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Spindletop O&G (SPND) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Spindletop O&G $1.45, price $5.60, upside -74.1%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Energy · US · ISIN US8485502087

SO Spindletop O&G logo Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Spindletop O&G

SPND · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $1.45 · Strongly overvalued (−74%)
!Quality 47/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +3.3 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -18.0% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/9)
!Narrow moat 27/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$10.00 $1.65 Fair Value $1.45 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.65 – $10.00 · fair‑value band $1.09 – $2.17 · the $5.60 price screens above the $1.45 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Spindletop Oil & Gas Co. an independent oil and gas company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas in Alabama, Louisiana, Oklahoma, New Mexico, and Texas.

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Spindletop Oil & Gas Co. an independent oil and gas company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas in Alabama, Louisiana, Oklahoma, New Mexico, and Texas. The company is involved in the rental of oilfield equipment; gathering and marketing of natural gas; and commercial real estate investing and leasing business. It also owns various miles of pipelines located in Texas, which are used for gathering natural gases. It sells crude oil and natural gas to oil and gas companies, brokers, pipelines, and distributors. Spindletop Oil & Gas Co. was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.

Stock analysis

Spindletop O&G (SPND) currently trades at $5.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.45, implying the stock looks roughly 286.2% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $1.09 (bear) to $2.17 (bull), the price of $5.60 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Spindletop O&G reported revenue of $4.4M in FY2025 versus $6.2M in FY2021, a compound −8.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.9M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $40.2M · P/S ratio 7.57 · EPS (TTM) $−0.1400 · Net margin −42.4% · Return on equity −6.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −4.3% · Operating margin 37.5% · Revenue (TTM) $5.3M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 26 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 147% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −74%, SPND screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $1.09 Fair Value $1.45 Bull $2.17
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $1.09 $1.45 $2.17 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.09 $1.45 $2.17 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65

Profitability 3
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 2
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 72
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 93
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 70
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 72
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 19/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−19.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.8% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−43.4% (2020) → −73.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

SPND screens 286% overvalued. Compare with ConocoPhillips explores for, →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 308 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 43 · Below median
Fair Value upside −74% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −18% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 38% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 87% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.81× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 7.57× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 26
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 12
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 9
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 86
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 72

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
ConocoPhillips explores for, COP $129.34 $90.15 −30%
CNOOC Limited 0883 HK$23.84 HK$39.90 +67%
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $47.64 $52.40 +10%
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $141.84 $165.02 +16%
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $57.36 $33.34 −42%
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $185.65 $242.64 +31%
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $48.04 $52.84 +10%
Woodside Energy Group WDS A$31.13 A$23.59 −24%
EQT Corporation EQT $51.06 $56.17 +10%
Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL $335.74 $318.28 −5%

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Spindletop O&G · Fair Value
$1.45 −286%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Spindletop O&G Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SPND

Frequently asked questions

Is Spindletop O&G (SPND) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.45 versus a price of $5.60, about −74% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SPND?
Our model-based fair value for Spindletop O&G is $1.45 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $5.60.
What is the quality score of SPND?
Spindletop O&G has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Spindletop O&G (SPND)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.45 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.09, optimistic scenario $2.17. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Spindletop O&G stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.45, about −74% upside versus a price of $5.60 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.09, optimistic scenario $2.17. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Spindletop O&G (SPND)?
Spindletop O&G reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $5.3M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Spindletop O&G (SPND)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Spindletop O&G it is $1.45 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $5.60. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Spindletop O&G stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, SPND trades above its calculated fair value: price $5.60, fair value $1.45, a gap of about −74% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SPND?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($5.60); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.45). For Spindletop O&G the two are $4.15 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Spindletop O&G worth?
The market values Spindletop O&G at about $40.2M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $5.60; our models calculate a fair value of $1.45 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SPND?
Our models span a range for Spindletop O&G: cautious scenario $1.09, base $1.45, optimistic $2.17 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $5.60). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Spindletop O&G (SPND)?
Balance-sheet figures for Spindletop O&G (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −6.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SPND from its 52-week high?
Spindletop O&G trades at $5.60, about 44% below its 52-week high of $10.00 and 147% above the low of $2.27 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.45 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Spindletop O&G?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Spindletop O&G stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $5.60, calculated fair value $1.45 (−74%), Quality Score 47/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SPND calculated?
We run Spindletop O&G through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.45, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Spindletop O&G itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Spindletop O&G (SPND)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was $5.60. Our model-based fair value is $1.45, about −74% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Spindletop O&G right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.17). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($1.09 to $2.17) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Spindletop O&G

How large is the market capitalisation of Spindletop O&G (SPND)?
The market capitalisation of Spindletop O&G is $40.2M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Spindletop O&G (SPND)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Spindletop O&G is 7.57 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Spindletop O&G (SPND)?
Earnings per share at Spindletop O&G are $−0.1400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Spindletop O&G (SPND)?
The net margin of Spindletop O&G is −42.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Spindletop O&G (SPND)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Spindletop O&G is −6.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Spindletop O&G (SPND)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Spindletop O&G is −4.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Spindletop O&G (SPND)?
The operating margin of Spindletop O&G is 37.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Spindletop O&G (SPND)?
Revenue at Spindletop O&G is growing +86.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −19.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Spindletop O&G (SPND)?
Earnings per share at Spindletop O&G are growing +75.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Spindletop O&G (SPND) generate?
The free cash flow of Spindletop O&G is −$387K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Spindletop O&G (SPND) hold?
Spindletop O&G holds more cash than debt, $3.6M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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