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Siemens Energy AG (SMERY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Siemens Energy AG $15.90, price $32.74, upside -51.4%, quality 54 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · US · Home Germany

SE Siemens Energy AG logo Broad data Sep 28, 2026

Siemens Energy AG

SMERY · US

Stretched ValuationQuality growthStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value $15.90 · Strongly overvalued (−51.4%)
!Quality 54/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 3y +10.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.5% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓0.4% dividend yield · Well covered
!Trails peers (5/14)
!Moderate moat 53/100
!Weak on future: 17 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 8 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$1,000,000 $1.47 Fair Value $15.90 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.47 – $1,000,000 · fair‑value band $12.14 – $19.86 · the $32.74 price screens above the $15.90 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.

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Company profile

Siemens Energy AG operates as an energy technology company worldwide. It operates through Gas Services, Grid Technologies, Transformation of Industry, and Siemens Gamesa segments.

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Siemens Energy AG operates as an energy technology company worldwide. It operates through Gas Services, Grid Technologies, Transformation of Industry, and Siemens Gamesa segments. The company provides gas and steam turbines, generators, and heat pumps, as well as performance enhancement, maintenance, digitalization, and consulting services for central and distributed power generation; and high voltage direct current transmission systems, offshore wind farm grid connections, transformers, flexible alternating current transmission systems, high voltage substations, air and gas-insulated switchgears, circuit breakers, capacitor, digital grid solutions and components, components and cyber security, and transformers and storage solutions. It also offers electrolyzers, industrial steam turbines, industrial generators, turbo and reciprocating compressors, drive systems and solutions, batteries and fuel cells, and other systems and solutions, as well as service and digital offerings; onshore and onshore wind turbines; design, engineering, manufacturing, and installation solutions for onshore markets; offshore wind turbine equipment design, manufacturing, and installation solutions; and management, operation and maintenance services for wind farms. The company serves utilities, independent power producers, project developers, municipal energy producers, engineering, procurement, and construction companies, oil and gas, transmission and distribution system operators, and industrial and infrastructure customers. Siemens Energy AG was founded in 1866 and is based in Munich, Germany.

Stock analysis

Siemens Energy AG (SMERY) currently trades at $32.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $15.90, 51.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $15.75 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the $32.74 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.89, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $12.14 (bear) to $19.86 (bull), the price of $32.74 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Siemens Energy AG reported revenue of €39.1B in FY2025 versus €29.0B in FY2022, a compound +10.4%/yr. Reported net income was €1.4B in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $157B · P/E ratio 56.4 · P/S ratio 2.04 · EPS (TTM) $0.5800 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 3.6% · Return on equity 23.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −51%, SMERY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely ($0.3100 to $28.08). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear $12.14 Fair Value $15.90 Bull $19.86
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $16.77 $28.08 $47.46 75
Growth DCF $16.71 $27.21 $44.80 73
Owner Earnings $7.65 $11.88 $19.11 72
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $16.77 $28.08 $47.46 75
Owner Earnings $7.65 $11.88 $19.11 72
5Y Revenue Exit $9.45 $12.90 $17.25 70
5Y EBITDA Exit $12.16 $18.43 $26.06 72
5Y P/E Exit $10.60 $15.24 $20.33 68
10Y Revenue Exit $11.69 $15.75 $21.36 65
10Y EBITDA Exit $13.61 $19.78 $28.66 65
10Y P/E Exit $12.57 $17.45 $23.92 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $2.54 $11.33 $15.53 61
Lynch FV $2.94 $4.21 $5.47 58
PEG = 1.0 $2.94 $4.21 $5.47 55
EPV $5.35 $5.87 $6.33 71
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.1700 $0.3600 $0.5800 63
DDM Multi-Stage $0.1700 $0.3100 $0.3800 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple $5.89 $7.86 $9.82 63
P/S Multiple $4.77 $6.36 $7.95 58
P/B Multiple $4.77 $6.36 $7.95 55
EV/EBIT $7.52 $9.28 $11.05 66
EV/EBITDA $10.65 $13.45 $16.26 67
EV/Revenue $6.00 $7.62 $9.24 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.41 $1.89 $2.83 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $16.71 $27.21 $44.80 73
Rev-Margin DCF $9.45 $13.01 $17.58 70
Economic Profit
Residual Income $2.71 $3.42 $5.38 71
ROIC Compounder $5.60 $6.48 $7.48 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $4.81 $6.88 $8.94 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 64
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 67
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 56
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 45
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 59
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 10
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 87/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+13.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−2.3% (2022) → 4.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−15.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+11.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −17.5% a year for the price and +9.1% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+13.2%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+13.2%
Projected 2028 (sales)+11.8%
Projected 2029 (sales)+10.4%
Projected 2030 (sales)+9.0%

