PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk (SMGR) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · ID · Market cap 10.1T IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price +14.1% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 59% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (1,031 IDR to 3,222 IDR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1,395 IDR – 10,039 IDR · fair‑value band 1,031 IDR – 3,222 IDR · the 1,620 IDR price screens below the 2,568 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk (SMGR) currently trades at 1,620 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2,568 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 58.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk generated revenue of 35.9T IDR at a net margin of 0.6%. Revenue grew 8.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.4%. Net debt stands at 5.8T IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1,031 IDR (bear case) to 3,222 IDR (bull case); at 1,620 IDR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at 59%, SMGR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (4,668 IDR) versus Earnings-Based (182.19 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk manufactures, packs, and distributes cement in Indonesia and internationally. It operates through Cement Production and Non-Cement Production segments.
Full company description
PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk manufactures, packs, and distributes cement in Indonesia and internationally. It operates through Cement Production and Non-Cement Production segments. The company is also involved in limestone and clay mining; cement bag manufacturing; industrial real estate development and building rental; ready-mix concrete and aggregates quarry production; and mining, trading, transportation, and construction activities. In addition, it engages in the information system, investment, freight forwarding, stevedoring, sea transportation service, logistic management, and outsourcing businesses, as well as procures public goods and services. PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk was formerly known as PT Semen Gresik (Persero) Tbk and changed its name to PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk in January 2013. The company was founded in 1953 and is headquartered in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia. PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Danantara Asset Management (Persero).
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk reported revenue of 35.2T IDR in FY2025 versus 35.0T IDR in FY2021, a compound +0.2%/yr. Reported net income was 191B IDR in FY2025, compounding −44.7%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Building Materials · 254 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CRH plc CRH | $102.92 | $70.57 | -31% |
| UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO | ₹11,711 | ₹4,719 | -60% |
| China Jushi Co 600176 | ¥54.52 | ¥13.95 | -74% |
| Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM | ₹3,073 | ₹1,245 | -59% |
| CEMEX, S.A. CEMEXCPO | 21.71 MXN | 15.42 MXN | -29% |
| Anhui Conch Cement Company 600585 | ¥16.99 | ¥26.14 | +54% |
| Ambuja Cements Limited AMBUJACEM | ₹435.25 | ₹227.96 | -48% |
| Shree Cement Limited SHREECEM | ₹26,930 | ₹8,215 | -69% |
| TCC Group 1101B | 43.70 TWD | 10.48 TWD | -76% |
| Taiwan Glass Ind. Corp 1802 | 53.30 TWD | 13.98 TWD | -74% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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