SPX Technologies, Inc (SPXC) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $10.8B
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $76.85 to $77.13 (+0.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −2.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 64% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($105.80). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($51.73 to $105.80) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $41.90 – $246.41 · fair‑value band $51.73 – $105.80 · the $214.16 price screens above the $77.13 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
SPX Technologies, Inc (SPXC) currently trades at $214.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $77.13, implying the stock looks roughly 64.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, SPX Technologies, Inc generated revenue of $2.3B at a net margin of 10.8%. Revenue grew 17.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.9%. Net debt stands at $134M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $51.73 (bear case) to $105.80 (bull case); at $214.16, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at -64%, SPXC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($96.31) versus Asset-Based ($29.94). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
SPX Technologies, Inc. engages in the supply of engineered solutions serving the heating, ventilation, and cooling (HVAC); and detection and measurement markets in the United States, Canada, China, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, HVAC and Detection and Measurement.
Full company description
SPX Technologies, Inc. engages in the supply of engineered solutions serving the heating, ventilation, and cooling (HVAC); and detection and measurement markets in the United States, Canada, China, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, HVAC and Detection and Measurement. The HVAC segment engineers, designs, manufactures, installs, and services package and process cooling products and engineered air movement and handling solutions for the industrial, institutional, and commercial HVAC markets, as well as hydronic and electrical heating and ventilation products for the residential, industrial, institutional, and commercial markets. It offers cooling products and engineered air movement and handling solutions under the Marley, Recold, SGS, Cincinnati Fan, TAMCO, Ingénia, Air Enterprises, and Rahn Industries brand names; hydronics and electrical heating and ventilation products under the under the Berko, Qmark, Fahrenheat, Leading Edge, Patterson-Kelley, Weil-McLain, Sigma, Omega, Skypeak, Thermolec, Williamson-Thermoflo, INDEECO, Heatrex, AccuTherm, Brasch, Spectrum, BannerDay PipeHeating, and Solar Products brands. The Detection and Measurement segment offers underground pipe and cable locators, inspection and rehabilitation equipment, robotic systems under the Radiodetection, Pearpoint, Schonstedt, Dielectric, Cues, ULC Robotics, and Sensors & Software brands; transportation systems under the Genfare brand; communication technologies under the TCI, ECS, and KTS brands; and aids to navigation products under the Flash Technology, ITL, Sabik Marine, Sealite, and Avlite brands. The company markets its products through consumers, independent manufacturing representatives, third-party distributors, and retailers. The company was formerly known as SPX Corporation and changed its name to SPX Technologies, Inc. in August 2022. SPX Technologies, Inc. is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
SPX Technologies, Inc reported revenue of $2.3B in FY2025 versus $1.2B in FY2021, a compound +16.7%/yr. Reported net income was $246M in FY2025, compounding −12.8%/yr from FY2021.
SPXC screens 64% overvalued. Compare with Trane Technologies plc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Is SPX Technologies (SPXC) a Solid Growth Stock? 3 Reasons to Think "Yes"
- Is SPX Technologies, Inc. (SPXC) Outperforming Other Construction Stocks This Year?
- Why SPX Technologies Stock Surged on Friday
- Is SPX Technologies (SPXC) Undervalued After Earnings And Higher 2026 Guidance?
Peer Group
Building Products & Equipment · 245 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trane Technologies plc TT | $469.98 | $212.34 | -55% |
| Johnson Controls International plc JCI | $142.81 | $45.65 | -68% |
| Carrier Global Corporation CARR | $68.61 | $17.35 | -75% |
| Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO | €76.62 | €101.60 | +33% |
| Geberit AG GEBN | CHF 523.20 | CHF 307.66 | -41% |
| Lennox International Inc LII | $543.93 | $363.09 | -33% |
| Kingspan Group KRX | €87.30 | €70.76 | -19% |
| Masco Corporation MAS | $78.04 | $54.36 | -30% |
| PT Impack Pratama Industri Tbk, IMPC | 1,420 IDR | 179.76 IDR | -87% |
| NIBE Industrier AB NIBEB | kr 36.03 | kr 25.37 | -30% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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