Steppe Gold Ltd (STGO) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CA · Market cap C$314M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price +25.8% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 20% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range (C$1.40 to C$3.02) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Our model range runs from C$1.40 (bear) to C$3.02 (bull), base C$1.87. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 52/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$0.5500 – C$2.37 · fair‑value band C$1.40 – C$3.02 · the C$1.56 price screens below the C$1.87 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Steppe Gold Ltd (STGO) currently trades at C$1.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$1.87, implying the stock looks roughly 19.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Steppe Gold Ltd generated revenue of C$275M at a net margin of 16.5%. Revenue grew 64.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 32.6%. Net debt stands at C$61.2M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$1.40 (bear case) to C$3.02 (bull case); at C$1.56, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at 20%, STGO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (C$5.58) versus Asset-Based (C$0.3800). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Steppe Gold Ltd. engages in acquiring, exploring, developing, and operating of precious metal projects in Mongolia and Peru. It primarily explores gold and polymetallic deposits.
Full company description
Steppe Gold Ltd. engages in acquiring, exploring, developing, and operating of precious metal projects in Mongolia and Peru. It primarily explores gold and polymetallic deposits. The company holds 100% interest in the Altan Tsagaan Ovoo property covering an area of approximately 5,492 hectares located in Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia; and Boroo and Ulaanbulag mine property covering an area of approximately 6,594 hectares located in Mongolia. It also explores Uudam Khundii gold project covering an area of 14,400 hectares located in Bayankhongor province, Mongolia. The company is based in Toronto, Canada. Steppe Gold Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Boroo Pte Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Steppe Gold Ltd reported revenue of C$254M in FY2025 versus C$24.1M in FY2021, a compound +80.3%/yr. Reported net income was C$32.7M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Gold · 248 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Corporation NEMCL | $112.00 | $112.82 | +1% |
| Zijin Mining Group 601899 | ¥32.21 | ¥39.42 | +22% |
| Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM | C$257.82 | C$154.33 | -40% |
| Barrick Mining Corporation B | $41.23 | $50.66 | +23% |
| Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM | C$187.84 | C$52.47 | -72% |
| Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV | C$334.84 | C$97.76 | -71% |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc AU | $97.92 | $88.63 | -9% |
| Gold Fields Limited GFI | $40.73 | $59.06 | +45% |
| Zijin Gold International Company 2259 | HK$135.60 | HK$96.81 | -29% |
| Kinross Gold Corporation KGC | $27.48 | $34.62 | +26% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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