Sunstone Metals Ltd (STM) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 16, 2026: fair value of Sunstone Metals Ltd A$0.20, price A$0.19, upside +2.9%, quality 26 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.1500 – A$3.45 · fair‑value band A$0.1445 – A$0.2890 · the A$0.1900 price screens below the A$0.1955 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
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Sunstone Metals Limited engages in the exploration and evaluation of gold and copper properties.
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It holds an 87.5% interest in the Bramaderos project covering an area of 4,959 hectares located in Loja Province, southern Ecuador; and a 74.5% interest in the El Palmar project located in the northern Ecuador.
The company was formerly known as Avalon Minerals Limited and changed its name to Sunstone Metals Limited in September 2017. Sunstone Metals Limited was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Melbourne, Australia.
Stock analysis
Sunstone Metals Ltd (STM) currently trades at A$0.1900, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.1955, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 2.8%).
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the data coverage at low.
Scenario range: A$0.1445 (bear) to A$0.2890 (bull), the price of A$0.1900 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Sunstone Metals Ltd reported revenue of A$67.7K in FY2025 versus A$20.3K in FY2021, a compound +35.2%/yr. Reported net income was −A$2.6M in FY2026.
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 12 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 75% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 3%, STM screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
BearA$0.1445Fair Value A$0.1955BullA$0.2890
Price A$0.1900 · Upside +2.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−46.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+82.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +97.0% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.9%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1,931.3% (2020) → −3.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 383 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score26 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+2.9% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−2.6% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)−3.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0.9% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
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Is Sunstone Metals Ltd (STM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.1955 versus a price of A$0.1900, about +3% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of STM?
Our model-based fair value for Sunstone Metals Ltd is A$0.1955 (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.1900.
What is the quality score of STM?
Sunstone Metals Ltd has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sunstone Metals Ltd (STM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.1955 (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.1445, optimistic scenario A$0.2890. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sunstone Metals Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.1955, about +3% upside versus a price of A$0.1900 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario A$0.1445, optimistic scenario A$0.2890. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sunstone Metals Ltd (STM)?
Sunstone Metals Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$106K (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Sunstone Metals Ltd (STM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sunstone Metals Ltd it is A$0.1955 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of A$0.1900. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sunstone Metals Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, STM trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.1900, fair value A$0.1955, a gap of about +3% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of STM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.1900); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.1955). For Sunstone Metals Ltd the two are A$0.0055 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sunstone Metals Ltd worth?
The market values Sunstone Metals Ltd at about A$51.1M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is A$0.1900; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.1955 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about STM?
Our models span a range for Sunstone Metals Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.1445, base A$0.1955, optimistic A$0.2890 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price A$0.1900). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of STM?
The PEG ratio of Sunstone Metals Ltd is 3.99 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 4, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sunstone Metals Ltd (STM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sunstone Metals Ltd (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity −2.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 26/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is STM from its 52-week high?
Sunstone Metals Ltd trades at A$0.1900, about 75% below its 52-week high of A$0.7500 and 15% above the low of A$0.1650 (as of Oct 16, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.1955 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sunstone Metals Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, Korea Zinc Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sunstone Metals Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price A$0.1900, calculated fair value A$0.1955 (+3%), Quality Score 26/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of STM calculated?
We run Sunstone Metals Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.1955, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Sunstone Metals Ltd currently trades 3 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sunstone Metals Ltd (STM)?
The closing price on Oct 16, 2026 was A$0.1900. Our model-based fair value is A$0.1955, about +3% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sunstone Metals Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (A$0.1445 to A$0.2890) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Sunstone Metals Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Sunstone Metals Ltd (STM)?
The market capitalisation of Sunstone Metals Ltd is A$51.1M (≈ $35.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Sunstone Metals Ltd (STM)?
Earnings per share at Sunstone Metals Ltd are A$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Sunstone Metals Ltd (STM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sunstone Metals Ltd is −2.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sunstone Metals Ltd (STM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sunstone Metals Ltd is −2.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sunstone Metals Ltd (STM)?
The operating margin of Sunstone Metals Ltd is −1,463% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sunstone Metals Ltd (STM)?
Revenue at Sunstone Metals Ltd is growing +0.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +82.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sunstone Metals Ltd (STM)?
Earnings per share at Sunstone Metals Ltd are growing −60.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Sunstone Metals Ltd (STM) generate?
The free cash flow of Sunstone Metals Ltd is −A$1.8M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Sunstone Metals Ltd (STM) hold?
Sunstone Metals Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$1.7M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Oct 4, 2026