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Skanska AB (SKSBF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Skanska AB $22.91, price $27.50, upside -16.7%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Some data
Oct 3, 2026
Some data
Oct 3, 2026
Skanska AB
SKSBF · USOvervalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.
!Fair value $22.91 · Overvalued (−16.7%)
!Quality 59/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +2.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.3% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Narrow moat 37/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $6.63 – $30.75 · fair‑value band $15.83 – $29.78 · the $27.50 price screens above the $22.91 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
Company profile
Skanska AB (publ) operates as a construction and project development company in the Nordics, Europe, and the United States. It operates through four segments: Construction, Residential Development, Commercial Property Development, and Investment Properties.
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Skanska AB (publ) operates as a construction and project development company in the Nordics, Europe, and the United States. It operates through four segments: Construction, Residential Development, Commercial Property Development, and Investment Properties. The Construction segment builds social infrastructure, including schools, hospitals, healthcare, and judicial buildings; mass transit comprising rails, subways, and airports; highways, bridges, and tunnels; data centers and advanced tech manufacturing buildings/facilities; energy; defense-related buildings and infrastructure; offices, manufacturing, and other commercial buildings; and residential multifamily buildings. Its Residential Development segment develops and builds single and multifamily homes. The Commercial Property Development segment initiates, develops, leases, and divests in offices, life-science, and logistics and commercial warehouses, as well as residential rental properties. Its Investment Properties segment invests and manages office properties. The company was formerly known as Skånska Cementgjuteriet and changed its name to Skanska AB (publ) in December 1983. Skanska AB (publ) was founded in 1887 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.
Stock analysis
Skanska AB (SKSBF) currently trades at $27.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $22.91, 16.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $24.46 per share, and 3 of the 24 models we run sit above the $27.50 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $10.09, and 21 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $15.83 (bear) to $29.78 (bull), the price of $27.50 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Skanska AB reported revenue of 177B SEK in FY2025 versus 144B SEK in FY2021, a compound +5.3%/yr. Reported net income was 5.7B SEK in FY2025, compounding −4.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $11.4B · P/E ratio 18.3 · P/S ratio 0.59 · EPS (TTM) $1.44 · Net margin 3.2% · Return on equity 9.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.8% · Revenue (TTM) 183B SEK.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −17%, SKSBF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $15.83
Fair Value $22.91
Bull $29.78
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.09 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$12.63
$16.83
$24.19
81
Growth DCF
$13.06
$17.11
$23.75
79
Owner Earnings
$16.01
$21.46
$31.01
77
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$12.63
$16.83
$24.19
81
Owner Earnings
$16.01
$21.46
$31.01
77
5Y Revenue Exit
$14.30
$20.85
$29.95
72
5Y EBITDA Exit
$18.07
$27.32
$38.97
75
5Y P/E Exit
$17.82
$26.89
$37.12
71
10Y Revenue Exit
$13.15
$18.80
$25.41
67
10Y EBITDA Exit
$15.89
$23.09
$31.49
69
10Y P/E Exit
$15.73
$22.80
$30.24
64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$9.79
$17.73
$21.89
66
EPV
$13.50
$15.54
$17.32
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$7.67
$10.09
$12.55
69
DDM Multi-Stage
$7.67
$10.51
$13.90
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$22.66
$30.22
$37.77
63
P/S Multiple
$18.35
$24.46
$30.58
58
P/B Multiple
$18.35
$24.46
$30.58
55
EV/EBIT
$22.45
$29.50
$36.55
66
EV/EBITDA
$24.42
$32.13
$39.83
67
EV/Revenue
$16.40
$22.87
$29.34
54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$7.79
$10.44
$15.59
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$13.06
$17.11
$23.75
79
Rev-Margin DCF
$14.30
$21.02
$28.95
73
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$13.56
$14.83
$17.41
76
ROIC Compounder
$13.50
$15.54
$17.89
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$16.03
$22.91
$29.78
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
59/100
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63
Profitability
40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
34
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
64
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
53
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
63
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
76
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
57/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.4% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.0%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−3.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−3.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−3.6% vs 1.8%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+10.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in SEK, Sweden: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +8.0% a year for the price and +3.1% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+2.2%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+6.8%
Projected 2028 (sales)+6.2%
Projected 2029 (sales)+5.6%
Projected 2030 (sales)+5.0%
SKSBF screens overvalued: fair value 17% below the price. Compare with Quanta Services, Inc →
Recent news
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (99 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.
Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
- Skanska (OM:SKA B) Lands Georgia Data Center Contract As Fair Value Debate Tightens
- Skanska divests second phase of H2Offices in Budapest, Hungary, for EUR 98M, about SEK 1.1 billion
- Skanska's unit wins $271M U.S. Coast Guard offshore patrol contract
- Skanska to build a data center in Georgia, USA, worth USD 84M, about SEK 780M
Compare Skanska AB with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 789 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
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10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
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| Vinci SA DG | €105.60 | €186.22 | +76% |
| Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX | $1,658 | $1,116 | −33% |
| Larsen & Toubro Limited LT | ₹3,876 | ₹1,994 | −49% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 367,000 KRW | 159,718 KRW | −56% |
| Ferrovial N.V FER | $55.77 | $21.74 | −61% |
| HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT | €407.40 | €203.86 | −50% |
| EMCOR Group EME | $769.03 | $525.05 | −32% |
| ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS | €95.00 | €62.20 | −35% |
| Bouygues SA EN | €43.14 | €66.31 | +54% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Skanska AB (SKSBF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $22.91 versus a price of $27.50, about −17% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SKSBF?
Our model-based fair value for Skanska AB is $22.91 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $27.50.
What is the quality score of SKSBF?
Skanska AB has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Skanska AB (SKSBF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $22.91 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $15.83, optimistic scenario $29.78. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Skanska AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $22.91, about −17% upside versus a price of $27.50 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $15.83, optimistic scenario $29.78. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Skanska AB (SKSBF)?
Skanska AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 183B SEK (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Skanska AB (SKSBF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Skanska AB would have to grow free cash flow by +10.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +2.0 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SKSBF use?
Our models discount Skanska AB at 8.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.86, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Skanska AB that is +10.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Skanska AB (SKSBF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Skanska AB grew +2.0 % a year. The price currently implies +10.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Skanska AB (SKSBF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Skanska AB (+10.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Skanska AB (SKSBF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.58 %: that much free cash flow Skanska AB produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Skanska AB (SKSBF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Skanska AB it is $22.91 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of $27.50. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Skanska AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, SKSBF trades above its calculated fair value: price $27.50, fair value $22.91, a gap of about −17% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SKSBF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($27.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($22.91). For Skanska AB the two are $4.59 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Skanska AB worth?
The market values Skanska AB at about $11.4B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is $27.50; our models calculate a fair value of $22.91 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SKSBF?
Our models span a range for Skanska AB: cautious scenario $15.83, base $22.91, optimistic $29.78 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price $27.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SKSBF?
Skanska AB trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.3 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $22.91 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Skanska AB (SKSBF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Skanska AB (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 9.7%, debt of 0.09 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SKSBF from its 52-week high?
Skanska AB trades at $27.50, about 11% below its 52-week high of $30.75 and 11% above the low of $24.85 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $22.91 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Skanska AB?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Skanska AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price $27.50, calculated fair value $22.91 (−17%), Quality Score 59/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SKSBF calculated?
We run Skanska AB through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $22.91, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Skanska AB itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Skanska AB (SKSBF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $27.50. Our model-based fair value is $22.91, about −17% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Skanska AB right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($15.83 to $29.78) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Skanska AB (SKSBF) come from?
Earnings per share at Skanska AB grew +1.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +1.8 %, EBIT margin −2.0 %, tax rate +0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Skanska AB
How large is the market capitalisation of Skanska AB (SKSBF)?
The market capitalisation of Skanska AB is $11.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Skanska AB (SKSBF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Skanska AB is 0.59 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Skanska AB (SKSBF)?
Earnings per share at Skanska AB are $1.44 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 18.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Skanska AB (SKSBF)?
The net margin of Skanska AB is 3.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Skanska AB (SKSBF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Skanska AB is 9.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Skanska AB (SKSBF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Skanska AB is 4.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Skanska AB (SKSBF)?
Revenue at Skanska AB is growing −10.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Skanska AB (SKSBF)?
Earnings per share at Skanska AB are growing +3.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Skanska AB (SKSBF) carry?
The net debt of Skanska AB is 5.4B SEK (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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