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Spindletop Oil & Gas Co (SPND) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $19.9M

SO Spindletop Oil & Gas Co logo Spindletop Oil & Gas Co SPND · US
Price$3.26
Fair Value$1.45
Upside-55.5%
Quality43/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -40.2% net margin
negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/9)
Narrow moat 13/100
Evidence: Low Range $1.09 – $2.17 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $3.91 to $1.45 (−62.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +8.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 56% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.17). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range ($1.09 to $2.17) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$10.00 $1.65 Fair Value $1.45 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.65 – $10.00 · fair‑value band $1.09 – $2.17 · the $3.26 price screens above the $1.45 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Spindletop Oil & Gas Co (SPND) currently trades at $3.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.45, implying the stock looks roughly 55.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Spindletop Oil & Gas Co generated revenue of $4.4M at a net margin of -40.2%. Revenue grew 10.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -11.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $3.6M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.09 (bear case) to $2.17 (bull case); at $3.26, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 68% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -56%, SPND screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $1.09 $1.45 $2.17 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.09 $1.45 $2.17 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $4.4M
Revenue growth (YoY) +10.5%
Net margin -40.2%
Return on equity -11.3%
Free cash flow −$387K FY2025
Operating margin 9.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.2600
EPS growth (YoY) +75.7%
Net cash $3.6M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 3
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 2
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 60
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 93
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 26
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Spindletop Oil & Gas Co. an independent oil and gas company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas in Alabama, Louisiana, Oklahoma, New Mexico, and Texas.

Full company description

Spindletop Oil & Gas Co. an independent oil and gas company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas in Alabama, Louisiana, Oklahoma, New Mexico, and Texas. The company is involved in the rental of oilfield equipment; gathering and marketing of natural gas; and commercial real estate investing and leasing business. It also owns various miles of pipelines located in Texas, which are used for gathering natural gases. It sells crude oil and natural gas to oil and gas companies, brokers, pipelines, and distributors. Spindletop Oil & Gas Co. was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Spindletop Oil & Gas Co reported revenue of $4.4M in FY2025 versus $6.2M in FY2021, a compound −8.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.9M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 19/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$4.4M
Latest YoY
+4.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−19.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.3%
Avg. growth/yr (26Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.6%
Revenue −8.1%/yr
FY21 $6.2M
FY22 $8.4M
FY23 $5.1M
FY24 $4.3M
FY25 $4.4M
Net income
FY21 $1.0M
FY22 $669K
FY23 $7.0K
FY24 −$629K
FY25 −$1.9M

SPND screens 56% overvalued. Compare with CNOOC Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Spindletop Oil & Gas Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SPND

Peer Group

Oil & Gas E&P · 315 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 41 · Below median
Fair Value upside −56% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -40% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Revenue growth 11% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.39× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 4.50× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 14
FUTURE 53 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 0 · sector 87
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 66

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CNOOC Limited 600938 ¥28.97 ¥32.55 +12%
ConocoPhillips explores for, COP $109.04 $91.79 -16%
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $42.86 $31.54 -26%
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $139.89 $130.19 -7%
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $54.86 $30.68 -44%
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $183.39 $106.12 -42%
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $43.83 $27.06 -38%
Woodside Energy Group WDS A$30.46 A$20.71 -32%
EQT Corporation EQT $48.85 $42.85 -12%
Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL $415.70 $79.20 -81%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Spindletop Oil & Gas Co (SPND) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.45 versus a price of $3.26, about −56% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SPND?
Our model-based fair value for Spindletop Oil & Gas Co is $1.45 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $3.26.
What is the quality score of SPND?
Spindletop Oil & Gas Co has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Spindletop Oil & Gas Co (SPND)?
Spindletop Oil & Gas Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.4M (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SPND?
The net profit margin of Spindletop Oil & Gas Co is about -40.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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