SMC Global Securities Limited (SMCGLOBAL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of SMC Global Securities Limited ₹166, price ₹99.06, upside +67.8%, quality 42 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹31.36 – ₹984,781 · fair‑value band ₹40.38 – ₹231.40 · the ₹99.06 price screens below the ₹166.17 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
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SMC Global Securities Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of various financial services in India and internationally. It operates through three segments: Broking, Distribution, and Trading; Insurance Broking Services; and Financing Services.
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SMC Global Securities Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of various financial services in India and internationally. It operates through three segments: Broking, Distribution, and Trading; Insurance Broking Services; and Financing Services. The Broking, Distribution, and Trading segment engages in the brokerage and proprietary trading in dealing in equity securities, commodities, currency, derivatives, and other securities; clearing and depositary services; fund, PMS Services, and wealth management; mutual funds and initial public offerings; research support; real estate broking; and mortgage and loan advisory, and investment banking services, as well as distribution of third-party financial products. The Insurance Broking Services segment provides life and non-life insurance products. The Financing Services segment offers loans against property, securities, and commodities; non-convertible debentures financing; business loan; SME loan; personal loan; gold loans and loan against securities; and medical equipment loans. It also offers life and non-life insurance products, as well as operates an online trading web portal. The company was founded in 1990 and is based in New Delhi, India.
Stock analysis
SMC Global Securities Limited (SMCGLOBAL) currently trades at ₹99.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹166.17, implying the stock looks roughly 40.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ₹275.35 per share, and 6 of the 13 models we run sit above the ₹99.06 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹41.72, and 7 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ₹40.38 (bear) to ₹231.40 (bull), the price of ₹99.06 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
SMC Global Securities Limited reported revenue of ₹18.8B in FY2026 versus ₹9.9B in FY2022, a compound +17.4%/yr. Reported net income was ₹1.0B in FY2026, compounding −12.5%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹20.8B (≈ $215M) · P/E ratio 20.3 · P/S ratio 1.10 · EPS (TTM) ₹4.87 · Dividend yield 1.2% · Net margin 5.4% · Return on equity 8.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 80% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at 68%, SMCGLOBAL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹40.38Fair Value ₹166.17Bull ₹231.40
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹1.87 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.90/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+26.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.0%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +17.0% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−10.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−12.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−12.1% vs 2.8%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.16% → 8%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−6.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −9.7% a year for the price.
Compare SMC Global Securities Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Capital Markets · 456 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score42 · Below median
Fair Value upside+67.7% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8.2% · Above median
Return on assets1.9% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)6.2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)10.1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth24.8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.53× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SMC Global Securities Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SMCGLOBAL
Frequently asked questions
Is SMC Global Securities Limited (SMCGLOBAL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹166.17 versus a price of ₹99.06, about +68% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SMCGLOBAL?
Our model-based fair value for SMC Global Securities Limited is ₹166.17 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹99.06.
What is the quality score of SMCGLOBAL?
SMC Global Securities Limited has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SMC Global Securities Limited (SMCGLOBAL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹166.17 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹40.38, optimistic scenario ₹231.40. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SMC Global Securities Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹166.17, about +68% upside versus a price of ₹99.06 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ₹40.38, optimistic scenario ₹231.40. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SMC Global Securities Limited (SMCGLOBAL)?
SMC Global Securities Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹17.5B (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
Does SMC Global Securities Limited pay a dividend?
SMC Global Securities Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.21% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 2, 2026).
What growth is priced into SMC Global Securities Limited (SMCGLOBAL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, SMC Global Securities Limited would have to grow free cash flow by -6.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +18.0 % per year. As of Oct 2, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SMCGLOBAL use?
Our models discount SMC Global Securities Limited at 13.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.55, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For SMC Global Securities Limited that is -6.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has SMC Global Securities Limited (SMCGLOBAL) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at SMC Global Securities Limited grew +18.0 % a year. The price currently implies -6.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of SMC Global Securities Limited (SMCGLOBAL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into SMC Global Securities Limited (-6.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of SMC Global Securities Limited (SMCGLOBAL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 22.74 %: that much free cash flow SMC Global Securities Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of SMC Global Securities Limited (SMCGLOBAL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SMC Global Securities Limited it is ₹166.17 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of ₹99.06. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SMC Global Securities Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, SMCGLOBAL trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹99.06, fair value ₹166.17, a gap of about +68% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SMCGLOBAL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹99.06); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹166.17). For SMC Global Securities Limited the two are ₹67.11 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SMC Global Securities Limited worth?
The market values SMC Global Securities Limited at about ₹20.8B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is ₹99.06; our models calculate a fair value of ₹166.17 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SMCGLOBAL?
Our models span a range for SMC Global Securities Limited: cautious scenario ₹40.38, base ₹166.17, optimistic ₹231.40 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price ₹99.06). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SMCGLOBAL?
SMC Global Securities Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 20.3 (as of Oct 2, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹166.17 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.6, P/S 1.2, EV/EBITDA 8.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of SMC Global Securities Limited (SMCGLOBAL)?
Balance-sheet figures for SMC Global Securities Limited (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity 8.2%, debt of 1.53 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SMCGLOBAL from its 52-week high?
SMC Global Securities Limited trades at ₹99.06, at its 52-week high of ₹99.06 and 80% above the low of ₹55.04 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹166.17 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SMC Global Securities Limited?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company,, The Goldman Sachs Group, The Charles Schwab Corporation, Interactive Brokers Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SMC Global Securities Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price ₹99.06, calculated fair value ₹166.17 (+68%), Quality Score 42/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SMCGLOBAL calculated?
We run SMC Global Securities Limited through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹166.17, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1 % above its aggregate fair value. SMC Global Securities Limited currently trades 40 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SMC Global Securities Limited (SMCGLOBAL)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹99.06. Our model-based fair value is ₹166.17, about +68% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SMC Global Securities Limited right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The model range is unusually wide (₹40.38 to ₹231.40). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of SMC Global Securities Limited (SMCGLOBAL) come from?
Earnings per share at SMC Global Securities Limited grew +12.5 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +13.4 %, EBIT margin −4.0 %, tax rate +1.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of SMC Global Securities Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of SMC Global Securities Limited (SMCGLOBAL)?
The market capitalisation of SMC Global Securities Limited is ₹20.8B (≈ $215M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SMC Global Securities Limited (SMCGLOBAL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SMC Global Securities Limited is 1.10 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SMC Global Securities Limited (SMCGLOBAL)?
Earnings per share at SMC Global Securities Limited are ₹4.87 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 20.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of SMC Global Securities Limited (SMCGLOBAL)?
The dividend yield of SMC Global Securities Limited is 1.2% (payout 24.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of SMC Global Securities Limited (SMCGLOBAL)?
The net margin of SMC Global Securities Limited is 5.4% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SMC Global Securities Limited (SMCGLOBAL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SMC Global Securities Limited is 8.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SMC Global Securities Limited (SMCGLOBAL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SMC Global Securities Limited is 3.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SMC Global Securities Limited (SMCGLOBAL)?
The operating margin of SMC Global Securities Limited is 10.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SMC Global Securities Limited (SMCGLOBAL)?
Revenue at SMC Global Securities Limited is growing +24.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +20.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SMC Global Securities Limited (SMCGLOBAL)?
Earnings per share at SMC Global Securities Limited are growing +23.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does SMC Global Securities Limited (SMCGLOBAL) hold?
SMC Global Securities Limited holds more cash than debt, ₹7.1B net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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