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SJVN Limited (SJVN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of SJVN Limited ₹26.17, price ₹57.91, upside -54.8%, quality 35 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Utilities · IN · ISIN INE002L01015

SL Thin data Sep 30, 2026

SJVN Limited

SJVN · NSE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ₹26.17 · Strongly overvalued (−54.8%)
!Quality 35/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +13.1 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 12.8% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · negative free cash flow
!2.5% dividend yield · Watch coverage
!Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
!Moderate moat 46/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 18 out of 100
!Weak on balance sheet: 5 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

₹147.56 ₹21.59 Fair Value ₹26.17 Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹21.59 – ₹147.56 · fair‑value band ₹19.06 – ₹34.69 · the ₹57.91 price screens above the ₹26.17 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 30, 2026.

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Company profile

SJVN Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the generation and sale of electricity in India and internationally. The company is also involved in thermal power, hydro power, wind power, solar power, and power trading and transmission businesses.

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SJVN Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the generation and sale of electricity in India and internationally. The company is also involved in thermal power, hydro power, wind power, solar power, and power trading and transmission businesses. The company operates the Nathpa Jhakri Hydro Power Station (NJHPS) with a capacity of 1500 MW located in Shimla District; the Rampur Hydro Power Station with an installed capacity of 412 MW in Shimla and Kullu District in Himachal Pradesh; and the Naitwar Mori Hydro Power Station with a capacity of 60 MW located in Uttarkashi district in Uttarakhand state. It also operates the Khirvire Wind Power Project with a capacity of 47.6 MW in Ahmednagar, Maharashtra; and the Sadla Wind Power Project with an installed capacity of 50 MW in Surendranagar District in Gujarat, as well as Buxar Thermal Power Project with a capacity of 1320 MW located in Village Chausa, Distt Buxar, Bihar. In addition, the company operates the Charanka Solar Power Station with a capacity of 5.6 MW in Patan district in Gujarat; 1 MW solar power plant at Wadhal and 310 KW solar power plant at Surge Shaft of NJHPS; Parasan Solar Power Station with a capacity of 75 MW in Jalaun District; Gurhah Solar Power Station with a capacity of 75 MW; Gujrai Solar Power Station with a capacity of 50 MW; Raghanesda Solar Power Station with a capacity of 100 MW; and 90 MW Floating Solar Project located in Omkareshwar, Madhya Pradesh. Further, it provides consultancy services in the field of hydroelectric projects, highway tunnels, railway tunnels, etc., as well as undertakes contracts, project management services, and power trading. The company was formerly known as Satluj Jal Vidyut Nigam Limited and changed its name to SJVN Limited in September 2009. SJVN Limited was incorporated in 1988 and is based in Shimla, India.

Stock analysis

SJVN Limited (SJVN) currently trades at ₹57.91, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹26.17, 54.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ₹27.78 per share, and 0 of the 13 models we run sit above the ₹57.91 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ₹12.03, and 13 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ₹19.06 (bear) to ₹34.69 (bull), the price of ₹57.91 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

SJVN Limited reported revenue of ₹45.3B in FY2026 versus ₹24.1B in FY2022, a compound +17.1%/yr. Reported net income was ₹6.4B in FY2026, compounding −10.3%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap ₹228B (≈ $2.4B) · P/E ratio 32.9 · P/S ratio 4.67 · EPS (TTM) ₹1.76 · Dividend yield 2.5% · Net margin 14.2% · Return on equity 4.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 31 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at −55%, SJVN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ₹19.06 Fair Value ₹26.17 Bull ₹34.69
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹0.1521 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income ₹27.28 ₹27.55 ₹28.76 76
Gordon GGM ₹12.81 ₹25.53 ₹38.66 67
DDM Multi-Stage ₹12.81 ₹21.50 ₹26.95 67
All 13 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹11.11 ₹37.10 ₹49.67 64
Lynch FV ₹8.42 ₹12.03 ₹15.63 61
PEG = 1.0 ₹8.42 ₹12.03 ₹15.63 57
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹12.81 ₹25.53 ₹38.66 67
DDM Multi-Stage ₹12.81 ₹21.50 ₹26.95 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹22.06 ₹29.41 ₹36.76 63
P/S Multiple ₹20.83 ₹27.78 ₹34.72 58
P/B Multiple ₹20.83 ₹27.78 ₹34.72 55
EV/EBIT ₹3.44 ₹25.46 ₹47.48 58
EV/EBITDA ₹1.30 ₹22.61 ₹43.92 58
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹18.12 ₹24.28 ₹36.23 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹27.28 ₹27.55 ₹28.76 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹19.06 ₹27.22 ₹35.39 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 15
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 37
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 82
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+49.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.1%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.3% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.2%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−13.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−16.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−16.4% vs −7.9%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.59% → 51%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)

