Sappi Ltd (SPPJY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Sappi Ltd stock $1.55, price $0.79, upside +96.2%, quality 36 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 12 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.6200 – $3.54 · fair‑value band $0.6900 – $2.72 · the $0.7900 price screens below the $1.55 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
Follow Sappi Ltd ADR in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Sappi Ltd ADR is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Sappi Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides woodfiber-based renewable resources in Europe, North America, and South Africa.
Show moreShow less
The company offers speciality paper; flexible packaging paper, paperboard, containerboard, release liner, label paper, functional papers, uncoated woodfree paper, coated and uncoated woodfree paper, coated mechanical paper, thinprint, inkjet paper, and label paper.
It also offers dissolving pulp, graphic, packaging and speciality, casting, and release papers; forestry, and bio-energy materials. In addition, the company provides biomaterials, such as valida, lignin, and furfural, as well as engages in insurance business.
Sappi Limited company was founded in 1936 and is based in Johannesburg, South Africa.
Stock analysis
Sappi Ltd (SPPJY) currently trades at $0.7900, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.55, implying the stock looks roughly 49% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $2.74 per share, and 10 of the 12 models we run sit above the $0.7900 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.4700, and 2 of the 12 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.6900 (bear) to $2.72 (bull), the price of $0.7900 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Sappi Ltd ADR reported revenue of $5.5B in FY2024 versus $4.6B in FY2020, a compound +4.3%/yr. Reported net income was $33.0M in FY2024.
Key figures
Market cap $478M Small · P/S ratio 0.09 · EPS (TTM) $−1.36 · Net margin −15.4% · Return on equity −39.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.7% (5-year average) · Operating margin −3.8% · Revenue (TTM) $5.3B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 11 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 22% fair-value upside, at 96%, SPPJY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$0.6900Fair Value $1.55Bull$2.72
Price $0.7900 · Upside +96.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.8/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.0%
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.4%
’13
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−35.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−35.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−35.1% vs −15.0%, slowing
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 3%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 1.8%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Paper & Paper Products · 116 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+96.2% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets0.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−15.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−3.8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)1.0% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)16.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.60× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Paper & Paper Products median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.55 versus a price of $0.7900, about +96% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SPPJY?
Our model-based fair value for Sappi Ltd is $1.55 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.7900.
What is the quality score of SPPJY?
Sappi Ltd has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sappi Ltd (SPPJY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.55 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.6900, optimistic scenario $2.72. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sappi Ltd ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.55, about +96% upside versus a price of $0.7900 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.6900, optimistic scenario $2.72. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sappi Ltd (SPPJY)?
Sappi Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $5.3B (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Sappi Ltd (SPPJY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sappi Ltd it is $1.55 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of $0.7900. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Sappi Ltd ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, SPPJY trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.7900, fair value $1.55, a gap of about +96% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SPPJY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.7900); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.55). For Sappi Ltd the two are $0.7600 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sappi Ltd ADR worth?
The market values Sappi Ltd at about $478M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is $0.7900; our models calculate a fair value of $1.55 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SPPJY?
Our models span a range for Sappi Ltd: cautious scenario $0.6900, base $1.55, optimistic $2.72 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price $0.7900). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of SPPJY?
The PEG ratio of Sappi Ltd is 0.22 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 8, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sappi Ltd (SPPJY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sappi Ltd (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity −39.0%, debt of 0.60 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SPPJY from its 52-week high?
Sappi Ltd trades at $0.7900, about 51% below its 52-week high of $1.61 and 27% above the low of $0.6200 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.55 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sappi Ltd ADR?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value UPM-Kymmene Oyj, Suzano S.A, Shandong Sunpaper Co, Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sappi Ltd ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price $0.7900, calculated fair value $1.55 (+96%), Quality Score 36/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SPPJY calculated?
We run Sappi Ltd through 12 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $1.55 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Sappi Ltd currently trades 49% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sappi Ltd (SPPJY)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $0.7900. Our model-based fair value is $1.55, about +96% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sappi Ltd ADR right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (36/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The model range is unusually wide ($0.6900 to $2.72). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Where does the earnings growth of Sappi Ltd (SPPJY) come from?
Earnings per share at Sappi Ltd grew +5.8 % a year from 2014 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −0.5 %, EBIT margin +1.5 %, tax rate −1.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +6.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Sappi Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Sappi Ltd (SPPJY)?
The market capitalisation of Sappi Ltd is $478M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sappi Ltd (SPPJY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sappi Ltd is 0.09 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sappi Ltd (SPPJY)?
Earnings per share at Sappi Ltd are $−1.36. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Sappi Ltd (SPPJY)?
The net margin of Sappi Ltd is −15.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sappi Ltd (SPPJY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sappi Ltd is −39.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sappi Ltd (SPPJY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sappi Ltd is 4.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sappi Ltd (SPPJY)?
The operating margin of Sappi Ltd is −3.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sappi Ltd (SPPJY)?
Revenue at Sappi Ltd is growing +1.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sappi Ltd (SPPJY)?
Earnings per share at Sappi Ltd are growing +14.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Sappi Ltd (SPPJY) generate?
The free cash flow of Sappi Ltd is −$413M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Sappi Ltd (SPPJY) carry?
The net debt of Sappi Ltd is $1.4B (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Sappi Ltd ADR in the live analysis
One click puts Sappi Ltd ADR on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 27,000+ stock screener.
Thin data
Nov 8, 2026