SNGN Romgaz SA (SNG) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · RO · Market cap 50.8B RON
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price −8.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 42% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (9.88 RON). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 2.44 RON – 14.90 RON · fair‑value band 5.93 RON – 9.88 RON · the 13.70 RON price screens above the 7.90 RON fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
SNGN Romgaz SA (SNG) currently trades at 13.70 RON, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 7.90 RON, implying the stock looks roughly 42.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, SNGN Romgaz SA generated revenue of 7.8B RON at a net margin of 43.1%. Revenue declined 10.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.3%. Net debt stands at 4.5B RON. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 5.93 RON (bear case) to 9.88 RON (bull case); at 13.70 RON, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 108% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -42%, SNG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (11.07 RON) versus Dividend Discount (2.33 RON). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 87
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
SNGN Romgaz SA, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, production, and supply of natural gas in Romania.
Full company description
SNGN Romgaz SA, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, production, and supply of natural gas in Romania. The company is involved in the geological research for the discovery of natural gas, crude oil, and condensed reserves; operation, production, usage, and trading of mineral resources; underground storage of natural gas; and commission, intervention, and repair of wells equipping the deposits, as well as natural gas resources extraction wells. It also engages in recompletions jobs, workover and special well operations, and production tests in natural gas wells; electricity production and supply; technological transport, integrated logistics, and technical maintenance; and petroleum blocks cooperation. The company was founded in 1909 and is headquartered in Medias, Romania.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
SNGN Romgaz SA reported revenue of 8.0B RON in FY2025 versus 5.9B RON in FY2021, a compound +8.2%/yr. Reported net income was 3.3B RON in FY2025, compounding +14.9%/yr from FY2021.
SNG screens 42% overvalued. Compare with CNOOC Limited →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas E&P · 315 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CNOOC Limited 600938 | ¥28.97 | ¥32.55 | +12% |
| ConocoPhillips explores for, COP | $109.04 | $91.79 | -16% |
| Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ | $42.86 | $31.54 | -26% |
| EOG Resources, Inc EOG | $139.89 | $130.19 | -7% |
| Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY | $54.86 | $30.68 | -44% |
| Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG | $183.39 | $106.12 | -42% |
| Devon Energy Corporation DVN | $43.83 | $27.06 | -38% |
| Woodside Energy Group WDS | A$30.46 | A$20.71 | -32% |
| EQT Corporation EQT | $48.85 | $42.85 | -12% |
| Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL | $415.70 | $79.20 | -81% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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