Sakana SA (SKN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 23, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Sakana SA stock PLN 0.90, price PLN 0.58, upside +55.2%, quality 76 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value above price?Yes
Good quality?Yes
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.0538 PLN – 1.05 PLN · fair‑value band 0.5100 PLN – 1.53 PLN · the 0.5800 PLN price screens below the 0.9000 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 24, 2026.
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Sakana S.A., together with its subsidiaries, manages restaurants in Poland. The company engages in the operation and management of restaurants under the Sakana Sushi Bar and Sakana Sushi and Sticks brand names.
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It is also involved in the leasing of intellectual property and similar products; catering and event services; and operation of hotels and accommodation facilities. The company was founded in 2008 and is based in Warsaw, Poland.
Stock analysis
Sakana SA (SKN) currently trades at 0.5800 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.9000 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 35.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 2.54 PLN per share, and 13 of the 23 models we run sit above the 0.5800 PLN price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at 0.2700 PLN, and 10 of the 23 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.5100 PLN (bear) to 1.53 PLN (bull), the price of 0.5800 PLN sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 76/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Sakana SA reported revenue of 22.8M PLN in FY2025 versus 9.9M PLN in FY2021, a compound +23.2%/yr. Reported net income was 1.2M PLN in FY2025, compounding +44.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 14.0M PLN (≈ $3.6M) Micro · P/E ratio 10.9 · P/S ratio 0.57 · EPS (TTM) 0.0448 PLN · Net margin 5.2% · Return on equity 5,266% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.8% · Free cash flow 869K PLN.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 63 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 115% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −14% fair-value upside, at 55%, SKN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear0.5100 PLNFair Value 0.9000 PLNBull1.53 PLN
Price 0.5800 PLN · Upside +55.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0366 PLN per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+63.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.5% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.5%
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’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
−16.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−16.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
2025 sits 364% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+6.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Poland: IMF forecast 3.1% a year to 2030, 4.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +3.3% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Hotels & Entertainment Services” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Consumer Discretionary · 3540 stocks
Beats the sector median on 7/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score76 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+55.2% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets22.7% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)5.2% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)0.0% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Consumer Discretionary median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sakana SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SKN.WAR
Frequently asked questions
Is Sakana SA (SKN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.9000 PLN versus a price of 0.5800 PLN, about +55% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SKN?
Our model-based fair value for Sakana SA is 0.9000 PLN (as of Oct 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.5800 PLN.
What is the quality score of SKN?
Sakana SA has a Quality Score of 76/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sakana SA (SKN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.9000 PLN (as of Oct 24, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.5100 PLN, optimistic scenario 1.53 PLN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sakana SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.9000 PLN, about +55% upside versus a price of 0.5800 PLN (undervalued). Cautious scenario 0.5100 PLN, optimistic scenario 1.53 PLN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What growth is priced into Sakana SA (SKN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sakana SA would have to grow free cash flow by +6.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +63.5 % per year. As of Oct 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SKN use?
Our models discount Sakana SA at 10.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for Poland. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Sakana SA that is +6.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Sakana SA (SKN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Sakana SA grew +63.5 % a year. The price currently implies +6.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Sakana SA (SKN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Sakana SA (+6.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Sakana SA (SKN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.19 %: that much free cash flow Sakana SA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Sakana SA (SKN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sakana SA it is 0.9000 PLN per share (as of Oct 24, 2026), against a price of 0.5800 PLN. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sakana SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 24, 2026, SKN trades below its calculated fair value: price 0.5800 PLN, fair value 0.9000 PLN, a gap of about +55% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SKN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.5800 PLN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.9000 PLN). For Sakana SA the two are 0.3200 PLN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sakana SA worth?
The market values Sakana SA at about 14.0M PLN (market capitalisation, as of Oct 24, 2026). Per share that is 0.5800 PLN; our models calculate a fair value of 0.9000 PLN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SKN?
Our models span a range for Sakana SA: cautious scenario 0.5100 PLN, base 0.9000 PLN, optimistic 1.53 PLN per share (as of Oct 24, 2026, price 0.5800 PLN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SKN?
Sakana SA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.9 (as of Oct 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 0.9000 PLN is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.5, EV/EBITDA 1.4.
How far is SKN from its 52-week high?
Sakana SA trades at 0.5800 PLN, about 3% below its 52-week high of 0.6000 PLN and 115% above the low of 0.2700 PLN (as of Oct 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.9000 PLN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sakana SA?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value JFC, BLOOM, Ananti Inc, PIZZA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sakana SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 24, 2026: price 0.5800 PLN, calculated fair value 0.9000 PLN (+55%), Quality Score 76/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SKN calculated?
We run Sakana SA through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.9000 PLN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 12.3 % above its aggregate fair value. Sakana SA currently trades 36 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sakana SA (SKN)?
The closing price on Oct 23, 2026 was 0.5800 PLN. Our model-based fair value is 0.9000 PLN, about +55% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sakana SA right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (76/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The model range is unusually wide (0.5100 PLN to 1.53 PLN). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Sakana SA
How large is the market capitalisation of Sakana SA (SKN)?
The market capitalisation of Sakana SA is 14.0M PLN (≈ $3.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sakana SA (SKN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sakana SA is 0.57 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sakana SA (SKN)?
Earnings per share at Sakana SA are 0.0448 PLN (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Sakana SA (SKN)?
The net margin of Sakana SA is 5.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sakana SA (SKN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sakana SA is 5,266% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sakana SA (SKN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sakana SA is 12.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
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