Soechi Lines Tbk (SOCI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Soechi Lines Tbk IDR 460, price IDR 660, upside -30.2%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 132.55 IDR – 740.19 IDR · fair‑value band 320.50 IDR – 489.60 IDR · the 660.00 IDR price screens above the 460.47 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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PT Soechi Lines Tbk provides shipping and shipyard services in Indonesia. The company operates in two segments, Shipping Business, and Shipyard Business. It offers transportation services for oil, gas, and chemicals; and ship maintenance, repair and overhauling vessels, new shipbuilding, and dry docking services.
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PT Soechi Lines Tbk provides shipping and shipyard services in Indonesia. The company operates in two segments, Shipping Business, and Shipyard Business. It offers transportation services for oil, gas, and chemicals; and ship maintenance, repair and overhauling vessels, new shipbuilding, and dry docking services. The company also provides management and business consulting services; and business brokerage services, as well as brokers consulting services. It owns and operates a fleet of 30 vessels. The company was founded in 1970 and is headquartered in Jakarta Pusat, Indonesia. PT Soechi Lines Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Soechi Group.
Stock analysis
Soechi Lines Tbk (SOCI) currently trades at 660.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 460.47 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 43.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 648.64 IDR per share, and 0 of the 12 models we run sit above the 660.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 162.16 IDR, and 12 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 320.50 IDR (bear) to 489.60 IDR (bull), the price of 660.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Soechi Lines Tbk reported revenue of $153M in FY2025 versus $129M in FY2021, a compound +4.5%/yr. Reported net income was $7.6M in FY2025, compounding +8.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 4.7T IDR (≈ $260M) · P/E ratio 24.4 · P/S ratio 1.21 · EPS (TTM) 27.01 IDR · Net margin 4.9% · Return on equity 2.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.7% · Operating margin 24.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 241% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 61% fair-value upside, at −30%, SOCI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 320.50 IDRFair Value 460.47 IDRBull 489.60 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (19.83 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.21/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−7.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.8% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−4.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−4.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−4% vs −16%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.20% → 20%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Marine Shipping · 233 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Below median
Fair Value upside−30% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)2% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)7% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)24% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−14% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.22× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)24.4× · Priciest 25%
P/B0.64× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)1.74× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA6.3× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 35
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 23
PAST (return on equity)10· sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)89· sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 54
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
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Is Soechi Lines Tbk (SOCI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 460.47 IDR versus a price of 660.00 IDR, about −30% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SOCI?
Our model-based fair value for Soechi Lines Tbk is 460.47 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 660.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of SOCI?
Soechi Lines Tbk has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Soechi Lines Tbk (SOCI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 460.47 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario 320.50 IDR, optimistic scenario 489.60 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Soechi Lines Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 460.47 IDR, about −30% upside versus a price of 660.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 320.50 IDR, optimistic scenario 489.60 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Soechi Lines Tbk (SOCI)?
Soechi Lines Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $149M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Soechi Lines Tbk (SOCI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Soechi Lines Tbk it is 460.47 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 660.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Soechi Lines Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SOCI trades above its calculated fair value: price 660.00 IDR, fair value 460.47 IDR, a gap of about −30% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SOCI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (660.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (460.47 IDR). For Soechi Lines Tbk the two are 199.53 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Soechi Lines Tbk worth?
The market values Soechi Lines Tbk at about 4.7T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 660.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 460.47 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SOCI?
Our models span a range for Soechi Lines Tbk: cautious scenario 320.50 IDR, base 460.47 IDR, optimistic 489.60 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 660.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SOCI?
Soechi Lines Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 24.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 460.47 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 1.7, EV/EBITDA 6.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Soechi Lines Tbk (SOCI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Soechi Lines Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 2.5%, debt of 0.22 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SOCI from its 52-week high?
Soechi Lines Tbk trades at 660.00 IDR, about 11% below its 52-week high of 740.19 IDR and 241% above the low of 193.74 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 460.47 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Soechi Lines Tbk?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings, Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft,, Shanghai International Port (Group) Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Soechi Lines Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 660.00 IDR, calculated fair value 460.47 IDR (−30%), Quality Score 52/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SOCI calculated?
We run Soechi Lines Tbk through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 460.47 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Soechi Lines Tbk itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Soechi Lines Tbk (SOCI)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 660.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 460.47 IDR, about −30% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Soechi Lines Tbk right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (489.60 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Soechi Lines Tbk (SOCI) come from?
Earnings per share at Soechi Lines Tbk grew −12.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +1.0 %, EBIT margin −6.1 %, tax rate −1.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −6.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Soechi Lines Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of Soechi Lines Tbk (SOCI)?
The market capitalisation of Soechi Lines Tbk is 4.7T IDR (≈ $260M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Soechi Lines Tbk (SOCI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Soechi Lines Tbk is 1.21 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Soechi Lines Tbk (SOCI)?
Earnings per share at Soechi Lines Tbk are 27.01 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 24.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Soechi Lines Tbk (SOCI)?
The net margin of Soechi Lines Tbk is 4.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Soechi Lines Tbk (SOCI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Soechi Lines Tbk is 2.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Soechi Lines Tbk (SOCI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Soechi Lines Tbk is 4.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Soechi Lines Tbk (SOCI)?
The operating margin of Soechi Lines Tbk is 24.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Soechi Lines Tbk (SOCI)?
Revenue at Soechi Lines Tbk is growing −14.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Soechi Lines Tbk (SOCI)?
Earnings per share at Soechi Lines Tbk are growing +81.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Soechi Lines Tbk (SOCI) generate?
The free cash flow of Soechi Lines Tbk is −$12.6M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Soechi Lines Tbk (SOCI) carry?
The net debt of Soechi Lines Tbk is $136M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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