Skylark Minerals Limited (SKM) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$38.6M
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from A$0.2100 to A$0.0400 (−81.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −5.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 86% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0600). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (A$0.0300 to A$0.0600) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.1550 – A$7.13 · fair‑value band A$0.0300 – A$0.0600 · the A$0.2800 price screens above the A$0.0400 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Skylark Minerals Limited (SKM) currently trades at A$0.2800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0400, implying the stock looks roughly 85.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$23.3K. Revenue grew 82.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -62.7%. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.0300 (bear case) to A$0.0600 (bull case); at A$0.2800, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 87% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -86%, SKM screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Skylark Minerals Limited engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Australia and Brazil. It explores for gold, copper, lithium, rare earth, and base metals.
Full company description
Skylark Minerals Limited engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties in Australia and Brazil. It explores for gold, copper, lithium, rare earth, and base metals. It holds 80% interest in the Simon-Anderson copper project located in Queensland, Australia; 100% interest in the Perseverance critical minerals project in Brazil; and 100% interest in the Flery Creek project, and 50% interest in the Captains Flat project, which are in New South Wales, Australia. The company was formerly known as Ironbark Zinc Limited and changed its name to Skylark Minerals Limited in January 2025. Skylark Minerals Limited was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Subiaco, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2016 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Skylark Minerals Limited reported revenue of A$132K in FY2025 versus A$115K in FY2016, a compound +1.6%/yr. Reported net income was −A$4.5M in FY2025.
SKM screens 86% overvalued. Compare with BHP Group →
Peer Group
Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 475 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHP Group BHPN | 1,425 MXN | 942.42 MXN | -34% |
| Rio Tinto Group RIO | A$164.89 | A$81.76 | -50% |
| Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB | 199.23 MXN | 187.72 MXN | -6% |
| Vale S.A VALE | $14.89 | $8.95 | -40% |
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 58.05 SAR | 33.87 SAR | -42% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥18.20 | ¥16.15 | -11% |
| Fortescue Ltd FMG | A$18.47 | A$18.62 | +1% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥74.71 | ¥9.55 | -87% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹521.95 | ₹576.80 | +11% |
| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥39.56 | ¥10.59 | -73% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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