Sasol Limited (SSL) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $7.2B
Sasol Limited
SSL · US
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $24.74 to $14.14 (−42.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +7.2% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 28% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- Our model range runs from $10.61 (bear) to $17.67 (bull), base $14.14. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 51/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.93 – $24.34 · fair‑value band $10.61 – $17.67 · the $11.07 price screens below the $14.14 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Sasol Limited (SSL) currently trades at $11.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $14.14, implying the stock looks roughly 27.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Sasol Limited generated revenue of $249B at a net margin of 1.0%. Revenue grew 0.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.5%. Net debt stands at $79.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $10.61 (bear case) to $17.67 (bull case); at $11.07, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 157% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at 28%, SSL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($408.90) versus Dividend Discount ($0.0400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Sasol Limited operates as a chemical and energy company. It offers bitumen, industrial heating fuels, naphtha, lubricants and lubricant base oils, liquefied petroleum gas, automotive and industrial lubricants, greases, cleansers and degreasers, automotive fuels, and burner fuels or domestic, as well as illuminating paraffin transport fuels, such as petrol, …
Full company description
Sasol Limited operates as a chemical and energy company. It offers bitumen, industrial heating fuels, naphtha, lubricants and lubricant base oils, liquefied petroleum gas, automotive and industrial lubricants, greases, cleansers and degreasers, automotive fuels, and burner fuels or domestic, as well as illuminating paraffin transport fuels, such as petrol, diesel, and jet fuels. The company also provides methane rich and natural gas. In addition, it offers ammonium nitrate, limestone ammonium nitrate, and nitric acid for agriculture; industrial foaming agents, wax/hydrophobic coatings and industrial pegs, dispersible hydrates, boehmites, and aluminum oxides for building and construction; short-chain alcohols for flavors and fragrances; liquids, flakes, powders, and polyethylene glycols for health and wellness; caustic soda, hydrochloric acid CP Grade, and calcium chloride for industrial and institutional cleaning; alumina-based catalyst, cobalt FT catalysts, and mixed metal oxides for inorganic materials and catalysts; chemical feedstocks, process solvents, and chemicals for manufacturing and industrial; viscosity modifiers, chemical carriers, and adsorbents for mining, oil, and gas; hydrocarbons, surfactants, polyether, and polyglycols for paper and water; surfactants, dyes, finishing agents, tanning agents, and emulsifiers for textile and leather; and other chemicals for automotive and transportation, consumer goods, home care, packaging, printing, coatings, personal care, and polymers sectors. Further, it is involved in engineering services, research and development, and technology transfer; management of cash resources, investments, and procurement of loans; develop and implement international gas to liquid and CTL ventures; marketing of fuels and lubricants; trading and transportation of oil products, petrochemicals and chemical products, and derivatives; and coal mining activities. Sasol Limited was founded in 1950 and is based in Johannesburg, South Africa.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Sasol Limited reported revenue of $249B in FY2025 versus $202B in FY2021, a compound +5.4%/yr. Reported net income was $6.8B in FY2025, compounding −7.0%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +4.1 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.7 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch SSL: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Envision and Sasol Partner to Advance Green Hydrogen Hub in South Africa
- Envision and Sasol Advance Future Energy Systems with Green Hydrogen Collaboration in South Africa
- SASOL LIMITED - BUSINESS PERFORMANCE METRICS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 30 JUNE 2026
- Cerilon GTL ND Inc. Announces Definitive Agreement for Technology Licensing with Topsoe and Sasol for Their Gas-To-Liquids (GTL) Facility in
Peer Group
Specialty Chemicals · 673 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Linde plc LIN | $489.98 | $222.03 | -55% |
| Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 | 181.50 TWD | 255.83 TWD | +41% |
| Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 | ¥70.04 | ¥68.03 | -3% |
| Novozymes A/S NSISB | kr 428.20 | kr 179.66 | -58% |
| Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT | ₹2,689 | ₹668.81 | -75% |
| Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS | ₹18,236 | ₹2,793 | -85% |
| Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND | ₹1,560 | ₹351.84 | -77% |
| PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA | 1,805 IDR | 2,888 IDR | +60% |
| Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA | ₹7,115 | ₹757.93 | -89% |
| Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT | ₹493.70 | ₹164.29 | -67% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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