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PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi (SMGA) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi IDR 78, price IDR 85, upside -8.5%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · ID

PS Thin data Sep 24, 2026

PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi

SMGA · JK

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value 77.82 IDR · Fairly valued (−8%)
!Quality 43/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +128.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.4% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (7/8)
!Narrow moat 37/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 22 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

142.00 IDR 50.00 IDR Fair Value 77.82 IDR Jan 2024 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

32‑month range 50.00 IDR – 142.00 IDR · fair‑value band 41.99 IDR – 114.92 IDR · the 85.00 IDR price screens above the 77.82 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi Tbk engages in wholesale trading of solid, liquid, and gas fuels and related products, and metals and metal ores in Indonesia and internationally. The company engages in metal and ore; sand and nickel; cement, lime, sand, stone wholesale trade; and solid liquid fuel and gas wholesale trading and products businesses.

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PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi Tbk engages in wholesale trading of solid, liquid, and gas fuels and related products, and metals and metal ores in Indonesia and internationally. The company engages in metal and ore; sand and nickel; cement, lime, sand, stone wholesale trade; and solid liquid fuel and gas wholesale trading and products businesses. It trades nickel, limestone, silica sand, and coal products. The company was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia. PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Sumber Global Energy Tbk.

Stock analysis

PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi (SMGA) currently trades at 85.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 77.82 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 9.2% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 236.67 IDR per share, and 10 of the 15 models we run sit above the 85.00 IDR price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 31.06 IDR, and 5 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 41.99 IDR (bear) to 114.92 IDR (bull), the price of 85.00 IDR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi reported revenue of 1.9T IDR in FY2025 versus 8.3B IDR in FY2021, a compound +290.9%/yr. Reported net income was 48.1B IDR in FY2025, compounding +237.6%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Key figures

Market cap 733B IDR (≈ $40.9M) · P/S ratio 0.25 · Net margin 2.5% · Return on equity 12.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.4% · Operating margin 4.1% · Revenue (TTM) 2.2T IDR · Revenue growth (YoY) +76.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 57% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −8%, SMGA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 41.99 IDR Fair Value 77.82 IDR Bull 114.92 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV 40.87 IDR 47.25 IDR 52.75 IDR 74
EV/EBITDA 62.87 IDR 83.67 IDR 104.48 IDR 67
ROIC Compounder 40.87 IDR 48.62 IDR 63.62 IDR 67
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 86.17 IDR 190.42 IDR 401.24 IDR 66
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 37.37 IDR 260.64 IDR 365.77 IDR 59
Lynch FV 134.66 IDR 192.37 IDR 250.08 IDR 57
PEG = 1.0 134.66 IDR 192.37 IDR 250.08 IDR 53
EPV 40.87 IDR 47.25 IDR 52.75 IDR 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple 70.08 IDR 93.43 IDR 116.79 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 70.08 IDR 93.43 IDR 116.79 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 70.08 IDR 93.43 IDR 116.79 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 70.21 IDR 93.46 IDR 116.72 IDR 66
EV/EBITDA 62.87 IDR 83.67 IDR 104.48 IDR 67
EV/Revenue 60.91 IDR 86.82 IDR 112.73 IDR 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 23.18 IDR 31.06 IDR 46.36 IDR 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 42.12 IDR 48.97 IDR 96.67 IDR 62
ROIC Compounder 40.87 IDR 48.62 IDR 63.62 IDR 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 165.67 IDR 236.67 IDR 307.66 IDR 63

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 46
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 73
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 70
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 37
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 25
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 47
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+82.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+128.6%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+40.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+40.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 3%
2025 sits 378% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 457 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/8 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 43 · Above median
Fair Value upside −12% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 76% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.03× · Below median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)22 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 36
PAST (return on equity)49 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)98 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 30

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Vale S.A XVALO €12.26 €8.03 −35%
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 62.70 SAR 68.97 SAR +10%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥17.66 ¥20.07 +14%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥60.26 ¥31.23 −48%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹595.45 ₹655.00 +10%
Korea Zinc Company 010130 1,116,000 KRW 646,063 KRW −42%
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥36.77 ¥40.45 +10%
Xiamen Tungsten Co 600549 ¥49.34 ¥24.75 −50%
PLS Group PLS A$4.18 A$6.65 +59%
Jinduicheng Molybdenum Co 601958 ¥20.99 ¥12.24 −42%

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PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi · Fair Value
77.82 IDR −9%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SMGA

Frequently asked questions

Is PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi (SMGA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 77.82 IDR versus a price of 85.00 IDR, about −8% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of SMGA?
Our model-based fair value for PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi is 77.82 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 85.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of SMGA?
PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi (SMGA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 77.82 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario 41.99 IDR, optimistic scenario 114.92 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 77.82 IDR, about −8% upside versus a price of 85.00 IDR (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 41.99 IDR, optimistic scenario 114.92 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi (SMGA)?
PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.2T IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi (SMGA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi it is 77.82 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 85.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SMGA trades above its calculated fair value: price 85.00 IDR, fair value 77.82 IDR, a gap of about −8% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SMGA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (85.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (77.82 IDR). For PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi the two are 7.18 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi worth?
The market values PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi at about 733B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 85.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 77.82 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SMGA?
Our models span a range for PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi: cautious scenario 41.99 IDR, base 77.82 IDR, optimistic 114.92 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 85.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi (SMGA)?
Balance-sheet figures for PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 12.2%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SMGA from its 52-week high?
PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi trades at 85.00 IDR, about 40% below its 52-week high of 142.00 IDR and 57% above the low of 54.00 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 77.82 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Vale S.A, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 85.00 IDR, calculated fair value 77.82 IDR (−8%), Quality Score 43/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SMGA calculated?
We run PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 77.82 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi (SMGA)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 85.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 77.82 IDR, about −8% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi right now?
The model range is unusually wide (41.99 IDR to 114.92 IDR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi

How large is the market capitalisation of PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi (SMGA)?
The market capitalisation of PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi is 733B IDR (≈ $40.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi (SMGA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi is 0.25 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi (SMGA)?
The net margin of PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi is 2.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi (SMGA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi is 12.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi (SMGA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi is 3.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi (SMGA)?
The operating margin of PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi is 4.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi (SMGA)?
Revenue at PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi is growing +76.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +129%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi (SMGA)?
Earnings per share at PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi are growing +40.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi (SMGA) generate?
The free cash flow of PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi is −133B IDR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi (SMGA) carry?
The net debt of PT Sumber Mineral Global Abadi is 11.9B IDR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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