Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited (SONACOMS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited ₹206, price ₹805, upside -74.4%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹333.56 – ₹833.00 · fair‑value band ₹112.40 – ₹258.34 · the ₹805.00 price screens above the ₹206.37 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and supplies systems and components for the automotive industry in India and internationally.
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Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and supplies systems and components for the automotive industry in India and internationally. The company offers mobility products comprising electronically and limited locking differentials, integrated motor controller modules, traction motors, spool gears, controllers, park gear, spiral bevel gears, input/rotor shafts, starter motors, differential assembly and bevel gears, intermediate and portal axle gears, epicyclic geartrains, in-cabin radar and short range radar sensors, steering bevel boxes, coupling/sleeves, inter-axle gear sets, hub wheel motors, integrated hub motors and controllers, and integrated drive motors and controllers. It also provides railway components comprising brake systems, dampers, couplers, suspension systems, friction and rubber products, HVAC systems, electric control panels, vacuum evacuation systems, air springs, and automatic plug doors. In addition, the company offers non-automotive components, such as AVG/AMR drive units, industrial robot and eVOLT reduction gearboxes, short range radar and zone monitoring sensors, humanoid components, and eVOLT and humanoid motors. Its products are used in conventional and electric passenger vehicles, commercial vehicles, off-highway vehicles, buses, and electric two and three-wheelers, as well as for railways and non-automotive applications. The company was formerly known as Sona Okegawa Precision Forgings Ltd. and changed its name to Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited in July 2013. Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Gurugram, India.
Stock analysis
Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited (SONACOMS) currently trades at ₹805.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹206.37, 74.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹324.42 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the ₹805.00 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ₹48.22, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ₹112.40 (bear) to ₹258.34 (bull), the price of ₹805.00 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited reported revenue of ₹44.5B in FY2026 versus ₹21.1B in FY2022, a compound +20.5%/yr. Reported net income was ₹6.4B in FY2026, compounding +15.4%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹500B (≈ $5.2B) · P/E ratio 71.2 · P/S ratio 10.2 · EPS (TTM) ₹11.30 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 14.4% · Return on equity 10.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 28.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 53 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 100% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at −74%, SONACOMS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (₹48.22 to ₹486.41). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ₹112.40Fair Value ₹206.37Bull ₹258.34
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹4.13 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.81/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+25.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.2%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+11.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+10.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.10.6% vs 26.4%, slowing
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+57.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+18.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +50.9% a year for the price and +13.9% for the forecasts.
Compare Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 666 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Below median
Fair Value upside−74.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10.7% · Above median
Return on assets7.1% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)14.2% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)16.6% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth52.4% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)71.2× · Priciest 25%
P/B8.36× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)10.22× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF176.8× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA44.7× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 24
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 29
PAST (return on equity)43· sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)8· sector 38
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited (SONACOMS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹206.37 versus a price of ₹805.00, about −74% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SONACOMS?
Our model-based fair value for Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited is ₹206.37 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹805.00.
What is the quality score of SONACOMS?
Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited (SONACOMS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹206.37 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹112.40, optimistic scenario ₹258.34. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹206.37, about −74% upside versus a price of ₹805.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹112.40, optimistic scenario ₹258.34. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited (SONACOMS)?
Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹49.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited pay a dividend?
Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.40% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited (SONACOMS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +57.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +23.2 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SONACOMS use?
Our models discount Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited at 10.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.45, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited that is +57.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited (SONACOMS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited grew +23.2 % a year. The price currently implies +57.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited (SONACOMS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited (+57.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited (SONACOMS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.57 %: that much free cash flow Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited (SONACOMS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited it is ₹206.37 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹805.00. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, SONACOMS trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹805.00, fair value ₹206.37, a gap of about −74% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SONACOMS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹805.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹206.37). For Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited the two are ₹598.63 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited worth?
The market values Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited at about ₹500B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹805.00; our models calculate a fair value of ₹206.37 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SONACOMS?
Our models span a range for Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited: cautious scenario ₹112.40, base ₹206.37, optimistic ₹258.34 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹805.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SONACOMS?
Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 71.2 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹206.37 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 8.4, P/S 10.2, EV/EBITDA 44.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited (SONACOMS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 10.7%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SONACOMS from its 52-week high?
Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited trades at ₹805.00, about 3% below its 52-week high of ₹833.00 and 100% above the low of ₹402.77 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹206.37 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹805.00, calculated fair value ₹206.37 (−74%), Quality Score 51/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SONACOMS calculated?
We run Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹206.37, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited (SONACOMS)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹805.00. Our model-based fair value is ₹206.37, about −74% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹258.34). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (₹112.40 to ₹258.34) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited (SONACOMS)?
The market capitalisation of Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited is ₹500B (≈ $5.2B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited (SONACOMS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited is 10.2 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited (SONACOMS)?
Earnings per share at Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited are ₹11.30 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 71.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited (SONACOMS)?
The dividend yield of Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited is 0.4% (payout 28.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited (SONACOMS)?
The net margin of Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited is 14.4% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited (SONACOMS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited is 10.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited (SONACOMS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited is 28.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited (SONACOMS)?
The operating margin of Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited is 16.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited (SONACOMS)?
Revenue at Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited is growing +52.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +18.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited (SONACOMS)?
Earnings per share at Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited are growing +44.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited (SONACOMS) carry?
The net debt of Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited is ₹939M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 0.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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