SJVN screens overvalued: fair value 55% below the price. Compare with China Yangtze Power Co →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Renewable · 194 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 35 · Below median
Fair Value upside −54.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 4.5% · Above median
Return on assets 3.0% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 12.8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 45.7% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 52.0% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.5% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.91× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 32.9× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.60× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 4.56× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 13.4× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 20
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 6
PAST (return on equity)18 · sector 14
HEALTH (low debt)5 · sector 67
DIVIDEND (yield)50 · sector 45

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Yangtze Power Co 600900 ¥28.36 ¥31.20 +10%
Ørsted A/S ORSTED kr 137.00 kr 31.40 −77%
Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 ¥9.75 ¥4.45 −54%
Fortum Oyj FORTUM €23.42 €14.06 −40%
VERBUND AG VER €62.55 €56.60 −10%
Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN ₹1,297 ₹169.61 −87%
SDIC Power Holdings 600886 ¥14.86 ¥16.35 +10%
EDP Renewables, S.A EDPR €12.99 €3.53 −73%
China Three Gorges Renewables (Group) Co 600905 ¥3.61 ¥2.40 −34%
Public Power Corporation PPC €22.96 €7.44 −68%

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SJVN Limited · Fair Value
₹26.17 −55%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SJVN Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SJVN

Frequently asked questions

Is SJVN Limited (SJVN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹26.17 versus a price of ₹57.91, about −55% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SJVN?
Our model-based fair value for SJVN Limited is ₹26.17 (as of Sep 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹57.91.
What is the quality score of SJVN?
SJVN Limited has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SJVN Limited (SJVN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹26.17 (as of Sep 30, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹19.06, optimistic scenario ₹34.69. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SJVN Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹26.17, about −55% upside versus a price of ₹57.91 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹19.06, optimistic scenario ₹34.69. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SJVN Limited (SJVN)?
SJVN Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹50.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 30, 2026).
Does SJVN Limited pay a dividend?
SJVN Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.52% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 30, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of SJVN Limited (SJVN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SJVN Limited it is ₹26.17 per share (as of Sep 30, 2026), against a price of ₹57.91. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SJVN Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 30, 2026, SJVN trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹57.91, fair value ₹26.17, a gap of about −55% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SJVN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹57.91); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹26.17). For SJVN Limited the two are ₹31.74 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SJVN Limited worth?
The market values SJVN Limited at about ₹228B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 30, 2026). Per share that is ₹57.91; our models calculate a fair value of ₹26.17 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SJVN?
Our models span a range for SJVN Limited: cautious scenario ₹19.06, base ₹26.17, optimistic ₹34.69 per share (as of Sep 30, 2026, price ₹57.91). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SJVN?
SJVN Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 32.9 (as of Sep 30, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹26.17 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.6, P/S 4.6, EV/EBITDA 13.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of SJVN Limited (SJVN)?
Balance-sheet figures for SJVN Limited (as of Sep 30, 2026): return on equity 4.5%, debt of 1.91 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SJVN from its 52-week high?
SJVN Limited trades at ₹57.91, about 35% below its 52-week high of ₹89.59 and at the low of ₹57.91 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹26.17 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SJVN Limited?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Ørsted A/S, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, Fortum Oyj, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SJVN Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 30, 2026: price ₹57.91, calculated fair value ₹26.17 (−55%), Quality Score 35/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SJVN calculated?
We run SJVN Limited through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹26.17, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. SJVN Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SJVN Limited (SJVN)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹57.91. Our model-based fair value is ₹26.17, about −55% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SJVN Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹34.69). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (₹19.06 to ₹34.69) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of SJVN Limited (SJVN) come from?
Earnings per share at SJVN Limited grew −6.6 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.3 %, EBIT margin −1.6 %, tax rate −2.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −6.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of SJVN Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of SJVN Limited (SJVN)?
The market capitalisation of SJVN Limited is ₹228B (≈ $2.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SJVN Limited (SJVN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SJVN Limited is 4.67 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SJVN Limited (SJVN)?
Earnings per share at SJVN Limited are ₹1.76 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 32.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of SJVN Limited (SJVN)?
The dividend yield of SJVN Limited is 2.5% (payout 83.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of SJVN Limited (SJVN)?
The net margin of SJVN Limited is 14.2% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SJVN Limited (SJVN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SJVN Limited is 4.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SJVN Limited (SJVN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SJVN Limited is 4.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SJVN Limited (SJVN)?
The operating margin of SJVN Limited is 45.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SJVN Limited (SJVN)?
Revenue at SJVN Limited is growing +52.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +17.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SJVN Limited (SJVN)?
Earnings per share at SJVN Limited are growing −1.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does SJVN Limited (SJVN) generate?
The free cash flow of SJVN Limited is −₹54.1B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does SJVN Limited (SJVN) carry?
The net debt of SJVN Limited is ₹298B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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