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China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (SNPMF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation $0.55, price $0.53, upside +3.8%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? Yes
Good quality? No
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Energy · US · Home China · ISIN CNE1000002Q2

Some data Sep 29, 2026

China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation

SNPMF · US

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value $0.5500 · Fairly valued (+3.8%)

!Quality 45/100

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +3.0 %/yr)

!Thin margins · 1.3% net margin (TTM)

✓Low debt · generates free cash flow

!Narrow moat 25/100

!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0084 – $0.6756 · fair‑value band $0.3500 – $0.8100 · the $0.5300 price screens below the $0.5500 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

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Company profile

China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation, an energy and chemical company, engages in the oil and gas and chemical operations in Mainland China. It operates through Exploration and Production, Refining, Marketing and Distribution, Chemicals, and Corporate and Others segments. The company explores and develops oil fields; produces and sells crude oil and natural gas; processes, purifies, imports, and trades in crude oil; manufactures, produces, sells, stores, and trades in petroleum products; owns and operates oil depots and service stations; and produces, markets, distributes, and sells refined petroleum products, including gasoline and diesel. It also manufactures, sells, markets, and distributes petrochemicals and derivative petrochemical products, and other chemical products, such as basic organic chemicals, synthetic resins, synthetic fiber monomers and polymers, synthetic fibers, synthetic rubber, and chemical fertilizers. In addition, the company explores, produces, and sells petroleum and natural gas; produces, stores, transports, and sells petrochemical and coal chemical products; produces and sells catalyst products, lubricant base oil, polyester chips and fibers, plastics, and petrochemical materials; and offers crude oil jetty and natural gas pipeline transmission services. Further, it engages in the production, sale, research, and development of ethylene and downstream byproducts; import and export of petroleum, natural gas, petroleum products, petrochemical, other chemical products, and other commodities and technologies; research, development, and application of technologies and information; hydrogen energy business and related services, such as hydrogen production, storage, transportation, and sales; and battery charging and swapping, solar energy, wind energy, and other new energy business and related services. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is based in Beijing, China. The company operates as a subsidiary of China Petrochemical Corporation.

Stock analysis

China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (SNPMF) currently trades at $0.5300, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.5500, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 3.6%).

Valuation

Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of $0.7700 per share, and 13 of the 22 models we run sit above the $0.5300 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.1900, and 9 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $0.3500 (bear) to $0.8100 (bull), the price of $0.5300 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation reported revenue of 2.4T CNY in FY2025 versus 2.7T CNY in FY2021, a compound −2.8%/yr. Reported net income was 31.6B CNY in FY2025, compounding −18.6%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $64.2B · P/E ratio 13.4 · P/S ratio 0.17 · EPS (TTM) $0.0400 · Net margin 1.3% · Return on equity 4.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.2% · Operating margin 3.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −5% fair-value upside, at 4%, SNPMF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.3500 Fair Value $0.5500 Bull $0.8100

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

FCF DCF $0.4500 $0.7700 $1.22 79

Growth DCF $0.4700 $0.7600 $1.15 77

Residual Income $0.7600 $0.7700 $0.7900 76

All 22 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF $0.4500 $0.7700 $1.22 79

Owner Earnings $0.3500 $0.6100 $1.00 74

5Y Revenue Exit $0.2700 $0.4800 $0.7400 71

5Y EBITDA Exit $0.3900 $0.6900 $1.03 74

5Y P/E Exit $0.2700 $0.4800 $0.6900 70

10Y Revenue Exit $0.3200 $0.5200 $0.7700 66

10Y EBITDA Exit $0.4100 $0.6700 $0.9900 68

10Y P/E Exit $0.3300 $0.5300 $0.7400 64

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd $0.2700 $0.7000 $0.9100 65

PEG = 1.0 $0.1300 $0.1900 $0.2500 57

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM $0.3000 $0.6200 $1.00 66

DDM Multi-Stage $0.3000 $0.4700 $0.6500 66

Multiples

P/E Multiple $0.4100 $0.5500 $0.6800 63

P/S Multiple $0.5000 $0.6600 $0.8300 58

P/B Multiple $0.5000 $0.6600 $0.8300 55

EV/EBITDA $0.4200 $0.6200 $0.8300 66

EV/Revenue $0.1900 $0.3500 $0.5100 52

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) $0.5100 $0.6800 $1.02 54

Growth DCF

Growth DCF $0.4700 $0.7600 $1.15 77

Rev-Margin DCF $0.2700 $0.4900 $0.7300 71

Economic Profit

Residual Income $0.7600 $0.7700 $0.7900 76

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E $0.3300 $0.4800 $0.6200 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 32

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 14

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 39

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 38

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 85

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 43

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 42

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 36

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 81

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100

Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Revenue growth 1 year

−20.5%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−9.7%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+3.0%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.9% a year

Revenue growth 27 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+9.9%

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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.

