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PT Sreeya Sewu Indonesia Tbk (SIPD) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · ID · Market cap 1.3T IDR

PS PT Sreeya Sewu Indonesia Tbk SIPD · JK
Price690.00 IDR
Fair Value271.08 IDR
Upside-60.7%
Quality43/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 0.6% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/13)
Narrow moat 28/100
Evidence: High Range 251.15 IDR – 338.85 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price +0.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 61% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (338.85 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

2,070 IDR 670.00 IDR Fair Value 271.08 IDR Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 670.00 IDR – 2,070 IDR · fair‑value band 251.15 IDR – 338.85 IDR · the 690.00 IDR price screens above the 271.08 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

PT Sreeya Sewu Indonesia Tbk (SIPD) currently trades at 690.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 271.08 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 60.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Sreeya Sewu Indonesia Tbk generated revenue of 5.5T IDR at a net margin of 0.6%. Revenue grew 5.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.8%. Net debt stands at 493B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 251.15 IDR (bear case) to 338.85 IDR (bull case); at 690.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 102% fair-value upside, at -61%, SIPD screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 486.42 IDR 468.19 IDR 386.56 IDR 76
ROIC Compounder 12.74 IDR 28.20 IDR 72
Gordon GGM 48.18 IDR 105.19 IDR 176.99 IDR 70
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 108.43 IDR 330.85 IDR 439.14 IDR 54
Lynch FV 70.99 IDR 101.42 IDR 131.84 IDR 50
PEG = 1.0 70.99 IDR 101.42 IDR 131.84 IDR 46
EPV 12.74 IDR 28.20 IDR 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 48.18 IDR 105.19 IDR 176.99 IDR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 48.18 IDR 80.52 IDR 109.63 IDR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 251.15 IDR 334.86 IDR 418.58 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 203.31 IDR 271.08 IDR 338.85 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 203.31 IDR 271.08 IDR 338.85 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 148.05 IDR 231.79 IDR 315.53 IDR 53
EV/EBITDA 609.51 IDR 847.06 IDR 1,085 IDR 54
EV/Revenue 76.14 IDR 152.98 IDR 229.82 IDR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 336.68 IDR 451.14 IDR 673.35 IDR 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 486.42 IDR 468.19 IDR 386.56 IDR 76
ROIC Compounder 12.74 IDR 28.20 IDR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 206.25 IDR 294.64 IDR 383.04 IDR 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (451.14 IDR) versus Economic Profit (12.74 IDR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 5.5T IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.5%
Net margin 0.6%
Return on equity 2.8%
Free cash flow −73.7B IDR FY2025
P/E ratio 36.0
More key figures
Operating margin 3.1%
EPS (TTM) 18.91 IDR
EPS growth (YoY) +28.0%
Net debt 493B IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 42
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 65
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 45
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 16
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 17
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Sreeya Sewu Indonesia Tbk engages in breeding to produce commercial chickens, chicken slaughter, and integrated chicken processing with cold storage in Indonesia. It operates through Poultry Feeds; Breeder and Farm; and Dressed Chicken and Frozen Foods segments.

Full company description

PT Sreeya Sewu Indonesia Tbk engages in breeding to produce commercial chickens, chicken slaughter, and integrated chicken processing with cold storage in Indonesia. It operates through Poultry Feeds; Breeder and Farm; and Dressed Chicken and Frozen Foods segments. The company offers broiler, layer, breeder, concentrate, quail, and bird feed; and other type of feeds in the form of flour, pellet, crumble, and expander. It also operates day old chick (DOC) breeding and hatchery farms, which are cultivated by broiler and layer farmers to produce live birds; and slaughterhouses that produce live birds from DOC broilers. In addition, the company offers dressed chicken products to various supermarkets, hypermarkets, restaurants, café, and other outlets; and frozen food, including processed chicken, chicken nuggets, sausages, corned and meatballs under the Royal, Belfoods, and Uenakk brand names. Further, it is involved in the food processing industry; and distribution and trading of poultry equipment, raw materials, feedmill, and other products. The company was formerly known as PT Sierad Produce Tbk and changed its name to PT Sreeya Sewu Indonesia Tbk in September 2020. The company was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia. PT Sreeya Sewu Indonesia Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Great Giant Pineapple.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Sreeya Sewu Indonesia Tbk reported revenue of 5.4T IDR in FY2025 versus 5.4T IDR in FY2021, a compound +0.0%/yr. Reported net income was 29.3B IDR in FY2025, compounding +18.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 36/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
5.4T IDR
Latest YoY
+1.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.6%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.7%
Revenue +0.0%/yr
FY21 5.4T IDR
FY22 6.0T IDR
FY23 6.1T IDR
FY24 5.4T IDR
FY25 5.4T IDR
Net income +18.1%/yr
FY21 15.1B IDR
FY22 −218B IDR
FY23 −17.3B IDR
FY24 3.3B IDR
FY25 29.3B IDR

SIPD screens 61% overvalued. Compare with Muyuan Foods Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Sreeya Sewu Indonesia Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SIPD

Peer Group

Farm Products · 288 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 43 · Below median
Fair Value upside −61% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.24× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 36.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.01× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.23× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 7.4× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.22× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 25
FUTURE 28 · sector 20
PAST 11 · sector 17
HEALTH 88 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥40.90 ¥48.19 +18%
Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 ¥14.51 ¥12.08 -17%
Mowi ASA MOWI kr 188.40 kr 262.59 +39%
PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN 3,120 IDR 7,076 IDR +127%
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 22.00 THB 55.71 THB +153%
PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG 1,540 IDR 3,105 IDR +102%
PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA 7,300 IDR 7,463 IDR +2%
PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA 2,070 IDR 7,231 IDR +249%
Thaifoods Group TFGR 10.60 THB 23.53 THB +122%
PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR 1,845 IDR 610.80 IDR -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Sreeya Sewu Indonesia Tbk (SIPD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 271.08 IDR versus a price of 690.00 IDR, about −61% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SIPD?
Our model-based fair value for PT Sreeya Sewu Indonesia Tbk is 271.08 IDR (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 690.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of SIPD?
PT Sreeya Sewu Indonesia Tbk has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Sreeya Sewu Indonesia Tbk (SIPD)?
PT Sreeya Sewu Indonesia Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.5T IDR (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SIPD?
The net profit margin of PT Sreeya Sewu Indonesia Tbk is about 0.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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