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Sanrio Company (SNROY) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $7.1B

SC Sanrio Company logo Sanrio Company SNROY · US
Price$14.35
Fair Value$8.05
Upside-43.9%
Quality82/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.46% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Wide moat 93/100
Evidence: High Range $6.26 – $25.02 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price +5.9% over the past month.

A strong business, but screening 44% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 82/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($6.26 to $25.02). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (11 months)

$19.86 $9.59 Fair Value $8.05 Sep 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

11‑month range $9.59 – $19.86 · fair‑value band $6.26 – $25.02 · the $14.35 price screens above the $8.05 fair value. As of Jul 19, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Sanrio Company (SNROY) currently trades at $14.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.05, implying the stock looks roughly 43.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 82/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $183B. Revenue grew 32.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 44.0%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 23.0. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $6.26 (bear case) to $25.02 (bull case); at $14.35, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -24% fair-value upside, at -44%, SNROY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $6.53 $11.64 $19.87 80
Residual Income $3.42 $5.34 $75.50 76
Rev-Margin DCF $5.02 $7.94 $14.09 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $6.90 $10.15 $20.27 38
Owner Earnings $6.98 $14.41 $29.44 31
5Y Revenue Exit $4.65 $7.05 $12.05 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $6.57 $10.93 $19.49 41
5Y P/E Exit $7.32 $15.37 $26.35 38
10Y Revenue Exit $5.27 $9.68 $12.22 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $6.75 $13.72 $25.79 37
10Y P/E Exit $7.29 $15.31 $28.51 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $2.90 $20.24 $28.40 54
Lynch FV $10.46 $14.94 $19.42 50
PEG = 1.0 $10.46 $14.94 $19.42 46
EPV $4.67 $5.27 $5.79 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.7307 $1.46 $2.20 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.7307 $1.26 $1.54 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $6.40 $8.54 $10.67 63
P/S Multiple $2.78 $3.70 $4.63 58
P/B Multiple $2.48 $3.30 $4.13 55
EV/EBIT $8.01 $10.39 $12.76 53
EV/EBITDA $6.26 $8.05 $9.84 54
EV/Revenue $3.47 $4.58 $5.69 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.5502 $0.7373 $1.10 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $6.53 $11.64 $19.87 80
Rev-Margin DCF $5.02 $7.94 $14.09 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $3.42 $5.34 $75.50 76
ROIC Compounder $4.97 $6.04 $7.22 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $13.47 $19.25 $25.02 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($19.25) versus Asset-Based ($0.7373). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $183B
Revenue growth (YoY) +32.3%
Return on equity 44.0%
Free cash flow $37.0B FY2025
P/E ratio 23.0
Operating margin 41.8%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $0.5100
Dividend yield 1.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +11.6%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 82/100

Of which business quality 81 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 90
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 94
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 80
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 90
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 32
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 68
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 24
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sanrio Company, Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, plans and sells social communication gifts, greeting cards, and books in Japan, Europe, North America, South America, rest of Asia, and internationally. The company also operates restaurants; and produces, promotes, and distributes movies.

Full company description

Sanrio Company, Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, plans and sells social communication gifts, greeting cards, and books in Japan, Europe, North America, South America, rest of Asia, and internationally. The company also operates restaurants; and produces, promotes, and distributes movies. In addition, it engages in the planning, production, and sale of recorded music and video products; planning and presentation of musicals and live performances; copyright licensing; planning and operation of theme parks; planning, development, and sale of educational services and materials; planning, sale, and distribution of digital content; planning and sale of entertainment cards and publications; production and sale of video software; and advertising, marketing, and sports activities. Further, the company engages in the sale and rental of robots, rental of cars, and non-life insurance agency services. Sanrio Company, Ltd. was incorporated in 1949 and is headquartered in Shinagawa, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sanrio Company reported revenue of $145B in FY2025 versus $52.8B in FY2022, a compound +40.0%/yr. Reported net income was $41.7B in FY2025, compounding +130.2%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$145B
Latest YoY
+44.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+40.0%
Revenue +40.0%/yr
FY22 $52.8B
FY23 $72.6B
FY24 $100.0B
FY25 $145B
Net income +130.2%/yr
FY22 $3.4B
FY23 $8.2B
FY24 $17.6B
FY25 $41.7B

SNROY screens 44% overvalued. Compare with Casey's General Stores, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sanrio Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SNROY

Peer Group

Specialty Retail · 221 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 82 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −44% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 44% · Top 25%
Return on assets 22% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 42% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 32% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.5% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.31× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 23.0× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.07× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.04× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 9.13× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 31
FUTURE 100 · sector 23
PAST 100 · sector 27
HEALTH 85 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 29 · sector 51

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY $827.04 $405.44 -51%
Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM $222.84 $164.16 -26%
Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA $479.57 $488.39 +2%
DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS $208.89 $181.10 -13%
Best Buy Co BBY $83.98 $109.12 +30%
China Tourism Group 601888 ¥52.90 ¥40.40 -24%
Tractor Supply Company TSCO $31.01 $35.52 +15%
Murphy USA Inc MUSA $618.57 $423.35 -32%
Five Below, Inc FIVE $197.71 $117.29 -41%
Taiwan Mobile Co 3045 110.50 TWD 80.98 TWD -27%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sanrio Company (SNROY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $8.05 versus a price of $14.35, about −44% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SNROY?
Our model-based fair value for Sanrio Company is $8.05 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $14.35.
What is the quality score of SNROY?
Sanrio Company has a Quality Score of 82/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sanrio Company (SNROY)?
Sanrio Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $183B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SNROY?
The net profit margin of Sanrio Company is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sanrio Company pay a dividend?
Sanrio Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.46% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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