Southern Energy Corp (SOU) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Southern Energy Corp C$0.05, price C$0.06, upside -10.3%, quality 32 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$0.0500 – C$1.39 · fair‑value band C$0.0538 – C$0.0585 · the C$0.0600 price screens above the C$0.0538 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Southern Energy Corp., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an petroleum and natural gas exploration and production company in Canada. The company focuses primarily on acquiring and developing conventional natural gas and light oil resources in the Southeast Gulf States of Mississippi, Louisiana, and East Texas.
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Southern Energy Corp., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an petroleum and natural gas exploration and production company in Canada. The company focuses primarily on acquiring and developing conventional natural gas and light oil resources in the Southeast Gulf States of Mississippi, Louisiana, and East Texas. Its principal properties include Williamsburg, Greens Creek, Magee and Mount Olive properties that cover an area of approximately 37,900 acres located in Mississippi. The company was formerly known as Standard Exploration Ltd. and changed its name to Southern Energy Corp. in January 2019. Southern Energy Corp. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
Stock analysis
Southern Energy Corp (SOU) currently trades at C$0.0600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.0538, implying the stock looks roughly 11.5% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of C$0.0500 per share, and 2 of the 6 models we run sit above the C$0.0600 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at C$0.0200, and 4 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: C$0.0538 (bear) to C$0.0585 (bull), the price of C$0.0600 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Southern Energy Corp reported revenue of $18.0M in FY2025 versus $19.9M in FY2021, a compound −2.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$7.5M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap C$25.6M (≈ $18.1M) · P/S ratio 1.77 · EPS (TTM) C$−0.0100 · Net margin −41.6% · Return on equity −40.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.4% · Operating margin 12.3% · Revenue (TTM) $14.5M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −10%, SOU screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear C$0.0538Fair Value C$0.0538Bull C$0.0585
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+12.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−26.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +38.5% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.1%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−28.4% (2020) → −13.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−14.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −16.5% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 308 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score32 · Below median
Fair Value upside−10% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−34% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)12% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth3% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.10× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Southern Energy Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SOU
Frequently asked questions
Is Southern Energy Corp (SOU) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.0538 versus a price of C$0.0600, about −10% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SOU?
Our model-based fair value for Southern Energy Corp is C$0.0538 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$0.0600.
What is the quality score of SOU?
Southern Energy Corp has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Southern Energy Corp (SOU)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.0538 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.0538, optimistic scenario C$0.0585. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Southern Energy Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.0538, about −10% upside versus a price of C$0.0600 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$0.0538, optimistic scenario C$0.0585. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Southern Energy Corp (SOU)?
Southern Energy Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $14.5M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Southern Energy Corp (SOU)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Southern Energy Corp would have to grow free cash flow by -14.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +10.6 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SOU use?
Our models discount Southern Energy Corp at 9.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for Canada. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Southern Energy Corp that is -14.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Southern Energy Corp (SOU) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Southern Energy Corp grew +10.6 % a year. The price currently implies -14.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Southern Energy Corp (SOU) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Southern Energy Corp (-14.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Southern Energy Corp (SOU)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.02 %: that much free cash flow Southern Energy Corp produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Southern Energy Corp (SOU)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Southern Energy Corp it is C$0.0538 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of C$0.0600. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Southern Energy Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, SOU trades above its calculated fair value: price C$0.0600, fair value C$0.0538, a gap of about −10% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SOU?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$0.0600); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.0538). For Southern Energy Corp the two are C$0.0062 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Southern Energy Corp worth?
The market values Southern Energy Corp at about C$25.6M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is C$0.0600; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.0538 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SOU?
Our models span a range for Southern Energy Corp: cautious scenario C$0.0538, base C$0.0538, optimistic C$0.0585 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price C$0.0600). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Southern Energy Corp (SOU)?
Balance-sheet figures for Southern Energy Corp (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −40.2%, debt of 1.10 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 32/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SOU from its 52-week high?
Southern Energy Corp trades at C$0.0600, about 50% below its 52-week high of C$0.1200 and 9% above the low of C$0.0550 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.0538 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Southern Energy Corp?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Southern Energy Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price C$0.0600, calculated fair value C$0.0538 (−10%), Quality Score 32/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SOU calculated?
We run Southern Energy Corp through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$0.0538, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Southern Energy Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Southern Energy Corp (SOU)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was C$0.0600. Our model-based fair value is C$0.0538, about −10% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Southern Energy Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.0585). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The models converge in a tight band (C$0.0538 to C$0.0585), unusually little disagreement for a valuation. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Southern Energy Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Southern Energy Corp (SOU)?
The market capitalisation of Southern Energy Corp is C$25.6M (≈ $18.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Southern Energy Corp (SOU)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Southern Energy Corp is 1.77 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Southern Energy Corp (SOU)?
Earnings per share at Southern Energy Corp are C$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Southern Energy Corp (SOU)?
The net margin of Southern Energy Corp is −41.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Southern Energy Corp (SOU)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Southern Energy Corp is −40.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Southern Energy Corp (SOU)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Southern Energy Corp is −0.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Southern Energy Corp (SOU)?
The operating margin of Southern Energy Corp is 12.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Southern Energy Corp (SOU)?
Revenue at Southern Energy Corp is growing +3.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −26.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Southern Energy Corp (SOU)?
Earnings per share at Southern Energy Corp are growing −73.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Southern Energy Corp (SOU) carry?
The net debt of Southern Energy Corp is $602K (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 2.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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