Sappi Limited (SPPJY) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $431M
Sappi Limited
SPPJY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 24, 2026, revised from $0.9200 to $1.54 (+67.0%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +57.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 60% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (36/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($1.15). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.6100 – $4.29 · fair‑value band $1.15 – $1.94 · the $0.9600 price screens below the $1.54 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
Analysis
Sappi Limited (SPPJY) currently trades at $0.9600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.54, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Sappi Limited generated revenue of $5.3B at a net margin of -12.7%. Revenue declined 1.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -31.1%. Net debt stands at $1.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.15 (bear case) to $1.94 (bull case); at $0.9600, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 60%, SPPJY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($2.85) versus Earnings-Based ($0.4700). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Sappi Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides woodfiber-based renewable resources in Europe, North America, and South Africa.
Full company description
Sappi Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides woodfiber-based renewable resources in Europe, North America, and South Africa. The company offers speciality paper; flexible packaging paper, paperboard, containerboard, release liner, label paper, functional papers, uncoated woodfree paper, coated and uncoated woodfree paper, coated mechanical paper, thinprint, inkjet paper, and label paper. It also offers dissolving pulp, graphic, packaging and speciality, casting, and release papers; forestry, and bio-energy materials. In addition, the company provides biomaterials, such as valida, lignin, and furfural, as well as engages in insurance business. Sappi Limited company was founded in 1936 and is based in Johannesburg, South Africa.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
Sappi Limited reported revenue of $5.5B in FY2024 versus $4.6B in FY2020, a compound +4.3%/yr. Reported net income was $33.0M in FY2024.
of which total revenue +0.9 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.4 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Paper & Paper Products · 111 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Paper & Paper Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Paper & Paper Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Klabin S.A KLBN11 | R$17.58 | R$3.89 | -78% |
| UPM-Kymmene Oyj UPM | €23.45 | €15.47 | -34% |
| Suzano S.A SUZB3 | R$41.70 | R$138.01 | +231% |
| Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) SCAB | kr 103.00 | kr 49.40 | -52% |
| Shandong Sunpaper Co 002078 | ¥14.13 | ¥17.29 | +22% |
| Holmen AB HOLMB | kr 305.40 | kr 217.72 | -29% |
| Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited 2689 | HK$7.55 | HK$8.73 | +16% |
| Empresas CMPC S.A CMPC | 1,078 CLP | 1,269 CLP | +18% |
| Xianhe Co 603733 | ¥22.05 | ¥24.32 | +10% |
| Billerud AB BILL | kr 68.70 | kr 48.60 | -29% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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