Southern Energy Corp (SOU) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Southern Energy Corp stock C$0.04, price C$0.07, that is 40.4% below the price, quality 30 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 7 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$0.0500 – C$1.39 · fair‑value band C$0.0417 – C$0.0536 · the C$0.0700 price screens above the C$0.0417 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 9, 2026.
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Southern Energy Corp., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an petroleum and natural gas exploration and production company in Canada.
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The company focuses primarily on acquiring and developing conventional natural gas and light oil resources in the Southeast Gulf States of Mississippi, Louisiana, and East Texas.
Its principal properties include Williamsburg, Greens Creek, Magee and Mount Olive properties that cover an area of approximately 37,900 acres located in Mississippi. The company was formerly known as Standard Exploration Ltd. and changed its name to Southern Energy Corp. in January 2019.
Southern Energy Corp. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
Stock analysis
Southern Energy Corp (SOU) currently trades at C$0.0700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.0417, 40% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of C$0.0850 per share, and 2 of the 7 models we run sit above the C$0.0700 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at C$0.0100, and 5 of the 7 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: C$0.0417 (bear) to C$0.0536 (bull), the price of C$0.0700 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Southern Energy Corp reported revenue of $18.0M in FY2025 versus $19.9M in FY2021, a compound −2.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$7.5M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap C$25.6M (≈ $18.2M) Micro · P/S ratio 1.78 · EPS (TTM) C$−0.0300 · Net margin −41.6% · Return on equity −35.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.4% (5-year average) · Operating margin −39.3% · Revenue (TTM) $14.4M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 8 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −40%, SOU screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
BearC$0.0417Fair Value C$0.0417BullC$0.0536
Price C$0.0700 · Downside -40.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCFC$0.0700C$0.1700C$0.340072
Growth DCFC$0.0700C$0.1600C$0.330070
5Y Revenue Exitn/aC$0.0100C$0.020067
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCFC$0.0700C$0.1700C$0.340072
5Y Revenue Exitn/aC$0.0100C$0.020067
10Y Revenue ExitC$0.0200C$0.0400C$0.060063
Multiples
EV/RevenueC$0.0100C$0.0100C$0.020051
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)C$0.0200C$0.0300C$0.040054
Growth DCF
Growth DCFC$0.0700C$0.1600C$0.330070
Rev-Margin DCFn/aC$0.0100C$0.030067
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+12.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−26.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +38.5% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.1%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−28.4% (2020) → −13.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−0.7%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −3.0% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 239 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−40.4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−15.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−34.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−39.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−3.7% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.10× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Southern Energy Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SOU
Frequently asked questions
Is Southern Energy Corp (SOU) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.0417 versus a price of C$0.0700, about 40% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SOU?
Our model-based fair value for Southern Energy Corp is C$0.0417 (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$0.0700.
What is the quality score of SOU?
Southern Energy Corp has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Southern Energy Corp (SOU)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.0417 (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.0417, optimistic scenario C$0.0536. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Southern Energy Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.0417, about 40% lower versus a price of C$0.0700 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$0.0417, optimistic scenario C$0.0536. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Southern Energy Corp (SOU)?
Southern Energy Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $14.4M (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
What growth is priced into Southern Energy Corp (SOU)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Southern Energy Corp would have to grow free cash flow by -0.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +10.6 % per year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SOU use?
Our models discount Southern Energy Corp at 8.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.12, country premium for Canada. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Southern Energy Corp that is -0.7 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (8.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Southern Energy Corp (SOU) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Southern Energy Corp grew +10.6 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -0.7 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Southern Energy Corp (SOU) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +14.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Southern Energy Corp (-0.7 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Southern Energy Corp (SOU)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.73 %: that much free cash flow Southern Energy Corp produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Southern Energy Corp (SOU)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Southern Energy Corp it is C$0.0417 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of C$0.0700. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models in 4 families (DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF).
Is Southern Energy Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, SOU trades above its calculated fair value: price C$0.0700, fair value C$0.0417, a gap of about −40% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SOU?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$0.0700); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.0417). For Southern Energy Corp the two are C$0.0283 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Southern Energy Corp worth?
The market values Southern Energy Corp at about C$25.6M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is C$0.0700; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.0417 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SOU?
Our models span a range for Southern Energy Corp: cautious scenario C$0.0417, base C$0.0417, optimistic C$0.0536 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price C$0.0700). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Southern Energy Corp (SOU)?
Balance-sheet figures for Southern Energy Corp (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity −35.0%, debt of 1.10 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 30/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SOU from its 52-week high?
Southern Energy Corp trades at C$0.0700, about 42% below its 52-week high of C$0.1200 and 17% above the low of C$0.0600 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.0417 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Southern Energy Corp?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Southern Energy Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price C$0.0700, calculated fair value C$0.0417 (−40%), Quality Score 30/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SOU calculated?
We run Southern Energy Corp through 7 models from 4 families: DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of C$0.0417 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Southern Energy Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Southern Energy Corp (SOU)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was C$0.0700. Our model-based fair value is C$0.0417, about 40% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Southern Energy Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.0536). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Southern Energy Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Southern Energy Corp (SOU)?
The market capitalisation of Southern Energy Corp is C$25.6M (≈ $18.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Southern Energy Corp (SOU)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Southern Energy Corp is 1.78 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Southern Energy Corp (SOU)?
Earnings per share at Southern Energy Corp are C$−0.0300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Southern Energy Corp (SOU)?
The net margin of Southern Energy Corp is −41.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Southern Energy Corp (SOU)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Southern Energy Corp is −35.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Southern Energy Corp (SOU)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Southern Energy Corp is −0.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Southern Energy Corp (SOU)?
The operating margin of Southern Energy Corp is −39.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Southern Energy Corp (SOU)?
Revenue at Southern Energy Corp is growing −3.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −26.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Southern Energy Corp (SOU)?
Earnings per share at Southern Energy Corp are growing −73.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Southern Energy Corp (SOU) carry?
The net debt of Southern Energy Corp is $602K (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 2.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 9, 2026