SMERY screens overvalued: fair value 51% below the price. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (35 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Negative
Recent news coverage is more negative than average.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 789 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 54 · Below median
Fair Value upside −73.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 23.3% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3.0% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 5.5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 11.9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 3.3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.07× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 56.4× · Priciest 25%
P/B 13.10× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 3.48× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 34.1× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 35.8× · Priciest 25%
PEG 0.64× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)17 · sector 30
PAST (return on equity)93 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)97 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)8 · sector 26

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Cummins Inc CMI $516.57 $359.11 −30%
AMETEK, Inc AME $250.74 $125.77 −50%
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $442.45 $139.31 −69%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 362.00 kr 193.59 −47%

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$15.90 −51%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Siemens Energy AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SMERY

Frequently asked questions

Is Siemens Energy AG (SMERY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $15.90 versus a price of $32.74, about −51% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SMERY?
Our model-based fair value for Siemens Energy AG is $15.90 (as of Sep 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $32.74.
What is the quality score of SMERY?
Siemens Energy AG has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Siemens Energy AG (SMERY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $15.90 (as of Sep 28, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $12.14, optimistic scenario $19.86. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Siemens Energy AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $15.90, about −51% upside versus a price of $32.74 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $12.14, optimistic scenario $19.86. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Siemens Energy AG (SMERY)?
Siemens Energy AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €40.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 28, 2026).
Does Siemens Energy AG pay a dividend?
Siemens Energy AG currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.41% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 28, 2026).
What growth is priced into Siemens Energy AG (SMERY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Siemens Energy AG would have to grow free cash flow by -15.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 3 years revenue grew +10.5 % per year. As of Sep 28, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SMERY use?
Our models discount Siemens Energy AG at 11.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.90, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Siemens Energy AG that is -15.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Siemens Energy AG (SMERY) delivered so far?
Over the past 3 years revenue at Siemens Energy AG grew +10.5 % a year. The price currently implies -15.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Siemens Energy AG (SMERY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Siemens Energy AG (-15.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Siemens Energy AG (SMERY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 16.47 %: that much free cash flow Siemens Energy AG produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Siemens Energy AG (SMERY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Siemens Energy AG it is $15.90 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026), against a price of $32.74. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Siemens Energy AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 28, 2026, SMERY trades above its calculated fair value: price $32.74, fair value $15.90, a gap of about −51% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SMERY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($32.74); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($15.90). For Siemens Energy AG the two are $16.84 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Siemens Energy AG worth?
The market values Siemens Energy AG at about $157B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 28, 2026). Per share that is $32.74; our models calculate a fair value of $15.90 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SMERY?
Our models span a range for Siemens Energy AG: cautious scenario $12.14, base $15.90, optimistic $19.86 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026, price $32.74). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SMERY?
Siemens Energy AG trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 56.4 (as of Sep 28, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $15.90 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.6, P/B 13.1, P/S 3.5, EV/EBITDA 35.8.
What is the PEG ratio of SMERY?
The PEG ratio of Siemens Energy AG is 0.64 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 28, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Siemens Energy AG (SMERY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Siemens Energy AG (as of Sep 28, 2026): return on equity 23.3%, debt of 0.07 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SMERY from its 52-week high?
Siemens Energy AG trades at $32.74, about 26% below its 52-week high of $44.34 and 46% above the low of $22.46 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $15.90 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Siemens Energy AG?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Siemens Energy AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 28, 2026: price $32.74, calculated fair value $15.90 (−51%), Quality Score 54/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SMERY calculated?
We run Siemens Energy AG through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $15.90, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Siemens Energy AG itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Siemens Energy AG (SMERY)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $32.74. Our model-based fair value is $15.90, about −51% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Siemens Energy AG right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($19.86). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Siemens Energy AG

How large is the market capitalisation of Siemens Energy AG (SMERY)?
The market capitalisation of Siemens Energy AG is $157B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Siemens Energy AG (SMERY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Siemens Energy AG is 2.04 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Siemens Energy AG (SMERY)?
Earnings per share at Siemens Energy AG are $0.5800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 56.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Siemens Energy AG (SMERY)?
The dividend yield of Siemens Energy AG is 0.4% (payout 23.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Siemens Energy AG (SMERY)?
The net margin of Siemens Energy AG is 3.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Siemens Energy AG (SMERY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Siemens Energy AG is 23.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Siemens Energy AG (SMERY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Siemens Energy AG is −1.4% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Siemens Energy AG (SMERY)?
The operating margin of Siemens Energy AG is 11.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Siemens Energy AG (SMERY)?
Revenue at Siemens Energy AG is growing +3.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Siemens Energy AG (SMERY)?
Earnings per share at Siemens Energy AG are growing +80.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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