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Sino-Ocean Group (SIOLF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Sino-Ocean Group $0.00, price $0.00, upside +7.6%, quality 56 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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  2. Good quality? Yes
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Real Estate · US · ISIN HK3377040226

SO Sino-Ocean Group logo Some data Sep 24, 2026

Sino-Ocean Group

SIOLF · US

NeutralThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.

·Fair value $0.0013 · Fairly valued (+7.6%)
!Quality 56/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −23.3 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 45.5% net margin (TTM)
✓Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
!Narrow moat 39/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$0.4010 $0.0012 Fair Value $0.0013 Mar 2009 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0012 – $0.4010 · fair‑value band $0.0013 – $0.0013 · the $0.0012 price screens below the $0.0013 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Sino-Ocean Group Holding Limited, an investment holding company, engages in property investment and development activities in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Property Development, Property Investment, Property Management, and All Other segments.

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Sino-Ocean Group Holding Limited, an investment holding company, engages in property investment and development activities in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Property Development, Property Investment, Property Management, and All Other segments. The company engages in residential development under the Epoch, Harmony, and Landscape brands; investment property development and operation, including commercial complexes, office buildings, shopping centers, industrial parks, community commercial areas, and other business spaces; asset-light agent construction for governments and central state-owned enterprises; logistics real estate services, as well as warehousing solutions, including cold chain storage; and real estate fund. It also provides property management service for residential buildings, shopping malls, office spaces, hotels, hospitals, government buildings, and other public service facilities; whole-industrial chain construction; senior living; internet data center; property sales agency; upfitting; land development; and renovation services. The company was formerly known as Sino-Ocean Land Holdings Limited and changed its name to Sino-Ocean Group Holding Limited in May 2016. Sino-Ocean Group Holding Limited was founded in 1993 and is based in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

Stock analysis

Sino-Ocean Group (SIOLF) currently trades at $0.0012, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0013, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 7.0%).

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 13 models at a data quality of 93/100, which puts the evidence level at medium.

Scenario range: $0.0013 (bear) to $0.0013 (bull), the price of $0.0012 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Sino-Ocean Group reported revenue of 15.0B CNY in FY2025 versus 64.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound −30.5%/yr. Reported net income was 6.6B CNY in FY2025, compounding +24.6%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $139M · EPS (TTM) $−0.1200 · Net margin 43.8% · Return on equity 34.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −7.4% · Operating margin −85.5% · Revenue (TTM) 14.8B CNY · Revenue growth (YoY) −16.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 18 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 96% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 8%, SIOLF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.0013 Fair Value $0.0013 Bull $0.0013
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $0.2100 $0.3100 $0.4800 80
Growth DCF $0.2100 $0.3100 $0.4700 78
5Y Revenue Exit $0.0900 $0.1800 $0.3200 69
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.2100 $0.3100 $0.4800 80
5Y Revenue Exit $0.0900 $0.1800 $0.3200 69
10Y Revenue Exit $0.1400 $0.2100 $0.3000 67
Multiples
P/S Multiple $0.8600 $1.15 $1.44 58
EV/Revenue n/a $0.1100 $0.2100 46
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.2100 $0.3100 $0.4700 78
Rev-Margin DCF $0.0900 $0.1900 $0.3300 69

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 10

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 56
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 13
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 26
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 5
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−36.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−31.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−23.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −6.9% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.6%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+59.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+59.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.59.1% vs 22.4%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.19% → −214%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

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Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

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Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited 0016 HK$107.10 HK$155.14 +45%
China Resources Land Limited 1109 HK$28.64 HK$71.60 +150%
CK Asset Holdings 1113 HK$45.90 HK$71.49 +56%
Hongkong Land Holdings H78 $8.57 $1.52 −82%
DLF Limited DLF ₹658.40 ₹167.48 −75%
China Overseas Land & Investment Limited 0688 HK$12.42 HK$22.33 +80%
Sino Land Company 0083 HK$9.94 HK$7.28 −27%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,165 ₹274.14 −76%
Poly Developments and Holdings 600048 ¥5.77 ¥5.87 +2%
China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings 001979 ¥7.18 ¥6.04 −16%

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Sino-Ocean Group · Fair Value
$0.0013 +7%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sino-Ocean Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SIOLF

Frequently asked questions

Is Sino-Ocean Group (SIOLF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0013 versus a price of $0.0012, about +8% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of SIOLF?
Our model-based fair value for Sino-Ocean Group is $0.0013 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.0012.
What is the quality score of SIOLF?
Sino-Ocean Group has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sino-Ocean Group (SIOLF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0013 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0013, optimistic scenario $0.0013. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sino-Ocean Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0013, about +8% upside versus a price of $0.0012 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $0.0013, optimistic scenario $0.0013. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sino-Ocean Group (SIOLF)?
Sino-Ocean Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 14.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Sino-Ocean Group (SIOLF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sino-Ocean Group it is $0.0013 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.0012. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sino-Ocean Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SIOLF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.0012, fair value $0.0013, a gap of about +8% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SIOLF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0012); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0013). For Sino-Ocean Group the two are $0.0001 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sino-Ocean Group worth?
The market values Sino-Ocean Group at about $139M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.0012; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0013 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SIOLF?
Our models span a range for Sino-Ocean Group: cautious scenario $0.0013, base $0.0013, optimistic $0.0013 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.0012). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is SIOLF from its 52-week high?
Sino-Ocean Group trades at $0.0012, about 96% below its 52-week high of $0.0281 and at the low of $0.0012 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0013 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sino-Ocean Group?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, CK Asset Holdings, Hongkong Land Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sino-Ocean Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.0012, calculated fair value $0.0013 (+8%), Quality Score 56/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SIOLF calculated?
We run Sino-Ocean Group through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0013, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Sino-Ocean Group currently trades 7 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sino-Ocean Group (SIOLF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $0.0012. Our model-based fair value is $0.0013, about +8% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sino-Ocean Group right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.0013). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The models converge in a tight band ($0.0013 to $0.0013), unusually little disagreement for a valuation. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of Sino-Ocean Group

How large is the market capitalisation of Sino-Ocean Group (SIOLF)?
The market capitalisation of Sino-Ocean Group is $139M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Sino-Ocean Group (SIOLF)?
Earnings per share at Sino-Ocean Group are $−0.1200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Sino-Ocean Group (SIOLF)?
The net margin of Sino-Ocean Group is 43.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sino-Ocean Group (SIOLF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sino-Ocean Group is 34.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sino-Ocean Group (SIOLF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sino-Ocean Group is −7.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sino-Ocean Group (SIOLF)?
The operating margin of Sino-Ocean Group is −85.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sino-Ocean Group (SIOLF)?
Revenue at Sino-Ocean Group is growing −16.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −31.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sino-Ocean Group (SIOLF)?
Earnings per share at Sino-Ocean Group are growing +4.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Sino-Ocean Group (SIOLF) generate?
The free cash flow of Sino-Ocean Group is 2.2B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Sino-Ocean Group (SIOLF) carry?
The net debt of Sino-Ocean Group is 47.3B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 21.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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