Smr Utama Tbk (SMRU) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Jul 17, 2026: fair value of Smr Utama Tbk IDR 62, price IDR 50, upside +24.6%, quality 35 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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PT SMR Utama Tbk, through its subsidiaries, engages in the mining, exploitation, and production of coal properties in Indonesia. The company also provides equipment, manpower, and technical expertise for infrastructure and mining facilities, including drilling, blasting and disposal of land, and rental coal mining equipment.
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PT SMR Utama Tbk, through its subsidiaries, engages in the mining, exploitation, and production of coal properties in Indonesia. The company also provides equipment, manpower, and technical expertise for infrastructure and mining facilities, including drilling, blasting and disposal of land, and rental coal mining equipment. In addition, it engages in trading and investing activities, as well as offers agency, construction, engineering, and industrial bureau services. Further, it operates as a mining contractor. The company was formerly known as PT Dwi Satria Jaya and changed its name to PT SMR Utama Tbk in November 2010. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT SMR Utama Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Trada Alam Minera Tbk.
Stock analysis
Smr Utama Tbk (SMRU) currently trades at 50.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 62.31 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 19.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: 28.49 IDR (bear) to 130.30 IDR (bull), the price of 50.00 IDR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Smr Utama Tbk reported revenue of 59.8B IDR in FY2025 versus 542B IDR in FY2021, a compound −42.4%/yr. Reported net income was −21.0B IDR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 625B IDR (≈ $34.9M) · P/S ratio 1.17 · EPS (TTM) −13.41 IDR · Net margin −35.1% · Return on equity −94.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −6.5% · Operating margin −29.1% · Revenue growth (YoY) −15.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at 25%, SMRU screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 28.49 IDRFair Value 62.31 IDRBull 130.30 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−25.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−50.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−34.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −19.8% a year
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.7%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−55.5% (2020) → −134.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Coal” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Energy · 989 stocks
Beats the sector median on 1/6 measures
Overall it trails its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+24.6% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−8.8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−52.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−29.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−15.0% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Energy median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.06× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Smr Utama Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SMRU
Frequently asked questions
Is Smr Utama Tbk (SMRU) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 62.31 IDR versus the last price from Jul 17, 2026 of 50.00 IDR, about +25% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SMRU?
Our model-based fair value for Smr Utama Tbk is 62.31 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jul 17, 2026): 50.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of SMRU?
Smr Utama Tbk has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Smr Utama Tbk (SMRU)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 62.31 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario 28.49 IDR, optimistic scenario 130.30 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Smr Utama Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 62.31 IDR, about +25% upside versus the last price from Jul 17, 2026 of 50.00 IDR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 28.49 IDR, optimistic scenario 130.30 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Smr Utama Tbk (SMRU)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Smr Utama Tbk it is 62.31 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 50.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Smr Utama Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SMRU trades below its calculated fair value: price 50.00 IDR, fair value 62.31 IDR, a gap of about +25% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SMRU?
No. The price is what the market pays today (50.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (62.31 IDR). For Smr Utama Tbk the two are 12.31 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Smr Utama Tbk worth?
The market values Smr Utama Tbk at about 625B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 50.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 62.31 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SMRU?
Our models span a range for Smr Utama Tbk: cautious scenario 28.49 IDR, base 62.31 IDR, optimistic 130.30 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 50.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Smr Utama Tbk (SMRU)?
Balance-sheet figures for Smr Utama Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −94.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SMRU from its 52-week high?
Smr Utama Tbk trades at 50.00 IDR, at its 52-week high of 50.00 IDR and at the low of 50.00 IDR (as of Jul 17, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 62.31 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Smr Utama Tbk?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Saudi Arabian Oil Company, Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation, PetroChina Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Smr Utama Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 50.00 IDR, calculated fair value 62.31 IDR (+25%), Quality Score 35/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SMRU calculated?
We run Smr Utama Tbk through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 62.31 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Smr Utama Tbk currently trades 20 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Smr Utama Tbk (SMRU)?
The latest price we hold is from Jul 17, 2026 and stands at 50.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 62.31 IDR, about +25% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Smr Utama Tbk right now?
The model range is unusually wide (28.49 IDR to 130.30 IDR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Smr Utama Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of Smr Utama Tbk (SMRU)?
The market capitalisation of Smr Utama Tbk is 625B IDR (≈ $34.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Smr Utama Tbk (SMRU)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Smr Utama Tbk is 1.17 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Smr Utama Tbk (SMRU)?
Earnings per share at Smr Utama Tbk are −13.41 IDR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Smr Utama Tbk (SMRU)?
The net margin of Smr Utama Tbk is −35.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Smr Utama Tbk (SMRU)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Smr Utama Tbk is −94.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Smr Utama Tbk (SMRU)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Smr Utama Tbk is −6.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Smr Utama Tbk (SMRU)?
The operating margin of Smr Utama Tbk is −29.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Smr Utama Tbk (SMRU)?
Revenue at Smr Utama Tbk is growing −15.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −50.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Smr Utama Tbk (SMRU) generate?
The free cash flow of Smr Utama Tbk is −10.9B IDR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Smr Utama Tbk (SMRU) carry?
The net debt of Smr Utama Tbk is 547B IDR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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