253.67 -65%
Hanjin Kal, 180640 118,200 KRW 36,890 KRW -69%
Jabal Omar Development Company 4250 16.00 SAR 11.64 SAR -27%
Makkah Construction and Development Company 4100 81.95 SAR 36.25 SAR -56%
Minor International Public Company MINT 22.90 THB 32.82 THB +43%

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Frequently asked questions

Is SINCLAIRS HOTELS ORD (BSE) (SINCLAIR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹34.40 versus a price of ₹74.64, about −54% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SINCLAIR?
Our model-based fair value for SINCLAIRS HOTELS ORD (BSE) is ₹34.40 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹74.64.
What is the quality score of SINCLAIR?
SINCLAIRS HOTELS ORD (BSE) has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of SINCLAIRS HOTELS ORD (BSE) (SINCLAIR)?
SINCLAIRS HOTELS ORD (BSE) reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹592M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SINCLAIR?
The net profit margin of SINCLAIRS HOTELS ORD (BSE) is about 15.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 15.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does SINCLAIRS HOTELS ORD (BSE) pay a dividend?
SINCLAIRS HOTELS ORD (BSE) currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.06% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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