Sentinel Metals Ltd (SNM) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$82.8M (≈ $59.6M) · ISIN AU0000421307
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 28, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated today
Share price +15.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and trading another 892% above our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0800). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (21/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (A$0.0400 to A$0.0800) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (10 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Aug 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
10‑month range A$0.2750 – A$0.7700 · fair‑value band A$0.0400 – A$0.0800 · the A$0.5950 price screens above the A$0.0600 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Aug 28, 2026.
Analysis
Sentinel Metals Ltd (SNM) currently trades at A$0.5950, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0600, implying the stock looks roughly 89.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 21/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$30.1K. It earns a return on equity of -26.3%. Fundamentals as of Aug 28, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.0400 (bear case) to A$0.0800 (bull case); at A$0.5950, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 125% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -9% fair-value upside, at -90%, SNM screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 28, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Sentinel Metals Limited, a mineral exploration company, engages in the exploration and development of gold resources in the United States. The company's flagship property is the Columbia Gold and silver Project covering an area of approximately 1,260 hectares located in central west Montana.
Full company description
Sentinel Metals Limited, a mineral exploration company, engages in the exploration and development of gold resources in the United States. The company's flagship property is the Columbia Gold and silver Project covering an area of approximately 1,260 hectares located in central west Montana. Sentinel Metals Limited was incorporated in 2024 and is based in Subiaco, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2023 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Sentinel Metals Ltd reported revenue of A$40.7K in FY2025 versus A$0 in FY2023. Reported net income was −A$1.6M in FY2025.
SNM screens 90% overvalued. Compare with Newmont Corporation →
Peer Group
Gold · 249 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 28, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Corporation NEMCL | $112.00 | $112.82 | +1% |
| Zijin Mining Group 601899 | ¥32.21 | ¥39.42 | +22% |
| Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM | C$257.82 | C$154.33 | -40% |
| Barrick Mining Corporation B | $41.23 | $50.66 | +23% |
| Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV | $271.31 | $96.63 | -64% |
| Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM | C$187.84 | C$52.47 | -72% |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc AU | $97.92 | $88.63 | -9% |
| Kinross Gold Corporation KGC | $32.32 | $34.62 | +7% |
| Royal Gold, Inc RGLD | $268.96 | $93.56 | -65% |
| Northern Star Resources Limited NST | A$23.19 | A$15.98 | -31% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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