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Sol Strategies Inc (STKE) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $44.2M

SS Sol Strategies Inc logo Sol Strategies Inc STKE · US
Price$1.06
Fair Value$1.46
Upside+37.7%
Quality18/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/8)
Narrow moat 37/100
Evidence: Low Range $1.09 – $2.17 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 27, 2026, revised from $1.45 to $1.46 (+0.7%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −24.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 38% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (18/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($1.09). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range ($1.09 to $2.17) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$33.98 $0.2080 Fair Value $1.46 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.2080 – $33.98 · fair‑value band $1.09 – $2.17 · the $1.06 price screens below the $1.46 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

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Analysis

Sol Strategies Inc (STKE) currently trades at $1.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.46, implying the stock looks roughly 37.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 18/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Revenue declined 56.7% year over year. Net debt stands at $50.1M. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.09 (bear case) to $2.17 (bull case); at $1.06, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at 38%, STKE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $1.53 $2.05 $3.06 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.53 $2.05 $3.06 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) −$12.3M
Revenue growth (YoY) -56.7%
Return on equity -216%
Free cash flow −$18.8M FY2025
Operating margin 139%
EPS (TTM) $-3.59
More key figures
Net debt $50.1M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 18/100

Of which business quality 23 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 8

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 68
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 11
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 11
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 42
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sol Strategies Inc. invests in and provides infrastructure for the Solana Blockchain ecosystem. The company operates validator nodes on several Proof of Stake blockchain networks, primarily Solana and SUI, enabling transaction validation and block proposals; cryptocurrency staking; delegating tokens to validators for passive rewards.

Full company description

Sol Strategies Inc. invests in and provides infrastructure for the Solana Blockchain ecosystem. The company operates validator nodes on several Proof of Stake blockchain networks, primarily Solana and SUI, enabling transaction validation and block proposals; cryptocurrency staking; delegating tokens to validators for passive rewards. The company was formerly known as Cypherpunk Holdings Inc. and changed its name to Sol Strategies Inc. in September 2024. Sol Strategies Inc. was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sol Strategies Inc reported revenue of $14.4M in FY2025 versus $118K in FY2021, a compound +232.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$35.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 28/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$14.4M
Latest YoY
+53.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+310.2%
Revenue +232.6%/yr
FY21 $118K
FY22 $209K
FY23 −$1.1M
FY24 $9.4M
FY25 $14.4M
Net income
FY21 −$1.2M
FY22 $358K
FY23 −$6.3M
FY24 $6.6M
FY25 −$35.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sol Strategies Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/STKE

Peer Group

Capital Markets · 423 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 23 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +38% · Above median
Return on assets -25% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 139% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -57% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.38× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 84 · sector 9
FUTURE 0 · sector 96
PAST 0 · sector 30
HEALTH 0 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 36

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA 313.75 ARS 120.22 ARS -62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sol Strategies Inc (STKE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.46 versus a price of $1.06, about +38% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of STKE?
Our model-based fair value for Sol Strategies Inc is $1.46 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $1.06.
What is the quality score of STKE?
Sol Strategies Inc has a Quality Score of 18/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of STKE?
The net profit margin of Sol Strategies Inc is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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