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Spectrum Brands Holdings (SPB) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $2.1B

SB Spectrum Brands Holdings logo Spectrum Brands Holdings SPB · US
Price$90.13
Fair Value$73.85
Upside-18.1%
Quality61/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 4.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.14% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/15)
Narrow moat 36/100
Evidence: High Range $65.10 – $92.34 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from $90.45 to $73.85 (−18.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +10.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 18% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • Our model range runs from $65.10 (bear) to $92.34 (bull), base $73.85. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 61/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$95.32 $35.52 Fair Value $73.85 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $35.52 – $95.32 · fair‑value band $65.10 – $92.34 · the $90.13 price screens above the $73.85 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Spectrum Brands Holdings (SPB) currently trades at $90.13, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $73.85, implying the stock looks roughly 18.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Spectrum Brands Holdings generated revenue of $2.8B at a net margin of 4.5%. Revenue grew 4.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.6%. Net debt stands at $531M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $65.10 (bear case) to $92.34 (bull case); at $90.13, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 84% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -18%, SPB screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $88.88 $186.18 $342.92 80
Residual Income $63.36 $64.30 $61.56 76
Rev-Margin DCF $60.14 $115.86 $232.95 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $95.87 $157.75 $350.70 38
Owner Earnings $84.24 $209.58 $463.04 31
5Y Revenue Exit $53.07 $98.83 $194.04 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $83.75 $160.85 $311.97 41
5Y P/E Exit $64.49 $155.75 $278.13 38
10Y Revenue Exit $64.91 $148.92 $197.41 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $88.95 $213.47 $428.18 37
10Y P/E Exit $75.20 $172.94 $329.00 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $29.54 $206.02 $289.11 54
Lynch FV $106.44 $152.05 $197.67 50
PEG = 1.0 $106.44 $152.05 $197.67 46
EPV $25.63 $32.64 $38.70 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $18.41 $36.68 $55.55 70
DDM Multi-Stage $18.41 $31.70 $38.72 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $68.42 $91.23 $114.04 63
P/S Multiple $55.39 $73.85 $92.32 58
P/B Multiple $55.39 $73.85 $92.32 55
EV/EBIT $50.44 $73.52 $96.61 53
EV/EBITDA $75.70 $107.20 $138.70 54
EV/Revenue $30.61 $51.80 $72.98 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $41.52 $55.64 $83.05 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $88.88 $186.18 $342.92 80
Rev-Margin DCF $60.14 $115.86 $232.95 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $63.36 $64.30 $61.56 76
ROIC Compounder $25.63 $32.64 $38.70 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $139.22 $198.88 $258.55 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($198.88) versus Dividend Discount ($31.70). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $2.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.9%
Net margin 4.5%
Return on equity 6.6%
Free cash flow $166M FY2025
P/E ratio 17.5
More key figures
Operating margin 7.4%
EPS (TTM) $5.12
Dividend yield 2.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +2,634%
Net debt $531M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 84

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 62
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 59
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 75
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 82
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. operates as a branded consumer products and home essentials company in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Latin America, and Asia-Pacific regions. The company operates through three segments: Home and Personal Care (HPC); Global Pet Care (GPC); and Home and Garden (H&G).

Full company description

Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. operates as a branded consumer products and home essentials company in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Latin America, and Asia-Pacific regions. The company operates through three segments: Home and Personal Care (HPC); Global Pet Care (GPC); and Home and Garden (H&G). The Home and Personal Care segment provides home appliances under the Black & Decker, Russell Hobbs, George Foreman, PowerXL, Emeril Legasse, Copper Chef, Juiceman, and Breadman brands; and personal care products under the Remington brand. The GPC segment provides Rawhide chews, dog and cat clean-up, training, health and grooming products, small animal food and care products, rawhide-free dog and cat treats, and wet and dry pet food for dogs and cats under the Good'n'Fun, DreamBone, Good Boy, SmartBones, IAMS, EUKANUBA, Nature's Miracle, FURminator, Dingo, 8IN1, Better Belly, Meowee!, and Wild Harvest brands. This segment also offers aquarium kits, stand-alone tanks, and aquatics equipment and consumables under the Tetra, Marineland, Instant Ocean, GloFish, and OmegaSea brands. The H&G segment provides outdoor insect and weed control solutions, and animal repellents under the Spectracide, Garden Safe, Liquid Fence, and EcoLogic brands; household pest control solutions under the Hot Shot and Black Flag brands; household surface cleaning, maintenance, and restoration products, including bottled liquids, mops, wipes, and markers under the Rejuvenate brand; and personal-use pesticides and insect repellent products under the Cutter and Repel brands. It sells its products through retailers, e-commerce and online retailers, wholesalers, and distributors. Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1906 and is based in Middleton, Wisconsin.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Spectrum Brands Holdings reported revenue of $2.8B in FY2025 versus $3.0B in FY2021, a compound −1.6%/yr. Reported net income was $99.9M in FY2025, compounding −14.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$2.8B
Latest YoY
−5.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−3.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+1.4%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y)
+5.9%
Revenue −1.6%/yr
FY21 $3.0B
FY22 $3.1B
FY23 $2.9B
FY24 $3.0B
FY25 $2.8B
Net income −14.8%/yr
FY21 $190M
FY22 $71.6M
FY23 $1.8B
FY24 $125M
FY25 $99.9M

SPB screens 18% overvalued. Compare with The Procter & Gamble Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Spectrum Brands Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SPB

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Household & Personal Products · 244 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Above median
Fair Value upside −18% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.29× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.08× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.73× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 12.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 9.6× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.36× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 9 · sector 28
FUTURE 25 · sector 4
PAST 27 · sector 26
HEALTH 85 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 43 · sector 50

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Household & Personal Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
The Procter & Gamble Company PG $146.80 $108.16 -26%
Unilever PLC ULN 1,080 MXN 1,273 MXN +18%
Hindustan Unilever Limited HINDUNILVR ₹2,144 ₹1,000 -53%
Essity AB ESSITYA kr 279.00 kr 250.02 -10%
Godrej Consumer Products Limited GODREJCP ₹1,088 ₹367.64 -66%
Marico Limited MARICO ₹846.75 ₹233.05 -72%
APR Co 278470 375,000 KRW 151,222 KRW -60%
Dabur India Limited DABUR ₹429.45 ₹181.60 -58%
Kimberly-Clark de México, S. A. B. de C. V., KIMBERA 38.07 MXN 50.09 MXN +32%
PT Unilever Indonesia Tbk UNVR 1,730 IDR 1,934 IDR +12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Spectrum Brands Holdings (SPB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $73.85 versus a price of $90.13, about −18% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SPB?
Our model-based fair value for Spectrum Brands Holdings is $73.85 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $90.13.
What is the quality score of SPB?
Spectrum Brands Holdings has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Spectrum Brands Holdings (SPB)?
Spectrum Brands Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.8B (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SPB?
The net profit margin of Spectrum Brands Holdings is about 4.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Spectrum Brands Holdings pay a dividend?
Spectrum Brands Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.30% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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