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STLLR Gold Inc. (STLR) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of STLLR Gold Inc. C$0.21, price C$1.47, upside -85.7%, quality 23 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · CA · ISIN CA86101P1018

SG Thin data Sep 24, 2026

STLLR Gold Inc.

STLR · TO

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value C$0.2100 · Strongly overvalued (−85.7%)
!Quality 23/100
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/9)
!Narrow moat 8/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

C$5.88 C$0.7100 Fair Value C$0.2100 Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$0.7100 – C$5.88 · fair‑value band C$0.1400 – C$0.2600 · the C$1.47 price screens above the C$0.2100 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

STLLR Gold Inc. operates as a mineral resource exploration and development company in Canada. The company primarily explores gold deposits.

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STLLR Gold Inc. operates as a mineral resource exploration and development company in Canada. The company primarily explores gold deposits. Its flagship projects are the Tower gold project, covering an area of 78 square kilometers located in the Timmins Mining Camp in Ontario; and the Colomac gold project, covering an area of 947 square kilometers situated in the Northwest Territories. The company was formerly known as Moneta Gold Inc. and changed its name to STLLR Gold Inc. in February 2024. STLLR Gold Inc. was incorporated in 1910 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

Stock analysis

STLLR Gold Inc. (STLR) currently trades at C$1.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.2100, 85.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: C$0.1400 (bear) to C$0.2600 (bull), the price of C$1.47 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 23/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

STLLR Gold Inc. reported revenue of C$0 in FY2025 versus C$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −C$25.6M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap C$279M (≈ $196M) · EPS (TTM) C$−0.1400 · Return on equity −17.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −26.4% · Free cash flow −C$25.3M · Net cash C$33.2M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −86%, STLR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear C$0.1400 Fair Value C$0.2100 Bull C$0.2600
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) C$0.4200 C$0.5700 C$0.8400 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$0.4200 C$0.5700 C$0.8400 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 23/100

Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 32
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 96
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 22
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 45
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 32
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

STLR screens overvalued: fair value 86% below the price. Compare with Newmont Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 200 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −85.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −11.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0.0% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.53× · Cheaper than median
PEG 4.79× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 5
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 100
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 42
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 20

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Newmont Corporation NEM $115.34 $126.87 +10%
Zijin Mining Group 601899 ¥30.01 ¥44.45 +48%
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM $185.83 $219.71 +18%
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM $135.39 $87.78 −35%
Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV $245.81 $270.39 +10%
AngloGold Ashanti plc AU $99.03 $88.60 −11%
Kinross Gold Corporation KGC $24.06 $51.30 +113%
Royal Gold, Inc RGLD $238.93 $262.82 +10%
Shandong Gold Mining Co 600547 ¥29.07 ¥23.61 −19%
Pan American Silver Corp PAAS $46.14 $59.13 +28%

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STLLR Gold Inc. · Fair Value
C$0.2100 −86%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "STLLR Gold Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/STLR

Frequently asked questions

Is STLLR Gold Inc. (STLR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.2100 versus a price of C$1.47, about −86% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of STLR?
Our model-based fair value for STLLR Gold Inc. is C$0.2100 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$1.47.
What is the quality score of STLR?
STLLR Gold Inc. has a Quality Score of 23/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for STLLR Gold Inc. (STLR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.2100 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.1400, optimistic scenario C$0.2600. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the STLLR Gold Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.2100, about −86% upside versus a price of C$1.47 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$0.1400, optimistic scenario C$0.2600. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of STLLR Gold Inc. (STLR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For STLLR Gold Inc. it is C$0.2100 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of C$1.47. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is STLLR Gold Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, STLR trades above its calculated fair value: price C$1.47, fair value C$0.2100, a gap of about −86% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of STLR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$1.47); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.2100). For STLLR Gold Inc. the two are C$1.26 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is STLLR Gold Inc. worth?
The market values STLLR Gold Inc. at about C$279M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is C$1.47; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.2100 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about STLR?
Our models span a range for STLLR Gold Inc.: cautious scenario C$0.1400, base C$0.2100, optimistic C$0.2600 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price C$1.47). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of STLR?
The PEG ratio of STLLR Gold Inc. is 4.79 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of STLLR Gold Inc. (STLR)?
Balance-sheet figures for STLLR Gold Inc. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −17.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 23/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is STLR from its 52-week high?
STLLR Gold Inc. trades at C$1.47, about 31% below its 52-week high of C$2.12 and 18% above the low of C$1.25 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.2100 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to STLLR Gold Inc.?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Newmont Corporation, Zijin Mining Group, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Wheaton Precious Metals Corp, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is STLLR Gold Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price C$1.47, calculated fair value C$0.2100 (−86%), Quality Score 23/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of STLR calculated?
We run STLLR Gold Inc. through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$0.2100, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. STLLR Gold Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of STLLR Gold Inc. (STLR)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was C$1.47. Our model-based fair value is C$0.2100, about −86% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with STLLR Gold Inc. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.2600). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (23/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (C$0.1400 to C$0.2600) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of STLLR Gold Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of STLLR Gold Inc. (STLR)?
The market capitalisation of STLLR Gold Inc. is C$279M (≈ $196M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of STLLR Gold Inc. (STLR)?
Earnings per share at STLLR Gold Inc. are C$−0.1400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of STLLR Gold Inc. (STLR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of STLLR Gold Inc. is −17.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of STLLR Gold Inc. (STLR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of STLLR Gold Inc. is −26.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does STLLR Gold Inc. (STLR) generate?
The free cash flow of STLLR Gold Inc. is −C$25.3M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does STLLR Gold Inc. (STLR) hold?
STLLR Gold Inc. holds more cash than debt, C$33.2M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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