−11.3%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year−11.3%

Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%

Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−11.3% vs −3.8%, slowing

Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → −1%

Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price

The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.

What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).

+5.2%

Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.

What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.

+2.1%

Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.

After inflation (figures in CNY, China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +3.5% a year for the price and +0.4% for the forecasts.

Forecast 2026 (sales)+28.5%

Forecast 2027 (sales)−4.9%

Projected 2028 (sales)−4.0%

Projected 2029 (sales)−3.2%

Projected 2030 (sales)−2.3%

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Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (95 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Very negative

Recent news coverage is unusually downbeat.

China Petroleum & Chemical Corp's Dividend Analysis Yahoo Finance · Sep 21, 2026
Sinopec Sees China Oil Demand Falling 8.9% in 2026 Yahoo Finance · Sep 9, 2026
China Petroleum & Chemical (SEHK:386) Stock Stays Reasonable On Strong H1 Results Yahoo Finance · Sep 5, 2026
China Petroleum & Chemical reports 1H results; gives full- year outlook Seeking Alpha · Aug 24, 2026

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Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

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China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation · Fair Value
$0.5500 +4%Fair Value
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<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SNPMF" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">China Petroleum &amp; Chemical Corporation · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">$0.5500</b> <span style="color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;font-size:14px">+4%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SNPMF

Frequently asked questions

Is China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (SNPMF) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.5500 versus a price of $0.5300, about +4% upside (fairly valued).

What is the fair value of SNPMF?

Our model-based fair value for China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation is $0.5500 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.5300.

What is the quality score of SNPMF?

China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (SNPMF)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.5500 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.3500, optimistic scenario $0.8100. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at $0.5500, about +4% upside versus a price of $0.5300 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $0.3500, optimistic scenario $0.8100. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (SNPMF)?

China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.8T CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).

What growth is priced into China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (SNPMF)?

For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +5.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.0 % per year. As of Sep 29, 2026.

What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SNPMF use?

Our models discount China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.69, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.

What is a reverse DCF?

A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation that is +5.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.

How much growth has China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (SNPMF) delivered so far?

Over the past 5 years revenue at China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation grew +3.0 % a year. The price currently implies +5.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.

How fast is the sector of China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (SNPMF) growing?

The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (+5.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.

What is the free cash flow yield of China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (SNPMF)?

The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.84 %: that much free cash flow China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.

What is the intrinsic value of China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (SNPMF)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation it is $0.5500 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of $0.5300. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 29, 2026, SNPMF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.5300, fair value $0.5500, a gap of about +4% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of SNPMF?

No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.5300); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.5500). For China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation the two are $0.0200 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation worth?

The market values China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation at about $64.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is $0.5300; our models calculate a fair value of $0.5500 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SNPMF?

Our models span a range for China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation: cautious scenario $0.3500, base $0.5500, optimistic $0.8100 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price $0.5300). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

How far is SNPMF from its 52-week high?

China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation trades at $0.5300, about 22% below its 52-week high of $0.6756 and 13% above the low of $0.4693 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.5500 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation?

From the same area (Energy) we also value Saudi Arabian Oil Company, Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation, PetroChina Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price $0.5300, calculated fair value $0.5500 (+4%), Quality Score 45/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of SNPMF calculated?

We run China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.5500, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation currently trades 4 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (SNPMF)?

The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $0.5300. Our model-based fair value is $0.5500, about +4% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation right now?

The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($0.3500 to $0.8100) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Where does the earnings growth of China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (SNPMF) come from?

Earnings per share at China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation grew +2.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.9 %, EBIT margin −2.3 %, tax rate +1.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation

How large is the market capitalisation of China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (SNPMF)?

The market capitalisation of China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation is $64.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/E ratio of China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (SNPMF)?

The price-to-earnings ratio of China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation is 13.4 (as of Jun 24, 2026). Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.

What is the P/S ratio of China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (SNPMF)?

The price-to-sales ratio of China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation is 0.17 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (SNPMF)?

Earnings per share at China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation are $0.0400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the net margin of China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (SNPMF)?

The net margin of China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation is 1.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (SNPMF)?

The return on equity (ROE) of China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation is 4.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (SNPMF)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation is 3.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (SNPMF)?

The operating margin of China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation is 3.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (SNPMF)?

Revenue at China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation is growing −3.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −9.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (SNPMF)?

Earnings per share at China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation are growing +27.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much net debt does China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (SNPMF) carry?

The net debt of China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation is 517B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 15.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.

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